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Arena Racing Company Standard - Division One
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Class | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Rating | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Optic Pharaohd 3y 24 | S R Miller — 14% R207 W29 P94 Trainer form — last 3 months | 31 | 48 | 56 (5) | 58 0 | 69 (4) | 49 (3) | 71 (6) | 56 (3) | 93 (5) | 65 (1) | 63 (4) | - | 14 | 3 | 15 | - | 64 | 30 | 5 | 16/1 | ||
| 2 | ▶ Freedom Pro Amd 2y 22 | T C Heilbron — 15% R190 W28 P86 Trainer form — last 3 months | 40 | 44 | 66 (4) | 54 (5) | 67 (3) | 35 (5) | 63 (4) | 96 (1) | 71 (6) | 85 (3) | 57 (2) | - | 5 | 17 | 37 | 14 | 64 | 38 | 6 | 20/1 | ||
| 3 | ▶ Droopys Antheab 2y 15 | J J Fenwick — 19% R491 W95 P280 Trainer form — last 3 months | 52 | 54 | 91 (1) | 60 (5) | 77 (3) | 62 (5) | 77 (2) | 89 (1) | 71 (2) | 55 (5) | 91 (1) | 94 (1) | 64 | 31 | 44 | 48 | 76 | 57 | 4 | 6/1 | ||
| 4 | ▶ Zenith Tanjud 3y 27 | J J Fenwick — 19% R491 W95 P280 Trainer form — last 3 months | 57 | 75 | 92 (1) | 46 (6) | 52 (2) | 57 (5) | 97 (1) | 77 (2) | 65 (5) | - | - | - | 2 | 32 | 15 | 25 | 63 | 27 | 1 | 5/4F | ||
| 5 | ▶ Toddys Stormb 2y 26 | T C Heilbron — 15% R190 W28 P86 Trainer form — last 3 months | 57 | 58 | 70 (2) | 49 (5) | 56 (5) | 96 (1) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 20 | 30 | 24 | 65 | 50 | 3 | 5/2 | ||
| 6 | ▶ Greenwell Tysond 2y 15 | J Flaherty — 23% R60 W14 P39 Trainer form — last 3 months | 54 | 37 | 86 (2) | 69 (2) | 69 (4) | 70 (2) | 54 (2) | 73 (1) | 92 (1) | 94 (1) | 78 (3) | 83 (2) | 37 | 42 | - | 53 | 72 | 56 | 2 | 11/4 | ||
The selection. Droopys Anthea runs from T3 — the best-performing box at Newcastle 480m OR grade (22.64%) — and won last week at A1 480m Newcastle with a P91 performance on 15 May, making this a logical step up rather than a leap into the unknown. Fenwick's 30% trainer win rate at this venue is the best available and the combination of best trap, best trainer, and a fresh winning run is the core of the case. Track_suit=31 and dist_suit=48 confirm solid C&D credentials — four wins from ten at Newcastle 480m represent a 40% strike rate at this course and distance. The form trajectory of P91 1st, P60 5th, P77 3rd, P61 5th, P77 3rd, P89 2nd shows a dog who fires on big days — the P60 and P61 runs are the anomalies, not the headline. Moving from A1 to OR grade is the main caveat — a small step up — but Fenwick regularly pitches dogs into OR grade fresh from A1 wins and the Newcastle bias data offers structural support that is hard to ignore. Strong confidence.
Consistent Newcastle 480m specialist with strong C&D numbers — reliable place candidate who could cause an upset if the selection underperforms.
Worst structural trap, negligible Newcastle experience, declining form on a different circuit — cannot be recommended in any capacity.
Good trap position but poor form execution — inconsistent runs at OR2 with a notably bad P35 recently. Not credible at OR grade.
Worst trap at this grade plus a three-month absence — ring rust and structural disadvantage make this an impossible recommendation despite the Fenwick yard.
Wildcard — one elite P96 OR win here but three-run sample is too small and surrounding form too poor to act on confidently.
T3 is the best trap at OR grade (22.64%), T4 is structurally the worst (8.51%). T1 also structurally poor (11.76%). Composite R1 wins 21.4%. T3 dog Droopys Anthea has both the trap advantage and the best recent form in this field.
T1:11.76% T2:22.03% T3:22.64% T4:8.51% T5:18.42% T6:19.32%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 480m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Optic Pharaoh | 30 | 100 | Closer |
2Freedom Pro Am | 25 | 100 | Closer |
3Droopys Anthea | 82 | 0 | Fader |
4Zenith Tanju | 70 | 0 | Fader |
5Toddys Storm | 100 | 0 | Fader |
6Greenwell Tyson | 0 | 100 | Closer |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.