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BGBF British Bred Maiden Derby Final
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Class | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Rating | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Romeo Libertyd 2y 14 | T C Heilbron — 15% R190 W28 P86 Trainer form — last 3 months | 45 | 62 | 60 (3) | 90 (1) | 30 (5) | 38 (1) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 2 | 25 | 10 | 24 | 57 | 42 | 3 | 9/1 | ||
| 2 | ▶ Woo Hoos Hugod 3y 25 | J J Fenwick — 19% R491 W95 P280 Trainer form — last 3 months | 39 | 33 | 49 (5) | 75 (2) | 70 (3) | 57 (4) | 63 (1) | 77 (2) | 72 (1) | 54 (1) | 72 (4) | - | 27 | 32 | 6 | 45 | 68 | 46 | 5 | 25/1 | ||
| 3 | ▶ Queen Katherineb 1y 25 | D P Brabon — 24% R343 W81 P202 Trainer form — last 3 months | 53 | 71 | 80 (2) | 76 (3) | 36 (4) | 74 (3) | 86 (2) | 37 (4) | 35 (5) | 47 (1) | 47 (1) | 28 (4) | 22 | 15 | 14 | 16 | 61 | 45 | 2 | 8/1 | ||
| 4 | ▶ Glengar Vegasd 1y 19 | B Fairbairn — 31% R64 W20 P44 Trainer form — last 3 months | 57 | 53 | 90 (1) | 91 (1) | 90 (1) | 53 (5) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 32 | 53 | 20 | 56 | 83 | 62 | 1 | 4/9F | ||
| 5 | ▶ Ballycian Boyd 1y 16 | J Flaherty — 23% R60 W14 P39 Trainer form — last 3 months | 56 | 47 | 64 (3) | 91 (1) | 79 (2) | 64 (4) | 87 (1) | 68 (4) | 83 (1) | 73 (1) | - | - | 40 | 56 | 16 | 55 | 79 | 57 | 4 | 3/1 | ||
| 6 | ▶ Romeo Elited 2y 27 | J T Edgar — 17% R470 W79 P269 Trainer form — last 3 months | 34 | 32 | 81 (1) | 62 (3) | 83 (2) | 58 (2) | 77 (1) | 59 (2) | 75 (1) | 65 (3) | 56 (5) | 57 (4) | 61 | 39 | 6 | 28 | 67 | 44 | 6 | 20/1 | ||
Three wins from his last four at OR2 480m Newcastle — with performances of P90, P91, and P90. This is dominance at exactly this grade and distance, not a fluke. A course-and-distance record of three wins from four (75%) is as clear a form signal as a punter could ask for. The performance average of 83 is the highest in this race, and his best time of 28.60 puts him comfortably ahead of the clock. Trap 4 wins 16.7% at OR2 Newcastle 480m which is decent, and Fairbairn's 28% trainer rate confirms a kennel that consistently delivers. With the speed rank and performance rank both pointing to him, this is the standout selection of the evening.
Exceptional course record but in a structurally weak box — the pick's main rival.
Extraordinary course-and-distance record but outclassed on recent form figures — best treated as a place chance.
Best structural draw, placed recently at course and distance — a legitimate each-way option.
Won here last week but inconsistent — Glengar Vegas' three-run dominance makes him the harder pick.
No course wins in six attempts and drawn in the worst box — cannot recommend.
155 runs at Newcastle OR2 480m. T3 dominant (25.8%), T6 almost unwinnable (7.7%). Speed R1 very strong at 29.8%. Composite R1 wins 24.2% — solid model.
T1:16.0% T2:15.4% T3:25.8% T4:16.7% T5:13.0% T6:7.7%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 480m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Romeo Liberty | 68 | 0 | Fader |
2Woo Hoos Hugo | 33 | 68 | Closer |
3Queen Katherine | 70 | 0 | Fader |
4Glengar Vegas | 54 | 42 | All-Rounder |
5Ballycian Boy | 46 | 58 | Closer |
6Romeo Elite | 32 | 79 | Closer |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.