Doncaster 483 Winner of One - Division 1
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Ballybrazil Aced 2y 26 | E O Driver — 21% R306 W64 P187 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 71 | 0 | 44 (4) | 55 (5) | 55 (5) | 81 (1) | 68 (3) | 67 (4) | 64 (4) | 69 (3) | 54 (4) | 60 (5) | 11 | - | - | - | 60 | 44 | 3 | 8/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Allez Lulab 1y 23 | C Handford — 35% R17 W6 P12 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 38 | 50 | 67 (2) | 84 (1) | 78 (1) | 43 (5) | 52 (2) | 64 (1) | - | - | - | - | 1 | 40 | 16 | 40 | 67 | 44 | 2 | 5/6F | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Thurlesbeg Lexyb 2y 35 | R A Draper — 28% R279 W77 P183 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 59 | 58 | 59 (2) | 74 (2) | 69 (4) | 87 (1) | 67 (3) | 46 (3) | 86 (1) | 59 (5) | 82 (1) | 78 (1) | 38 | 28 | 32 | 27 | 70 | 50 | 1 | 6/5 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Drombeg Abbyb 2yN/R 23 | C A Gilbert — 20% R56 W11 P28 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 39 | 49 | 68 (2) | 89 (1) | 64 (4) | 71 (2) | 82 (1) | 60 (4) | 76 (1) | 64 (2) | 63 (2) | 46 (4) | - | 39 | 36 | 16 | 71 | 42 | - | - | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Tell Em Nothingd 2yN/R 25 | C A Gilbert — 20% R56 W11 P28 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | 55 | 88 (1) | 71 (2) | 86 (1) | 57 (5) | 32 (5) | 41 (2) | 63 (6) | 81 (3) | 36 (6) | - | 33 | 40 | 32 | 30 | 72 | 49 | - | - | - | |
Tell Em Nothing is just one composite point behind at 49.0, with average performance of 72.0 — the highest in the race — track suitability 40, distance suitability 30, and a bend rating of 55 from Trap 6. On suitability, Tell Em Nothing is actually the marginally stronger qualifier. The composite single-point deficit is the only metric that separates this runner from the pick, and this is a race where form reversal is as likely as confirmation of the composite order. Trainer C A Gilbert has strong OR-level runners. An equally valid selection that happens to sit one composite point behind.
MODEL LOCK selection by the narrowest margin — tentative confidence reflecting the extremely tight composite comparison
Best distance suitability in the race — each-way prospect in a race where the top two are separated by one composite point
Tied fourth — zero suitability at 483m Doncaster undermines a technically adequate composite of 44
Strong raw performance with eight-point composite gap — place contender in a very competitive five-runner field
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 483m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Ballybrazil Ace | 0 | 100 | Closer |
3Allez Lula | 50 | 50 | All-Rounder |
4Thurlesbeg Lexy | 33 | 100 | Closer |
5Drombeg Abby | 100 | 0 | Fader |
6Tell Em Nothing | 100 | 0 | Fader |
Only runs at exactly 483m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (483m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 483m | 500m | 525m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ballybrazil Ace | — | 0.610 | — |
| 3 | Allez Lula | 0.625 | — | 0.563 |
| 4 | Thurlesbeg Lexy | 0.616 | 0.588 | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.