Loading racecard
Loading...
Loading racecard
Arena Racing Company Stayers
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Class | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Rating | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Hardwick Teddyd 3y 28 | S Caile — 14% R181 W25 P93 Trainer form — last 3 months | 63 | 89 | 75 (2) | 77 (3) | 83 (2) | 92 (1) | 58 (2) | 81 (3) | 62 (5) | 78 (2) | 62 (2) | 55 (2) | 58 | 54 | 51 | 21 | 75 | 49 | 5 | 4/1 | ||
| 2 | ▶ Borna Parachuted 3y 22 | D Blackbird — 17% R1064 W179 P571 Trainer form — last 3 months | 26 | 14 | 100 (1) | 79 (5) | 86 (3) | 73 (5) | 71 (4) | 100 (1) | 100 (1) | 75 (5) | 85 (4) | 75 (4) | 27 | - | 47 | - | 86 | 42 | 2 | 10/1 | ||
| 3 | ▶ Droopys Cardib 2y 17 | T C Heilbron — 15% R190 W28 P86 Trainer form — last 3 months | 53 | 58 | 100 (1) | 84 (3) | 100 (1) | 91 (3) | 67 (6) | 93 (3) | 88 (2) | 70 (4) | 72 (4) | 49 (5) | 3 | - | 17 | 26 | 83 | 35 | 3 | 6/1 | ||
| 4 | ▶ Tammy The Bestb 2y 26 | J J Fenwick — 19% R489 W95 P280 Trainer form — last 3 months | 51 | 32 | 63 (3) | 100 (1) | 76 (5) | 82 (4) | 67 (2) | 72 (2) | 74 (2) | 77 (2) | 58 (3) | 86 (1) | 41 | 42 | 20 | 27 | 79 | 45 | 1 | 8/1 | ||
| 5 | ▶ Fruity Beautyb 2y 36 | S R Miller — 14% R207 W29 P94 Trainer form — last 3 months | 39 | 100 | 75 (3) | 100 (1) | 74 (4) | 72 (5) | 54 (2) | 53 (3) | 52 (5) | 57 (3) | 46 (5) | 63 (2) | 27 | 20 | 20 | - | 70 | 31 | 6 | 25/1 | ||
| 6 | ▶ Jacktavern Labd 2y 26 | J Flaherty — 23% R60 W14 P39 Trainer form — last 3 months | 57 | 30 | 63 (4) | 70 (4) | 68 (3) | 86 (1) | 74 (3) | 59 (3) | 85 (4) | 86 (3) | 100 (1) | 74 (3) | 31 | 32 | 44 | 43 | 75 | 43 | 4 | 8/15F | ||
The selection. Tammy The Best won at P100 at OR 640m here at Newcastle just six days ago — the exact same grade, same distance, same venue — and that is the most reliable data point available in a race where the model sample is too small to validate any signal. Fenwick's 30% trainer win rate at Newcastle is elite, and this dog has established track_suit=42 with dist_suit=27 confirming progressive staying form. The record prior to that P100 win shows P76 (5th) and P82 (4th) at OR 640m which highlights inconsistency, but the freshness of last week's peak performance at this exact trip is the key argument. A fast turnaround for Fenwick is not unusual and if T4 shows the same commitment from the bend, the others have a lot to find. Tentative rather than Strong purely because OR 640m is inherently more variable and form at this distance is less predictable than at the more frequently run 480m trip.
Most consistent 640m form in the race but never run at Newcastle — Tentative danger for a dog making its venue debut at this distance.
Speed and early pace but no staying form to speak of — likely to fade over the final stretch of this 640m test.
Best performance average in the race but zero Newcastle and 640m track record — carrying a major blind-entry risk at this trip.
Strong front-runner who has no 640m experience — pace setter who may be caught in the final furlong of this stamina test.
Newcastle familiarity and dist_suit suggests some staying ability but recent form is 480m-focused — unlikely to be competitive over 640m at OR grade.
Only 54 OR 640m runs at Newcastle — all trap and rank figures are statistical noise. Speed R1 wins 25%, Bend R1 26% but sample too small to act on. Analysis defaults to form and track experience.
T1:33.3% T2:0% T3:0% T4:25% T5:0% T6:50% (54 runs — noise only, disregard)
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 640m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Hardwick Teddy | 100 | 0 | Fader |
2Borna Parachute | 0 | 100 | Closer |
3Droopys Cardi | 0 | 100 | Closer |
4Tammy The Best | 100 | 0 | Fader |
5Fruity Beauty | 0 | 100 | Closer |
6Jacktavern Lab | 100 | 0 | Fader |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.