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Doncaster 450 Standard - Division 2
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Droopys Tiffanyb 2y 23 | S R Parker — 31% R64 W20 P42 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 56 | 56 | 60 (4) | 42 (4) | 68 (4) | 69 (2) | 58 (6) | 66 (4) | 81 (2) | 96 (1) | 42 (5) | - | 31 | 14 | 17 | 20 | 62 | 41 | 3 | 15/8 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Whisky Ernestd 2y 12 | C D Marston — 13% R450 W57 P210 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 31 | 51 | 62 (3) | 31 (3) | 41 (6) | 52 (6) | 85 (2) | 95 (1) | 96 (1) | 54 (4) | 39 (6) | 24 (6) | 35 | 23 | 25 | - | 64 | 30 | 5 | 33/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Distant Flowb 4y 33 | R A Draper — 28% R275 W76 P182 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 82 | 0 | 59 (4) | 63 (5) | 84 (1) | 75 (2) | 46 (4) | 59 (4) | 45 (4) | 87 (1) | 88 (1) | 53 (6) | 4 | - | 33 | - | 65 | 40 | 4 | 11/2 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Ballymac Ivannab 3y 36 | S J L Lapidge — 17% R324 W54 P189 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | 0 | 100 (1) | 81 (3) | 75 (2) | 69 (3) | 85 (1) | 84 (1) | 71 (3) | 67 (3) | 57 (4) | 80 (2) | 3 | 41 | 30 | 19 | 80 | 30 | 2 | 25/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Reenaderry Roadd 2y 10 | S Watson — 30% R419 W124 P290 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 60 | 59 | 62 (1) | 57 (1) | 54 (2) | 91 (1) | 60 (1) | 92 (1) | 72 (3) | 71 (2) | 63 (1) | 62 (1) | 78 | 62 | 43 | 77 | 67 | 61 | 1 | 8/13F | - | |
Reenaderry Road produces the most dominant composite score of any runner in either Doncaster meeting today at 61.0 — twenty points clear of the field — combined with suitability figures that are exceptional across the board: trap suitability 78, track suitability 62, and distance suitability 77. These three scores collectively represent a dog who has made Doncaster 450m their own. Average performance of 67.0 is solid for OR grade, and a bend rating of 59 from Trap 6 suggests the wide draw doesn't create bend difficulties for this runner. Trainer S Watson has this dog in a career sweet spot. This is the evening meeting's highest-confidence selection by a significant margin.
Clear second-best but twenty-point deficit to a dominant composite leader makes reversal extremely unlikely
Twenty-one point composite deficit with zero suitability — unlikely to feature in an OR race against proven course specialists
Outsider — thirty-one point deficit to a dominant composite leader in a race that looks predictable
Raw talent indicated by avgPerf 80 but composite (30) and suitability (trap=3) tell a cautionary story
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 450m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Droopys Tiffany | 100 | 0 | Fader |
2Whisky Ernest | 0 | 100 | Closer |
3Distant Flow | 50 | 50 | All-Rounder |
4Ballymac Ivanna | 0 | 100 | Closer |
6Reenaderry Road | 100 | 0 | Fader |
Only runs at exactly 450m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (450m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 264m | 275m | 277m | 400m | 435m | 450m | 460m | 480m | 483m | 500m | 661m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Droopys Tiffany | — | — | 0.610 | — | — | 0.617 | — | 0.582 | — | — | — |
| 2 | Whisky Ernest | 0.604 | 0.645 | — | — | 0.608 | 0.628 | 0.650 | — | — | — | — |
| 3 | Distant Flow | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.633 | 0.591 | — |
| 4 | Ballymac Ivanna | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.620 | — | 0.644 |
| 6 | Reenaderry Road | — | — | — | — | — | 0.618 | — | — | — | — | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.