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Arena Racing Company Maiden Stayers
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Class | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Rating | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 2 | ▶ Cannonball Queenb 1y 36 | T C Heilbron — 15% R190 W28 P86 Trainer form — last 3 months | 83 | 100 | 50 (4) | 42 (6) | 40 (5) | 42 (6) | 72 (1) | 65 (2) | 65 (2) | 55 (3) | 62 (2) | 60 (5) | - | 26 | 12 | - | 52 | 26 | 4 | 16/1 | ||
| 3 | ▶ Fabulous Hanab 2y 26 | J T Edgar — 17% R470 W79 P269 Trainer form — last 3 months | 0 | 0 | 76 (1) | 55 (3) | 63 (4) | 64 (3) | 61 (3) | 51 (5) | 73 (1) | 42 (6) | 83 (2) | 62 (5) | 26 | - | 6 | - | 61 | 29 | 3 | 10/1 | ||
| 4 | ▶ Brunssum Bubbled 2y 24 | J J Fenwick — 19% R491 W95 P280 Trainer form — last 3 months | 74 | 50 | 74 (3) | 67 (4) | 91 (1) | 90 (1) | 74 (2) | 59 (6) | 71 (3) | 93 (1) | 90 (2) | 77 (2) | 56 | 44 | - | - | 78 | 54 | 2 | 2/9F | ||
| 5 | ▶ Jacktavern Usaind 2y 34 | R Hale — 19% R59 W11 P29 Trainer form — last 3 months | 49 | 100 | 62 (4) | 52 (5) | 56 (5) | 79 (1) | 70 (2) | 48 (4) | 67 (3) | 57 (4) | 55 (4) | 57 (4) | 23 | 30 | - | - | 60 | 32 | 1 | 7/1 | ||
| 6 | ▶ Harness Bellb 2y 25 | J J Fenwick — 19% R491 W95 P280 Trainer form — last 3 months | 43 | 0 | 78 (4) | 82 (2) | 62 (3) | 72 (5) | 70 (2) | 52 (5) | 76 (1) | 75 (1) | 63 (2) | 58 (3) | 39 | 29 | 12 | 25 | 71 | 39 | 5 | 8/1 | ||
The selection on the basis of being the only runner in this field with genuine 640m experience and a positive recent record at the distance — combined with Fenwick's 30% trainer win rate at Newcastle. Harness Bell has run at OR 640m most recently (P78, pos 4 on 15 May), placed second at OR 942m (P82), third at IV 640m (P62), and fifth at OR1 640m (P72) — a consistent staying performer across multiple 640m appearances. Dist_suit=25 confirms an established 640m profile and track_suit=29 shows Newcastle familiarity. The P78 4th last week is a moderate result but was at this same trip and grade — the dog knows what is required. Fenwick trains the stable's two leading contenders and Harness Bell's advantage over stable-mate Brunssum Bubble is specifically that she has made the 640m journey before. A Tentative selection in what is a difficult race to call, but form at the distance is the only reliable anchor when the ML sample has just 54 runs.
Electric 480m form and Fenwick 30% but no 640m experience — compelling danger if stamina transfers, major unknown if it doesn't.
Leads the field on speed metrics but hopelessly out of form — four consecutive placed finishes in the bottom two at a lower grade. Dismiss.
Consistent 480m placer with no 640m experience — no basis to recommend over this trip at OR grade.
High bend rating but two poor recent runs and no 640m baseline — declining form makes selection impossible.
Only 54 OR 640m runs at Newcastle — all trap and rank figures are noise. Bend R1 and Speed R1 both hover around 25-26% but built on fewer than 25 runs each. Form at the distance and venue experience must guide selection.
T1:33.3% T2:0% T3:0% T4:25% T5:0% T6:50% (54 runs — statistical noise)
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 640m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
2Cannonball Queen | 100 | 0 | Fader |
3Fabulous Hana | 0 | 100 | Closer |
4Brunssum Bubble | 50 | 50 | All-Rounder |
5Jacktavern Usain | 100 | 0 | Fader |
6Harness Bell | 0 | 100 | Closer |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.