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The Harry Burton Trophy Final
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Class | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Rating | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Born Scoobyd 2y 19 | S Roberts — 19% R175 W34 P79 Trainer form — last 3 months | 48 | 77 | 65 (3) | 75 (2) | 93 (1) | 83 (2) | 63 (4) | 77 (2) | 70 (2) | 58 (3) | 65 (1) | - | 55 | 38 | 29 | 49 | 74 | 54 | 3 | 8/1 | ||
| 2 | ▶ Ballymac Serviced 2y 110 | J J Fenwick — 19% R491 W95 P280 Trainer form — last 3 months | 59 | 47 | 94 (1) | 94 (1) | 96 (1) | 50 (5) | 95 (1) | 63 (4) | 76 (2) | 78 (2) | 95 (1) | 70 (3) | 20 | 56 | 44 | 65 | 83 | 63 | 4 | 9/4 | ||
| 3 | ▶ Elusivenomored 2y 16 | J J Fenwick — 19% R491 W95 P280 Trainer form — last 3 months | 42 | 80 | 80 (3) | 67 (3) | 67 (3) | 43 (5) | 60 (5) | 93 (1) | 61 (6) | 41 (4) | 54 (5) | 94 (1) | 26 | 50 | 9 | 26 | 64 | 43 | 5 | 6/1 | ||
| 4 | ▶ Woltemaded 2y 17 | J J Fenwick — 19% R491 W95 P280 Trainer form — last 3 months | 53 | 52 | 79 (3) | 95 (1) | 67 (3) | 72 (2) | 97 (1) | 80 (2) | 94 (1) | 55 (6) | 94 (5) | - | 39 | 53 | 36 | 51 | 81 | 59 | 2 | 6/5F | ||
| 5 | ▶ Hardwick Woodyd 4y 35 | S Caile — 14% R181 W25 P93 Trainer form — last 3 months | 49 | 45 | 66 (4) | 80 (2) | 81 (2) | 96 (1) | 81 (2) | 91 (1) | 60 (5) | 92 (1) | 72 (3) | 65 (2) | - | 54 | 24 | 58 | 80 | 58 | 1 | 7/1 | ||
| 6 | ▶ Mossend Bruted 1y 18 | S Roberts — 19% R175 W34 P79 Trainer form — last 3 months | 47 | 55 | 92 (1) | 77 (2) | 89 (1) | 63 (5) | 92 (1) | 79 (4) | 82 (2) | 80 (3) | 71 (2) | 52 (6) | 50 | 42 | 32 | 52 | 81 | 56 | 6 | 9/1 | ||
The selection and the standout entry on today's Newcastle card. Three consecutive wins at OR2 480m Newcastle — P94, P94, P95 — at the exact same grade, distance, and venue, with a C&D record of five wins from eight attempts (63%). That 63% C&D strike rate is extraordinary and Fenwick's 30% trainer win rate at Newcastle underpins one of the most reliable form combinations available in this race. Performance average of 83 is the highest in the field, making Ballymac Service composite R1 — and composite R1 wins 24.24% at OR2 Newcastle 480m (155 runs). T2 trap is below average at 15.38% for this grade but three consecutive wins from that box means the structural data is already baked into this dog's record. The P50 fifth-place from five runs back is the only blot and is completely out of character. Before and since, the form is consistent at P94-95 level. The only question is whether any opponent improves enough to bridge the gap — and on current evidence, none look capable. Strong confidence.
Consistent runner-up at this grade and venue — genuine each-way danger who could pinch the race if the favourite underperforms.
Won here last week at P92 and has a strong C&D record — the worst trap at this grade is a meaningful headwind against the favourite's three-win streak.
Best trap position at this grade but the form is running P67 consistently — a minor each-way option at best, not a win threat.
Capable on best form but inconsistent — likely second-string Fenwick entry behind Ballymac Service, with a peak performance good enough to place.
Consistent C&D performer who regularly places — likely another second or third today given structural trap disadvantage and weakest trainer rate.
T3 best trap at OR2 (25.81%), T6 structurally weakest (7.69%), T5 poor (13.04%). Composite R1 wins 24.24% — strongest signal. Ballymac Service is composite R1 AND has three consecutive OR2 Newcastle 480m wins.
T1:16% T2:15.38% T3:25.81% T4:16.67% T5:13.04% T6:7.69%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 480m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Born Scooby | 88 | 0 | Fader |
2Ballymac Service | 36 | 100 | Closer |
3Elusivenomore | 88 | 0 | Fader |
4Woltemade | 52 | 42 | All-Rounder |
5Hardwick Woody | 0 | 100 | Closer |
6Mossend Brute | 48 | 58 | Closer |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.