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PGR on Sky Sports Stakes
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Class | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Rating | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Alnwick Tommyd 4y 16 | A Harrison — 20% R497 W97 P297 Trainer form — last 3 months | 52 | 57 | 46 (4) | 54 (3) | 53 (3) | 52 (2) | 49 (3) | 57 (3) | 68 (1) | 51 (2) | 52 (4) | 64 (1) | 39 | 42 | 50 | 54 | 59 | 54 | 1 | 7/1 | ||
| 2 | ▶ Newinn Zulud 1y 23 | R J Buckton — 19% R201 W38 P109 Trainer form — last 3 months | 60 | 50 | 54 (2) | 39 (5) | 50 (4) | 62 (2) | 65 (2) | 57 (3) | 64 (3) | 71 (1) | 63 (1) | 50 (2) | 50 | 35 | - | 32 | 53 | 48 | 2 | 11/4 | ||
| 3 | ▶ Do It Zarab 4y 14 | D Winder — 19% R129 W25 P59 Trainer form — last 3 months | 55 | 43 | 51 (2) | 55 (2) | 32 (6) | 41 (5) | 49 (3) | 44 (5) | 49 (4) | 43 (4) | 48 (4) | 69 (1) | 50 | 34 | 18 | 29 | 53 | 48 | 4 | 10/1 | ||
| 4 | ▶ More Likelyd 2y 25 | D Winder — 19% R129 W25 P59 Trainer form — last 3 months | 46 | 51 | 44 (5) | 38 (5) | 44 (5) | 46 (4) | 46 (5) | 46 (5) | 84 (1) | 83 (1) | - | - | 55 | 64 | - | 38 | 45 | 48 | 3 | 15/8 | ||
| 6 | ▶ Blackhouse Peggyb 4y 17 | S Ray — 14% R408 W57 P215 Trainer form — last 3 months | 48 | 57 | 64 (2) | 58 (3) | 56 (3) | 55 (5) | 53 (4) | 60 (5) | 69 (2) | 53 (1) | 56 (3) | - | 31 | 36 | 35 | 30 | 53 | 46 | 5 | 6/4F | ||
Alnwick Tommy has won and placed in his last two starts at A6 grade and steps up tonight with the best overall ratings profile in the race. His balanced running style is ideal for Newcastle's fair track and the rail draw gives him a position advantage through the bends. Distance suitability of 54 and class suitability of 50 are both the strongest in the field, suggesting this trip and level are right in his comfort zone. His speed and bend figures are both solid, and the All-Rounder profile means he can adapt to whatever scenario develops. The individual performance figures from recent runs have been modest, but the composite model weighs the broader career profile which points to a dog with more ability than those recent numbers suggest.
Best speed in the race with a closing style suited to Newcastle — the main danger if he reproduces his A4 form.
Consistent placer in a structural sweet spot, but declining form means she's running for minor honours.
Outstanding venue form but lowest rated on raw ability — a classic suitability vs class tension that may resolve in a mid-placing.
In-form at a lower level but the wide draw and step up in class make her task difficult.
Flat trap bias with no dead traps — a fair race. T1, T3, T4 all at ~20%. Composite rank 1 has a modest historical edge.
T1:20.2% T2:17.0% T3:20.6% T4:20.4% T5:17.0% T6:16.8%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 480m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Alnwick Tommy | 50 | 50 | All-Rounder |
2Newinn Zulu | 46 | 68 | Closer |
3Do It Zara | 41 | 79 | Closer |
4More Likely | 53 | 38 | All-Rounder |
6Blackhouse Peggy | 53 | 33 | All-Rounder |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.