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VALLEY V OXFORD INTERTRACK
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Spot On Cheeksb 3y 34 | S R Pilgrim — 12% R59 W7 P19 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 98 | 100 | 28 (4) | 27 (5) | 10 (6) | 47 (4) | 47 (2) | 51 (2) | 47 (2) | 56 (1) | 52 (2) | 42 (3) | 34 | 15 | 18 | - | 48 | 38 | 2 | 11/4 | |
| 2 | ▶ Ashway Charlied 5y 24 | A G Rawlings — 20% R230 W46 P133 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 14 | 0 | 49 (4) | 50 (4) | 74 (1) | 68 (1) | 40 (5) | 31 (4) | 45 (3) | 46 (3) | 43 (4) | 38 (5) | 45 | 39 | - | 15 | 46 | 42 | 4 | 4/1 | |
| 3 | ▶ Chadwell Tysond 3y 15 | G C Wright — 15% R143 W22 P73 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 91 | 100 | 31 (1) | 18 (6) | 22 (4) | 10 (6) | 40 (5) | 52 (1) | 48 (1) | 34 (2) | 41 (4) | 25 (6) | 25 | 15 | - | - | 42 | 33 | 3 | 7/1 | |
| 4 | ▶ Scala Brewb 3y 14 | G C Wright — 15% R143 W22 P73 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 90 | 100 | 47 (4) | 56 (3) | 38 (5) | 22 (1) | 15 (3) | 49 (4) | 56 (4) | 43 (5) | 72 (1) | 71 (1) | 35 | 15 | - | - | 56 | 43 | 1 | 7/4F | |
| 5 | ▶ Miltown Hopeb 4y 14 | A N J Morgan — 14% R1166 W169 P574 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 10 | 0 | 47 (4) | 56 (3) | 49 (4) | 41 (5) | 50 (2) | 44 (5) | 33 (6) | 16 (3) | 40 (4) | 35 (5) | 31 | 49 | - | 7 | 39 | 36 | 5 | 2/1 | |
| 6 | ▶ Hawkfield Ellieb 2y 25 | D S Davy — 22% R416 W90 P256 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 0 | 0 | 21 (3) | 55 (2) | 48 (4) | 18 (4) | 41 (4) | 15 (5) | 38 (3) | 43 (5) | 25 (6) | 39 (4) | 6 | 27 | - | - | 36 | 26 | 6 | 12/1 | |
Scala Brew is the pick on pure speed metrics. A classic Fader with early pace 100 and first-bend rating 100, this dog combines elite pace with a strong speed rating of 90. The sectional times are superb: 4.21 average, 4.16 best — indicating consistent high-speed bend control. Recent Oxford form (4th on 24 March A6) was a clear run and shows this dog is racing fresh. Despite trap 4 being borderline weak ground at Valley (15.4%), the speed advantage is too great to overcome. This is a pacer's race, and Scala Brew has the sharpest credentials.
Predicts 2nd position (h3Score 91.522). The 4.5-point deficit is marginal, and trap advantage (T1 vs T4) suggests Spot On Cheeks could easily reverse the placings. This is a genuine 50-50 proposition between two elite pacers. The pick goes to Scala Brew on model preference, but Spot On Cheeks at longer odds may offer value.
Predicts 3rd position (h3Score 78.7). Despite identical pace profiles to the top two, the h3Score deficit suggests meaningful underperformance on key metrics. Speed rating is respectable (91), but performance average (42) lags competitors, indicating lower quality runs historically.
Predicts 4th position (h3Score 45.1). Speed rating of 14 is amongst the slowest in the entire field. Recent Valley form shows inability to cash in, finishing out of the money. The Closer template and Valley constraint make this dog peripheral.
Predicts 5th position (h3Score 33.9). Speed rating (10) and h3Score (33.9) are bottom-half metrics. Recent Valley form shows consistent out-of-money finishes. This dog has no realistic path to the placings.
Predicts 6th position (h3Score 22.9). This is the clear outsider. Speed rating of 0, h3Score of 22.9, and recent Valley form including a 6th-place finish all point to a runner completely outmatched. Trap advantage cannot overcome the fundamental performance gap.
Valley's tight bends and constrained geometry create a pace-dominated environment. The two runners with elite early pace and bend speed dictate outcomes almost inevitably. Closers have negligible impact.
T1:22.3% T2:17.0% T3:17.7% T4:15.4% T5:19.3% T6:20.9%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 460m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Spot On Cheeks | 100 | 0 | Fader |
2Ashway Charlie | 0 | 100 | Closer |
3Chadwell Tyson | 100 | 0 | Fader |
4Scala Brew | 100 | 0 | Fader |
5Miltown Hope | 0 | 100 | Closer |
6Hawkfield Ellie | 0 | 100 | Closer |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.