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Doncaster 483 Maiden
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Grouchos Sallyb 1y 15 | R J Overton — 18% R361 W64 P217 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 100 | - | 46 (4) | 60 (1) | 51 (2) | 48 (3) | 59 (2) | 50 (3) | - | - | - | - | 5 | 28 | - | - | 52 | 65 | 1 | 4/1 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Grovenor Eeveeb 1y 23 | B Heaton — 16% R185 W30 P90 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | - | - | 38 (1) | 29 (3) | 19 (6) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 29 | - | - | - | 30 | 19 | 3 | 4/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Murrow Jabalid 1y 23 | R Fitch — 23% R70 W16 P46 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 14 | 0 | 59 (5) | 80 (1) | 64 (3) | 68 (3) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1 | - | - | - | 67 | 25 | 2 | 5/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Grouchos Emilyb 1y 18 | R J Overton — 18% R361 W64 P217 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | - | - | 62 (1) | 47 (3) | 41 (3) | 45 (3) | 60 (1) | 53 (2) | 52 (2) | 47 (2) | 38 (5) | 33 (5) | 34 | 22 | - | - | 50 | 44 | 5 | 6/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Redbrick Beckhamd 2y 27 | J W Gaskin — 29% R306 W90 P228 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 0 | 100 | 56 (2) | 62 (1) | 55 (2) | 53 (3) | 51 (2) | 49 (3) | 61 (1) | 65 (2) | 61 (1) | 46 (3) | 45 | 46 | 6 | - | 56 | 23 | 4 | 1/1F | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Seomra Harrietb 1yN/R 16 | C A Gilbert — 20% R56 W11 P28 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 87 | 50 | 88 (1) | 81 (1) | 54 (3) | 80 (1) | 36 (5) | 83 (2) | 62 (4) | 80 (1) | 61 (3) | 66 (2) | 42 | - | - | - | 71 | 61 | - | - | - | |
Seomra Harriet is the most credible danger in this race — four points off the composite lead at 61.0, with average performance 71.0 (the highest in the field), trap suitability 42 from Trap 6, and a first bend rating of 50. The contrast with the composite leader's profile is stark: Harriet has clearly demonstrated form at OR 483m level while the leader's suitability metrics are largely absent. In any other situation, this would be a prime override candidate. The MODEL LOCK rule prevents the override but bettors should treat this as a race where the danger has genuine claims to reverse the pick.
MODEL LOCK selection with important caveats — suitability flags are significant but composite leadership at 483m is respected
Outside the winning frame — composite deficit and lack of distance evidence make this a background runner
Major outsider — forty-point composite deficit and no suitability data at this venue make a competitive run unlikely
Potential pace factor early but zero distance suitability at 483m and large composite deficit limit finishing prospects
Outsider — weakest metrics in the race with zero suitability evidence at OR 483m Doncaster
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Grouchos Sally | 50 | 50 | All-Rounder |
2Grovenor Eevee | — | — | No data |
3Murrow Jabali | 0 | 100 | Closer |
4Grouchos Emily | 56 | 0 | Fader |
5Redbrick Beckham | 63 | 0 | Fader |
6Seomra Harriet | 0 | 100 | Closer |
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (483m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 268m | 450m | 462m | 480m | 525m | 570m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Grouchos Sally | — | 0.628 | — | — | 0.571 | 0.569 |
| 2 | Grovenor Eevee | 0.625 | — | — | — | — | — |
| 3 | Murrow Jabali | — | — | 0.612 | — | — | — |
| 4 | Grouchos Emily | — | 0.632 | — | — | — | — |
| 5 | Redbrick Beckham | — | 0.622 | — | — | — | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.