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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Essex Jewelb 4y 34 | E Y Bell — 22% R534 W116 P296 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 45 | - | 22 (6) | 36 (3) | 38 (3) | 38 (2) | 37 (2) | 42 (1) | 34 (2) | 34 (2) | 34 (2) | 31 (4) | 31 | 35 | 41 | 30 | 34 | 16 | 3 | 5/1 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Tip Top Flashd 2y 6 | D Blackbird — 17% R1101 W187 P608 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | - | 37 (1) | 31 (3) | 27 (6) | 47 (5) | 68 (6) | 34 (2) | 27 (3) | 29 (5) | 40 (4) | - | 36 | 32 | 34 | 36 | 32 | 34 | 5 | 7/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Distant Barbieb 2y 8 | C Mcnicholas — 15% R534 W80 P272 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | - | 37 (1) | 32 (2) | 31 (1) | 54 (3) | 37 (5) | 55 (2) | 34 (5) | 51 (3) | 54 (2) | - | 41 | 31 | - | 61 | 34 | 31 | 1 | 9/4F | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Antigua Icemand 3y 9 | G Strike — 20% R422 W84 P226 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 55 | - | 38 (1) | 30 (4) | 38 (6) | 71 (2) | 72 (2) | 73 (3) | 55 (5) | 70 (3) | 62 (4) | 46 (5) | 36 | 35 | - | 27 | 34 | 27 | 2 | 5/2 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Eden Dollyb 3y 16 | D Blackbird — 17% R1101 W187 P608 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | - | 52 (6) | 41 (1) | 37 (1) | 34 (2) | 33 (3) | 35 (3) | 21 (6) | 21 (6) | 30 (5) | 30 (4) | 21 | 26 | 15 | 32 | 33 | 29 | 4 | 11/4 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Canya Peggyb 3y 4 | P Miller — 18% R557 W101 P291 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 35 | - | 25 (6) | 23 (6) | 37 (1) | 33 (2) | 29 (2) | 25 (4) | 21 (6) | 17 (6) | 25 (5) | 29 (4) | 26 | 29 | 9 | 23 | 27 | 28 | 6 | 7/1 | - | |
Has a course and distance record of two wins from three starts at Sunderland 261 metres — a 66 per cent strike rate that is the standout figure in this race. That is not a lucky strike from a small sample: twice finding the front at this exact trip on this track is meaningful evidence of an affinity for this particular course and distance combination. Ranked top on the composite model, confirming the overall merit rating supports the form trend. Second fastest in the field on the clock. Won the last two sprint races here, most recently at D3 last week. Recent form of 37, 32 and 31 performance points is consistent at sprint level, with a career peak of 55 showing the capability to produce a much stronger run when the race unfolds well. Trap three is a workable draw at 17.1% in D2 sprint company. Trainer C McNicholas has not been prolific, but this dog is the one carrying the best form to the line at this exact trip.
Speed rank one but in the structural dead draw — trap four wins just 12.3% at this grade. Main danger if the trap disadvantage is overcome, but the structural penalty is severe.
Good trap position undermined by speed rank five and modest C&D record of 10%. Last sprint run in April showing declining form.
Won last out at D3 and has a decent C&D record at 28%, but trap two is structurally weak at this grade and speed rank four limits the upside.
Good recent form (P52 at OR3) and 20% C&D record, but limited pace data and below-average trap. Each-way interest only.
Best trap in field but slowest speed rating and poor C&D record. The structural advantage of trap six cannot compensate for the lack of raw pace.
At D2 Sunderland 261m, trap four is the dead draw — winning just 12.3% from 187 runs. Trap six leads at 22.7%, trap one is strong at 21.1%. Speed rank one wins 20.2% versus composite rank one at 19.9% — effectively equal, making both factors relevant. The trap bias is more decisive than at most distances.
T1:21.1% T2:14.0% T3:17.1% T4:12.3% T5:15.0% T6:22.7%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 261m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 261m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (261m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 261m | 450m | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Essex Jewel | 0.618 | — |
| 2 | Tip Top Flash | 0.623 | 0.627 |
| 3 | Distant Barbie | 0.614 | 0.636 |
| 4 | Antigua Iceman | 0.617 | 0.625 |
| 5 | Eden Dolly | 0.623 | — |
| 6 | Canya Peggy | 0.631 | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.