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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Bills Caxtond 4y 26 | K Wilton — 21% R189 W40 P98 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 35 | 42 | 36 (5) | 42 (4) | 40 (5) | 60 (6) | 44 (3) | 51 (3) | 55 (4) | 57 (4) | 59 (3) | - | 31 | 31 | 38 | 25 | 55 | 46 | 3 | 8/1 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Legsintheaird 2y 17 | A S Mcpherson — 16% R289 W46 P133 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 59 | 64 | 73 (1) | 45 (5) | 70 (3) | 32 (5) | 53 (5) | 71 (1) | 60 (2) | 36 (6) | 72 (1) | 38 (6) | 39 | 36 | 28 | 24 | 44 | 40 | 1 | 13/8F | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Freedom Vestab 5y 34 | A S Mcpherson — 16% R289 W46 P133 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 58 | 51 | 39 (6) | 49 (5) | 26 (4) | 52 (4) | 50 (3) | 51 (5) | 57 (4) | 66 (4) | 52 (2) | - | 30 | 33 | - | 30 | 49 | 43 | 2 | 10/3 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Jacktavern Sadieb 1y 14 | S J Spillane — 13% R109 W14 P54 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 40 | 39 | 39 (5) | 60 (1) | 41 (5) | 39 (4) | 40 (5) | 48 (4) | 45 (3) | 62 (3) | 51 (1) | - | 4 | 33 | - | 27 | 55 | 43 | 4 | 5/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Mon Visaged 2y 5 | J Daly — 18% R223 W40 P117 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | 52 | 52 (4) | 42 (4) | 56 (4) | 56 (2) | 73 (1) | 52 (4) | 55 (3) | 56 (4) | 45 (3) | 57 (3) | 19 | 32 | - | 20 | 48 | 39 | 5 | 15/8 | - | |
Selected on the dominant T2 trap position and the best recent open-race performance in the field. LR P59 for 2nd at A6 500m is the strongest single data point among the non-trial runners — she's proven competitive at exactly this grade and distance. T2 wins 24.57% of A6 500m races from 175 runs, far ahead of any other position. The Fader profile (EP55, CS20) is the obvious concern, and at 500m with four bends, a CS20 dog is expected to weaken significantly in the closing stages. But EP55 from T2 means she'll be first or second through the tight first bend, saving ground while wider runners lose it. Speed 59 is joint-fastest in the field with Freedom Vesta, and bend rating 64 is the best by a wide margin — she handles Nottingham's bends well. The form trajectory (discounting trial) 59→43→41→42→49 shows the A6 LR was her best recent run by far — and 2LR P43 for 6th was at A5, a higher grade. Trainer A S Mcpherson at 10% is low, but the trap data is the decisive factor here.
DANGER: All-Rounder profile from T3 sweet-spot draw, consistent form, sustainable pace. Will benefit most if Legsintheair fades. Lacks the peak ability to win outright but structurally well-positioned.
CRITICAL trial warning — 4 of 6 races are trials. Just two open-race HP runs (P52, P55) provide insufficient evidence for A6 assessment. Cannot be selected.
CRITICAL trial warning — 3 of 6 races are trials. Stepping up from A7 with trap suit of just 4. The open-race A7 form (P62, P51, P49) is promising but unproven against A6 rivals.
Class dropper from A4/A5 to A6 which helps, but low suitability across all dimensions and a poor T5 draw limit her prospects. Will run respectably but unlikely to win.
T2 dominant at 24.57% from 175 runs. Composite R2 outperforms R1 (19.93% vs 18.66%) — the second-rated dog wins as often as the top-rated. Upsets are structurally embedded in A6 racing.
T1:16.29% T2:24.57% T3:20.80% T4:19.75% T5:16.59% T6:15.71%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 500m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Bills Caxton | 35 | 74 | Closer |
2Legsintheair | 55 | 20 | Fader |
3Freedom Vesta | 52 | 50 | All-Rounder |
4Jacktavern Sadie | 34 | 70 | Closer |
5Mon Visage | 50 | 45 | All-Rounder |
Only runs at exactly 500m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (500m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 305m | 480m | 500m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bills Caxton | — | — | 0.633 |
| 2 | Legsintheair | — | 0.626 | 0.620 |
| 3 | Freedom Vesta | 0.605 | — | 0.621 |
| 4 | Jacktavern Sadie | — | — | 0.633 |
| 5 | Mon Visage | — | — | 0.631 |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.