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Homing Dogs With Home Run Hounds Stakes
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Baby Bonob 4y 14 | A S Mcpherson — 15% R285 W42 P132 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 11 | - | 39 (5) | 55 (2) | 49 (6) | 54 (4) | 59 (3) | 70 (3) | 21 (1) | 65 (4) | 47 (1) | - | 31 | 28 | 26 | 29 | 47 | 41 | 5 | 10/3 | |
| 2 | ▶ Zoos Zenab 3y 25 | L Cook — 17% R130 W22 P73 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 11 | - | 42 (6) | 53 (3) | 53 (3) | 55 (4) | 52 (4) | 48 (4) | 70 (1) | 33 (6) | 68 (1) | 53 (3) | 30 | 46 | 25 | 30 | 52 | 46 | 3 | 3/1 | |
| 3 | ▶ Stradbally Anneb 2y 5 | A S Mcpherson — 15% R285 W42 P132 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 43 | 48 | 35 (5) | 45 (4) | 35 (5) | 20 (6) | 29 (6) | 54 (3) | 35 (5) | 40 (5) | 32 (6) | 60 (1) | 41 | 33 | 27 | 29 | 46 | 42 | 4 | 8/1 | |
| 4 | ▶ Rowington Ravenb 2yN/R 3 | P J Wilson — 19% R110 W21 P46 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 59 | 48 | 18 (5) | 66 (2) | 79 (1) | 73 (1) | 56 (1) | 74 (2) | 59 (1) | 48 (3) | 43 (4) | - | 50 | 44 | 18 | 32 | 54 | 50 | - | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Wolf Flareb 3y 6 | J Llewellin — 17% R365 W61 P195 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 68 | 57 | 52 (3) | 72 (1) | 56 (3) | 61 (2) | 54 (4) | 55 (4) | 58 (3) | 62 (3) | 50 (6) | 21 (1) | 34 | 32 | 32 | 30 | 60 | 50 | 2 | 9/4 | |
| 6 | ▶ Noirs Flyb 2y 14 | J Daly — 18% R238 W44 P126 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 64 | 52 | 48 (5) | 76 (1) | 63 (3) | 75 (1) | 78 (1) | 77 (1) | 74 (1) | 47 (6) | 49 (5) | 60 (3) | 2 | 47 | 35 | 42 | 62 | 51 | 1 | 2/1F | |
The class pick with the best average performance (P62) and a powerful Closer profile (EP44, CS78) built for running down fading leaders. The form includes two HP wins in recent history — P77 for 1st two runs back and P76 for 1st five runs back — proving she's a proven HP winner at Nottingham. Speed 64 is competitive and the CS78 means she'll close strongly as Wolf Flare fades through the final bends. Track suit 47 is joint-best in the field, and distance suit 42 shows genuine 500m pedigree. The one concern is trap suit 2 — almost zero — from T6, which suggests she hasn't historically performed from the widest draw. But T6 wins 22.60% in HP from 385 runs (the best trap), which contradicts her personal data. The P54 LR for 4th is a mild concern, but the P77 and P76 wins from the same HP level prove the ability is there. Trainer J Daly at 10% is low, but the dog's own proven ability at HP level is the decisive factor.
DANGER: Closer (CS61) from workable T4 draw, best trap suitability among mid-field runners (50), P59 LR at HP. Will benefit most if Wolf Flare fades and Noirs Fly loses ground on the wide route.
Two HP wins show ability but P47 average, speed 11, and no pace data make him unpredictable. When he fires he wins; when he doesn't he's mid-pack. Too unreliable to select.
Consistent (P52 average, very tight range) but her ceiling is too low for this field. Track suit 46 is good but speed 11 and no recorded pace data make her a mid-field finisher.
Worst trap (T3, 14.72%), declining form (P46 average, down from P60 peak), and borderline Fader pace profile. Structurally and form-wise disadvantaged.
Pace-setter with P60 average and good speed (68), but Fader (CS39) at 500m means she'll lead and fade. Sets up the race for the closers — particularly Noirs Fly and Rowington Raven.
T6 best at 22.60% from 385 runs. Composite R1 wins 22.78% — top-rated dog has strong edge. This HP has P62 average Noirs Fly as clear R1.
T1:19.92% T2:17.89% T3:14.72% T4:19.88% T5:20.05% T6:22.60%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 500m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Baby Bono | — | — | No data |
2Zoos Zena | — | — | No data |
3Stradbally Anne | 49 | 34 | All-Rounder |
4Rowington Raven | 51 | 61 | Closer |
5Wolf Flare | 59 | 39 | Fader |
6Noirs Fly | 44 | 78 | Closer |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.