£10 Summer Winning Deal
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Nixon Driveb 4y 27 | E Y Bell — 22% R534 W116 P296 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | 48 | 49 (4) | 43 (5) | 56 (3) | 56 (3) | 55 (2) | 71 (1) | 70 (1) | 59 (2) | 56 (2) | 53 (2) | 35 | 40 | 47 | 34 | 55 | 46 | 1 | 9/2 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Fruity Pebblesb 2y 15 | D Blackbird — 17% R1101 W187 P608 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 57 | 52 | 33 (3) | 36 (1) | 64 (2) | 60 (3) | 51 (5) | 49 (5) | 44 (5) | 44 (6) | 60 (3) | 79 (1) | 39 | 34 | 37 | 31 | 56 | 48 | 4 | 2/1F | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Kennys Choiceb 1y 14 | P Miller — 18% R557 W101 P291 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 44 | 39 | 54 (3) | 73 (1) | 46 (3) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 25 | 23 | - | 23 | 58 | 35 | 3 | 3/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Reagrove Remyb 1y 14 | P Miller — 18% R557 W101 P291 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 37 | 50 | 32 (5) | 43 (5) | 43 (6) | 49 (3) | 54 (4) | 43 (5) | 49 (5) | 50 (5) | 59 (5) | 53 (5) | 39 | 37 | 26 | 11 | 45 | 33 | 6 | 6/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Brenval Tommyd 2y 9 | C Jackson — 18% R109 W20 P64 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | 59 | 52 (3) | 31 (6) | 30 (6) | 60 (2) | 31 (6) | 61 (2) | 69 (1) | 56 (2) | 53 (5) | - | 26 | 27 | 15 | 23 | 47 | 43 | 5 | 6/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Strike It Hannahb 1y 1 | P Miller — 18% R557 W101 P291 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | 49 | 50 (2) | 39 (5) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 15 | 18 | 16 | 45 | 37 | 2 | 7/2 | - | |
The composite rank one dog drawn in the best structural trap in the race — trap one wins 23.1% in A6 racing at Sunderland 450 metres from 173 runs. The combination of model ranking and draw advantage is the clearest stacking signal in this field. A Closer who settles from the rail draw and delivers a sustained effort through the final stages — exactly the pace profile suited to this trip and track. Has two wins and four places from ten course and distance starts, which at 20% win rate speaks to a genuine track affinity. All recent form has been at A5 and A6 grade over 450 metres at Sunderland, showing consistency at the right level. Dropped one grade step from peak A5 to current A6, a modest move suggesting a trainer who is placing the dog carefully. Average performance of 55 is the second highest in the field. Trainer Bell carries an 18 per cent win rate.
Best average performance and 33% C&D win rate but in the structural worst trap at this grade. Main danger if the draw disadvantage is overcome by closing pace.
Highest speed rating but based on sprint distances. Previous 450 metre form was strong at 51-64. Trap two is decent. Unreliable on current sprint-form basis but not without interest.
Ten course and distance runs and zero wins. Slowest speed rating in the field. Consistent but well below winning standard at this grade.
Good first-bend movement but committed Fader with poor closing speed over 450 metres. One C&D win from 10 runs confirms the pattern. Not recommended.
Only two career runs available for assessment. Showed promise with P50 at A6 but insufficient form to recommend with confidence.
At A6 Sunderland 450m, trap one wins 23.1% from 173 runs — the strongest structural advantage in this grade. Trap three collapses to 15.4%. Speed rank one (21.9%) beats composite rank one (19.9%). The composite model barely separates the top three ranks here — ranks one through three all win between 19.9% and 20.1%.
T1:23.1% T2:20.0% T3:15.4% T4:17.1% T5:16.9% T6:18.5%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 450m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Nixon Drive | 47 | 66 | Closer |
2Fruity Pebbles | 50 | 51 | All-Rounder |
3Kennys Choice | 41 | 64 | Closer |
4Reagrove Remy | 51 | 46 | All-Rounder |
5Brenval Tommy | 60 | 23 | Fader |
6Strike It Hannah | 50 | 49 | All-Rounder |
Only runs at exactly 450m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (450m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 261m | 305m | 450m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nixon Drive | — | — | 0.629 |
| 2 | Fruity Pebbles | 0.620 | 0.619 | 0.630 |
| 3 | Kennys Choice | — | — | 0.632 |
| 4 | Reagrove Remy | — | — | 0.632 |
| 5 | Brenval Tommy | — | — | 0.634 |
| 6 | Strike It Hannah | — | — | 0.641 |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.