Sunday Roast Lunch at Sunderland Dogs Stakes
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Fair Bolgerd 2y 26 | E Y Bell — 22% R534 W116 P296 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | 45 | 67 (2) | 77 (1) | 36 (5) | 66 (3) | 74 (1) | 33 (2) | 32 (2) | 28 (4) | 33 (3) | 32 (4) | 30 | 36 | 28 | 38 | 64 | 41 | 1 | 11/4 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Marinas Monzab 3y 210 | G Strike — 20% R422 W84 P226 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | 43 | 54 (5) | 71 (2) | 56 (3) | 62 (3) | 42 (6) | 48 (6) | 38 (5) | 80 (1) | 51 (5) | 58 (4) | 28 | 27 | 42 | 21 | 57 | 38 | 5 | 7/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Gripwell Cammyb 2y 1 | J Sutherst — 16% R102 W16 P50 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 38 | 2 | 7/2 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Rebel Williamd 2y 18 | E Y Bell — 22% R534 W116 P296 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | 41 | 57 (2) | 68 (2) | 73 (1) | 36 (5) | 55 (2) | 62 (3) | 47 (5) | 58 (3) | 58 (3) | 39 (6) | 22 | 23 | 22 | 33 | 57 | 41 | 4 | 4/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Kerryroad Millieb 2y 16 | D Blackbird — 17% R1101 W187 P608 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | 52 | 52 (4) | 54 (5) | 44 (5) | 57 (2) | 78 (1) | 35 (6) | 63 (2) | 53 (5) | 51 (5) | 76 (1) | 29 | 22 | 27 | 30 | 55 | 40 | 6 | 7/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Fredas Kahlob 2y 111 | G Strike — 20% R422 W84 P226 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | 55 | 55 (5) | 65 (3) | 51 (5) | 50 (3) | 78 (1) | 61 (2) | 63 (2) | 58 (5) | 66 (6) | - | 35 | 38 | 46 | 22 | 60 | 42 | 3 | 2/1F | - | |
The composite rank one dog in this race, producing the highest average performance figure in the field at 64 — a notable margin above the next best. An All-Rounder pace profile means this dog is adaptable, neither relying on a fast early break nor purely on late closing pace. Two wins from five course and distance starts at 40 per cent is the strongest C&D strike rate in the race from a meaningful sample, demonstrating genuine affinity for Sunderland 450 metres. Recent form has been at A4 and A5 grade at this track and distance, confirming that the grade level is correct and the dog is competing at its proper level. The combination of composite rank one, highest average performance, and 40 per cent C&D record creates the clearest stacking signal in this field. Trap one wins around 20 per cent at Sunderland — a reasonable draw, though not the structural best. Speed rank two (52) is competitive. Trainer record supports the assessment.
Speed rank one is a genuine danger signal but ten C&D runs with only one win creates reasonable doubt. Worst structural trap compounds the concern.
Turned in trap last run. No valid form. Cannot be assessed or recommended.
One C&D win from 10 runs. Mid-table on all model metrics. C&D record does not support selection.
20% C&D record is noted but composite rank last and low speed rating make this a difficult recommendation.
Best structural draw with second-best average performance but only 10% C&D win rate from 10 runs. Not selected despite the trap advantage.
No ML data for A4 at Sunderland 450m. T6 is strongest structural draw (25.1%), T2 weakest (19.8%). At A4+ grade, Tentative is the maximum recommended confidence tier.
T1:~20% T2:19.8% T3:~18% T4:~17% T5:~18% T6:25.1% (overall Sunderland 450m profile, no A4-specific ML data)
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 450m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Fair Bolger | 50 | 49 | All-Rounder |
2Marinas Monza | 37 | 74 | Closer |
3Gripwell Cammy | — | — | No data |
4Rebel William | 39 | 68 | Closer |
5Kerryroad Millie | 52 | 44 | All-Rounder |
6Fredas Kahlo | 52 | 50 | All-Rounder |
Only runs at exactly 450m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (450m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 261m | 450m | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fair Bolger | 0.623 | 0.627 |
| 2 | Marinas Monza | — | 0.629 |
| 3 | Gripwell Cammy | — | — |
| 4 | Rebel William | — | 0.629 |
| 5 | Kerryroad Millie | — | 0.628 |
| 6 | Fredas Kahlo | — | 0.626 |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.