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Arena Racing Company Stakes
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Class | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Rating | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Rhoden Nelsond 3y 6 | S Roberts — 19% R175 W34 P79 Trainer form — last 3 months | 50 | 41 | 72 (1) | 59 (3) | 53 (4) | 33 (5) | 40 (5) | 40 (6) | 35 (6) | 55 (4) | 57 (4) | 77 (1) | 30 | 34 | 36 | 24 | 49 | 42 | 5 | 16/1 | ||
| 2 | ▶ Afternoon Callb 1y 15 | D Winder — 19% R129 W25 P59 Trainer form — last 3 months | 53 | 29 | 50 (4) | 57 (4) | 68 (1) | 61 (1) | 51 (2) | 62 (3) | 46 (1) | - | - | - | 43 | 35 | - | 43 | 59 | 52 | 2 | 11/8F | ||
| 3 | ▶ Crooks Willowb 3y 15 | S Caile — 14% R181 W25 P93 Trainer form — last 3 months | 41 | 65 | 6 (6) | 48 (4) | 36 (6) | 54 (3) | 49 (5) | 68 (4) | 62 (1) | 52 (1) | 47 (2) | - | 61 | 57 | 25 | 45 | 54 | 54 | 1 | 7/2 | ||
| 4 | ▶ Blackhouseharperb 3y 27 | S Ray — 14% R408 W57 P215 Trainer form — last 3 months | 60 | 45 | 62 (2) | 49 (6) | 46 (6) | 58 (2) | 55 (4) | 60 (3) | 62 (2) | 67 (1) | 62 (2) | 38 (6) | 34 | 35 | 34 | 46 | 56 | 50 | 3 | 15/8 | ||
| 5 | ▶ Trinity Cocod 2yN/R 6 | R Hale — 19% R59 W11 P29 Trainer form — last 3 months | 43 | 55 | 69 (1) | 52 (4) | 52 (4) | 54 (3) | 54 (3) | 38 (5) | 41 (5) | 50 (5) | 58 (3) | 60 (3) | 17 | 26 | - | 11 | 56 | 43 | - | - | ||
| 6 | ▶ Hurry Up Ivyb 3y 14 | S Ray — 14% R408 W57 P215 Trainer form — last 3 months | 52 | 53 | 44 (5) | 42 (5) | 45 (5) | 77 (1) | 73 (1) | 53 (2) | 68 (1) | 54 (3) | 40 (5) | 40 (5) | 25 | 27 | 35 | 26 | 52 | 43 | 4 | 9/2 | ||
Crooks Willow has won her last two starts at A6 and A7 and makes the step up to A5 tonight from the prime trap three position. Her suitability profile is outstanding — the best track knowledge, trap familiarity, and distance suitability in the race all point to a dog who thrives at this venue from this draw. The early pace and bend ability are by far the strongest in the field, meaning she should lead through the first two bends with daylight. The concern is obvious — her last two individual performance figures of 13 and 11 were very poor, and the extreme fading tendency means she's vulnerable through the closing stages. But the prediction model looks beyond the last two runs and the suitability alignment from trap three is the strongest structural signal in this race.
Highest rated with a powerful closing kick — the main danger if the pace is genuine enough to close into.
Structurally well drawn but weakest rated with poor suitability — hard to make a case for involvement.
Best speed with a good draw and balanced style — a solid each-way contender who could outrun his odds.
Extreme closer who needs a pace meltdown — too dependent on circumstances to back with confidence.
In-form front-runner but the wide draw is a significant disadvantage — needs luck early to be involved.
Flat A5 bias with T3 and T4 marginally best. No dead traps. Fair test — ability and suitability matter most.
T1:20.2% T2:17.0% T3:20.6% T4:20.4% T5:17.0% T6:16.8%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 480m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Rhoden Nelson | 49 | 50 | All-Rounder |
2Afternoon Call | 39 | 84 | Closer |
3Crooks Willow | 68 | 0 | Fader |
4Blackhouseharper | 51 | 50 | All-Rounder |
5Trinity Coco | 22 | 100 | Closer |
6Hurry Up Ivy | 60 | 26 | Fader |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.