Chamberlain Jet has the prediction but it's a slim edge over a tightly-bunched field. His most notable recent run was a third in a handicap rated 63, which is far above his D5 flat form in the mid-20s. If that handicap effort reflects genuine improvement, he's the class of this field. His D5 flat form is less inspiring — a second and a fourth in his last two, showing enough early speed to be competitive from the rail without dominating. Trap 1 is slightly above average at 17.1 percent. This is a tentative pick in a race where the dominant trap 2 carries more structural weight than the ratings.