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VALLEY V OXFORD INTERTRACK
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Class | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Rating | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Bells Babeb 2y 15 | D S Davy — 22% R413 W89 P253 Trainer form — last 3 months | 38 | 18 | 67 (2) | 54 (4) | 85 (1) | 71 (2) | 67 (2) | 63 (2) | 24 (4) | 95 (2) | 66 (3) | 84 (1) | 61 | 67 | - | 53 | 65 | 63 | 3 | 10/11F | ||
| 2 | ▶ Kilmoganny Luckb 2y 33 | G C Wright — 14% R133 W19 P67 Trainer form — last 3 months | 81 | 100 | 54 (5) | 48 (3) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 3 | 15 | - | - | 51 | 31 | 5 | 12/1 | ||
| 3 | ▶ Effernogue Peachb 2y 16 | G C Wright — 14% R133 W19 P67 Trainer form — last 3 months | 50 | 60 | 58 (5) | 49 (2) | 14 (4) | 57 (3) | 83 (6) | 57 (2) | 33 (2) | 81 (2) | - | - | 46 | 15 | - | - | 64 | 51 | 2 | 14/1 | ||
| 4 | ▶ Marinas Maltab 3y 3 | D S Davy — 22% R413 W89 P253 Trainer form — last 3 months | 35 | 16 | 67 (4) | 23 (1) | 70 (2) | 62 (3) | 51 (5) | 70 (2) | 72 (2) | 70 (3) | 66 (4) | 74 (2) | 42 | 62 | - | 24 | 65 | 56 | 4 | 5/4 | ||
| 5 | ▶ Shanbally Bluesd 3y 14 | G C Wright — 14% R133 W19 P67 Trainer form — last 3 months | 90 | 100 | 47 (2) | 56 (3) | 54 (3) | 10 (6) | 22 (1) | 62 (2) | 52 (4) | 35 (6) | 40 (4) | 73 (3) | 46 | 15 | - | - | 54 | 45 | 1 | 14/1 | ||
| 6 | ▶ Hawkfield Beebeeb 3y 8 | A N J Morgan — 14% R1131 W159 P550 Trainer form — last 3 months | 22 | 22 | 66 (1) | 28 (6) | 22 (1) | 34 (5) | 40 (5) | 51 (6) | 81 (5) | 76 (1) | 58 (2) | - | 45 | 36 | - | 26 | 59 | 50 | 6 | 9/2 | ||
Shanbally Blues emerges as the classiest performer in this field. A consistent Fader with exceptional early pace (rating 100) and first-bend speed of 100, this dog has the ideal profile for Valley's tight geometry. Recent form from Oxford shows winning pace patterns; the switch to Valley suits the early-pace template perfectly. Section speed averages 4.1 seconds with a best of 3.97 — elite metrics that predict dominant bend control. Trap 5 is neutral ground here, but from any box this speed rating of 90 sets a high bar for opposition.
Predicts 2nd position (h3Score 87.5) but carries risk. Performance rating is solid (64), but suitability across the board (track 15, distance 0) indicates poor condition fit. Valley's physical constraints will be more punishing for a closer here than typical track conditions.
Predicts 3rd position (h3Score 82.4). Suitability is decent (track 67, distance 53), but the 38 speed rating is limiting. The model respects recent Valley form (three A4 seconds in quick succession) but accounts correctly for the speed shortfall versus Shanbally Blues.
Predicts 4th position (h3Score 71.2). Speed rating (35) is bottom-half, suitability across track and distance is modest, and the trap placement is unfavourable. Represents a long-odds play.
Predicts 5th position (h3Score 69.1). Despite strong pace metrics, the 33-point gap to Shanbally Blues is the model's judgment on pre-race contention. Trap 2 suitability (3) is a major concern that outweighs the pace advantage.
Predicts 6th position (h3Score 64.1). Speed rating (22) is amongst the slowest, and the h3Score trails every other runner. The trial race win may suggest sharp tuning, but the evidence points to a peripheral runner.
Valley's tight bends and short first-bend distance create a landscape where early pace dominates. Dogs that flash early and control the race benefit enormously, whilst closers face severely constrained passing opportunities on the tight turns. Front-runner bias is pronounced.
T1:22.3% T2:17.0% T3:17.7% T4:15.4% T5:19.3% T6:20.9%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 460m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Bells Babe | 0 | 100 | Closer |
2Kilmoganny Luck | 100 | 0 | Fader |
3Effernogue Peach | 0 | 100 | Closer |
4Marinas Malta | 42 | 85 | Closer |
5Shanbally Blues | 100 | 0 | Fader |
6Hawkfield Beebee | 58 | 15 | Fader |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.