Bayview Fred has the prediction but this is a tentative selection. His last run was a modest third at D4 268 metres — a sprint that tells us very little about his A7 462-metre ability. His recent A7 form before that sprint was moderate: a fifth at 43 when checked and a third at 51 when also checked. He has placed at this level but hasn't won in A7 company and tends to get into trouble at the first bend. Trap 4 is slightly below average at 15.4 percent. The prediction is based on his overall form profile, but on tonight's evidence — back from a sprint, mid-table A7 form, neutral draw — there are runners in this field with stronger claims.