Loading...
Book A Winning Deal For £13 Stakes
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Evas Angelb 2y 4 | P J Wilson — 19% R110 W21 P46 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 0 | 7 | 34 (5) | 39 (6) | 24 (5) | 36 (5) | 36 (5) | 52 (5) | 49 (6) | 43 (2) | - | - | 35 | 31 | - | 19 | 39 | 35 | 6 | 7/4F | |
| 2 | ▶ Rogerthedodged 4y 16 | J Llewellin — 17% R365 W61 P195 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 23 | 49 | 31 (6) | 52 (2) | 47 (3) | 56 (1) | 55 (4) | 40 (5) | 72 (1) | 61 (2) | 57 (2) | 58 (2) | 29 | 23 | 21 | 21 | 52 | 42 | 2 | 2/1 | |
| 3 | ▶ Freedom Venusb 5y 16 | A S Mcpherson — 15% R285 W42 P132 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 41 | 56 | 42 (4) | 59 (3) | 26 (6) | 49 (4) | 25 (6) | 35 (6) | 45 (5) | 64 (3) | 60 (3) | 44 (6) | 45 | 39 | - | 34 | 50 | 46 | 5 | 5/1 | |
| 4 | ▶ Missouri Doveb 3y 6 | S J Spillane — 15% R112 W17 P59 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 65 | 62 | 47 (4) | 63 (2) | 60 (3) | 54 (4) | 61 (2) | 62 (2) | 50 (5) | 54 (4) | 61 (3) | 52 (5) | 4 | 32 | 6 | 28 | 59 | 46 | 1 | 6/1 | |
| 5 | ▶ Trillerb 3y 14 | B Denby — 20% R260 W51 P146 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 61 | 0 | 74 (1) | 72 (1) | 56 (4) | 75 (1) | 59 (2) | 56 (4) | 75 (4) | 44 (1) | 60 (6) | - | 43 | 36 | 41 | 31 | 57 | 50 | 4 | 6/1 | |
| 6 | ▶ Spot The Loonyd 4y 18 | J Llewellin — 17% R365 W61 P195 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 76 | 55 | 77 (1) | 76 (1) | 61 (3) | 69 (2) | 62 (2) | 77 (5) | 54 (1) | 66 (4) | 63 (2) | - | 41 | 38 | 38 | 37 | 57 | 51 | 3 | 7/1 | |
The pick on pace profile and recent form. Missouri Dove is a confirmed Front Runner (EP65, CS47, consistency 99 — near-perfect consistency) who'll lead this field from the first bend. At Nottingham 500m, position at the first bend is critical, and EP65 is the highest in the field by a comfortable margin. The CS47 is moderate rather than extreme Fader territory — she can sustain her pace for longer than a CS20-30 dog. LR P61 for 2nd at HP and 2LR P63 for 2nd at A5 (a higher grade) show she's competitive and consistently running to a good level. Discounting the trial 3LR, the open-race form reads 61→63→50→54→61 — reliable mid-50s to low-60s. Trainer S J Spillane at 24% is strong and has placed this bitch back in HP where she's proven. Trap suit 4 is very low, and T4 wins 19.88% in HP which is fair but not dominant. However, the pace profile overrides the trap stats here — EP65 from T4 gets to the bend before wider runners can interfere, and consistency 99 means she delivers that pace every single time.
DANGER: Most consistent HP performer with two recent 2nd places and a win five back. Low speed (23) means he won't lead, but the All-Rounder style keeps him involved. Will be there at the finish.
Extreme Closer with virtually no early pace (EP5). Speed rating 0 means she's the slowest dog in the field. Relies on total collapse ahead — unlikely against Missouri Dove's sustainable Front Runner style.
CRITICAL trial warning — 3 of 6 are trials. Worst trap in HP 500m (T3, 14.72%). Hasn't run an open race since January. Cannot be selected.
Extreme Closer (EP0, CS100) who needs total pace collapse. Missouri Dove's sustainable Front Runner style (CS47) makes that unlikely. Consistent P57-60 form but one-dimensional closing strategy limits her ceiling.
Best speed (76) and best trap (T6, 22.60%), but Missouri Dove's superior EP means she won't lead to the bend. Second to the bend from T6 at Nottingham means losing ground through the tight turns despite the speed advantage.
T6 is the best trap in HP 500m at 22.60% from 385 runs — unusual for Nottingham which normally favours inside draws. T5 also strong at 20.05%. T3 is the worst at 14.72%. Composite R1 wins 22.78% — the best-rated dog has a strong edge in HP racing.
T1:19.92% T2:17.89% T3:14.72% T4:19.88% T5:20.05% T6:22.60%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 500m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Evas Angel | 5 | 85 | Closer |
2Rogerthedodge | 51 | 19 | All-Rounder |
3Freedom Venus | 49 | 29 | All-Rounder |
4Missouri Dove | 65 | 47 | Front Runner |
5Triller | 0 | 100 | Closer |
6Spot The Loony | 58 | 53 | Front Runner |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.