Grumpy Wilbur has the prediction but this is a speculative selection in a race with minimal separation. He's shown early pace in some runs — leading from the run-up two starts back — but was slow away and stumbled at the start in his most recent outing, finishing last. His form at D3 268 metres is a mixture of thirds, fourths, and a sixth, with no wins at this level on the flat. Trap 4 is slightly below average at these conditions. The case for him rests on his pace potential when he breaks cleanly, but the inconsistency of his starts makes him a risky proposition. This is very much a race to approach with caution.