VALLEY V OXFORD INTERTRACK
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Ardmayle Topazd 5y 25 | A G Rawlings — 21% R220 W46 P130 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 30 | 0 | 53 (3) | 57 (2) | 57 (3) | 48 (5) | 65 (2) | 51 (3) | 37 (6) | 61 (2) | 72 (1) | 54 (3) | 44 | 48 | 18 | 35 | 57 | 51 | 4 | 5/4 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Knockroe Aceb 3y 27 | A N J Morgan — 14% R1174 W165 P579 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 32 | 0 | 55 (3) | 20 (5) | 48 (4) | 22 (4) | 23 (2) | 41 (3) | 18 (5) | 40 (5) | 46 (3) | 54 (3) | 36 | 35 | - | 23 | 48 | 41 | 6 | 14/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Mohican Carlyb 3y 14 | S R Pilgrim — 11% R65 W7 P22 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 93 | 100 | 16 (6) | 30 (5) | 28 (6) | 29 (6) | 36 (4) | 17 (2) | 10 (6) | 49 (4) | 61 (1) | 59 (1) | 25 | 15 | - | - | 47 | 35 | 1 | 7/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Mohican Bend 4y 32 | S R Pilgrim — 11% R65 W7 P22 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 66 | 100 | 25 (5) | 9 (6) | 11 (5) | 25 (5) | 22 (5) | 48 (1) | 40 (3) | 31 (4) | 15 (5) | 37 (1) | 35 | 15 | - | - | 33 | 31 | 2 | 14/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Rolo Buttonsb 2y 26 | S R Pilgrim — 11% R65 W7 P22 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 95 | 100 | 53 (4) | 34 (5) | 52 (3) | 67 (1) | 33 (4) | 15 (4) | 15 (4) | 45 (3) | 35 (6) | 34 (5) | 5 | 15 | - | - | 44 | 28 | 3 | 7/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Beechview Baled 3y 14 | A N J Morgan — 14% R1174 W165 P579 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 26 | 0 | 58 (3) | 43 (4) | 69 (2) | 51 (2) | 53 (4) | 49 (4) | 50 (4) | 74 (1) | 45 (6) | 55 (3) | 42 | 50 | - | 41 | 58 | 52 | 5 | 8/11F | - | |
Mohican Carly stands out as the class act here, boasting a phenomenal first-bend rating (100) and sectional speed that ranks among the quickest in the field (4.12 sectional average, best time 27.73). Her early pace profile (100 on early pace index) combined with proven bend speed makes her ideally suited to Valley's tight, turn-heavy geography where front-running dogs who can accelerate through corners thrive. Recent form is mixed, but when you possess this level of raw bend speed and early acceleration, trip luck becomes the only genuine concern. She has the fastest fundamental credentials for this tight track.
Despite trap 1 advantage and proven form at Valley, his profile — a finisher — is poorly suited to the track's pace-biased, bend-turning character. He will find better fixtures.
Form is unreliable, track suitability is poor, and the draw offers no compensation. A poor value proposition in this company.
Poor draw, weaker sectional speed than his stablemate, and deteriorating form make this an unappealing prospect despite reasonable early pace.
Early pace alone cannot win on this track. His fade-in-the-final-quarter profile is exposed by Valley's geometry, and minimal suitability numbers compound the concern.
An excellent closer on a track that doesn't reward closing. His high suitability and strong draw cannot overcome the fundamental mismatch between his pace profile and Valley's geometry.
Trap 1 boasts the clearest advantage at Valley, but trap 3 runners with genuine early pace and bend speed can overcome the bias if they have the sectional credentials. Valley's tight turns reward dogs that carry momentum through the bends, not those who attempt to come from off the pace.
T1: 22.3% (865 runs) T2: 17.0% (950 runs) T3: 17.7% (998 runs) T4: 15.4% (935 runs) T5: 19.3% (926 runs) T6: 20.9% (923 runs)
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 460m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Ardmayle Topaz | 0 | 100 | Closer |
2Knockroe Ace | 0 | 100 | Closer |
3Mohican Carly | 100 | 0 | Fader |
4Mohican Ben | 100 | 0 | Fader |
5Rolo Buttons | 100 | 0 | Fader |
6Beechview Bale | 0 | 100 | Closer |
Only runs at exactly 460m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (460m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 253m | 260m | 262m | 450m | 460m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ardmayle Topaz | — | — | — | — | 0.641 |
| 2 | Knockroe Ace | — | 0.652 | — | — | 0.645 |
| 3 | Mohican Carly | — | 0.662 | — | 0.621 | 0.657 |
| 4 | Mohican Ben | 0.631 | — | 0.598 | 0.632 | 0.662 |
| 5 | Rolo Buttons | — | — | — | 0.625 | 0.651 |
| 6 | Beechview Bale | — | — | — | — | 0.638 |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.