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Doncaster 483 Winner of One - Division 2
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Ivy Hill Stellab 2y 16 | D Calvert — 16% R584 W95 P336 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | 38 | 55 (4) | 84 (1) | 50 (5) | 85 (1) | 53 (5) | 85 (1) | 72 (2) | 51 (5) | 87 (1) | 72 (2) | 23 | 45 | 46 | 53 | 68 | 53 | 2 | 7/4 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Blackstone Tend 2y 33 | C D Marston — 13% R450 W57 P210 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 26 | 49 | 52 (4) | 53 (4) | 69 (4) | 61 (2) | 52 (6) | 36 (6) | 91 (6) | 100 (1) | 72 (1) | - | 34 | - | 20 | - | 61 | 30 | 4 | 10/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Magical Bossd 2y 36 | S Watson — 30% R419 W124 P290 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 32 | 100 | 48 (4) | 40 (4) | 39 (4) | 59 (1) | 61 (1) | 43 (4) | 44 (2) | 58 (2) | 47 (6) | 62 (3) | 38 | 47 | 27 | 16 | 49 | 30 | 5 | 10/3 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Canageob 2y 19 | J W Gaskin — 29% R306 W90 P228 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 55 | 54 | 84 (1) | 82 (1) | 64 (3) | 82 (1) | 84 (4) | 60 (5) | 33 (5) | 86 (1) | 62 (1) | 42 (3) | 1 | 31 | - | 55 | 72 | 54 | 1 | 13/8F | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Murrow Catatumbob 3y 34 | R Fitch — 23% R70 W16 P46 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 85 | 20 | 82 (2) | 89 (1) | 88 (5) | 87 (1) | 89 (2) | 83 (1) | 100 (2) | 67 (1) | 75 (3) | - | 29 | - | 20 | - | 85 | 60 | 3 | 11/2 | - | |
Canageo is the most structurally-proven runner in this race at 483m: distance suitability 55, track suitability 31, a bend rating of 54, and composite 54.0. Average performance of 72.0 is strong for OR grade. Six points off the composite leader in a MODEL LOCK race, but with the leader showing zero distance suitability, Canageo's established 483m credentials make this a genuine danger case. If the composite leader's low bend rating creates issues at the first turn, Canageo has the positional and distance profile to benefit. Trainer J W Gaskin is reliable at OR level.
MODEL LOCK selection — composite 60 with gap 6 and exceptional avgP 85, though zero suitability data at this trip is the risk
Strong suitability case but seven-point composite gap and weak bend rating limit first-past-post prospects
Thirty-point composite deficit — cannot realistically compete with the composite leaders at OR 483m Doncaster
Front-runner who may lead early — lowest avgPerf and significant composite deficit limit finishing position prospects
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 483m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Ivy Hill Stella | 64 | 50 | Front Runner |
2Blackstone Ten | 50 | 80 | Closer |
3Magical Boss | 100 | 0 | Fader |
4Canageo | 0 | 0 | Fader |
5Murrow Catatumbo | 0 | 100 | Closer |
Only runs at exactly 483m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (483m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 435m | 450m | 462m | 480m | 483m | 491m | 525m | 659m | 661m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ivy Hill Stella | — | — | — | — | 0.622 | — | — | — | — |
| 2 | Blackstone Ten | 0.625 | — | — | — | 0.631 | 0.607 | 0.547 | — | — |
| 3 | Magical Boss | — | 0.628 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 4 | Canageo | — | 0.623 | — | — | 0.622 | — | — | — | 0.651 |
| 5 | Murrow Catatumbo | — | — | 0.608 | — | — | — | — | 0.618 | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.