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Winning Night Out @ Sunderland Dogs Stakes
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 2 | ▶ Sporting Partyb 4y 18 | G Strike — 20% R422 W84 P226 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | 51 | 46 (3) | 47 (4) | 39 (5) | 59 (1) | 42 (5) | 59 (1) | 53 (1) | 37 (4) | 33 (6) | 37 (5) | 38 | 29 | 2 | 25 | 46 | 47 | 3 | 9/2 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Tax Freed 3y 15 | S Linley — 16% R384 W63 P194 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | 42 | 48 (4) | 40 (5) | 61 (2) | 50 (3) | 68 (1) | 45 (3) | 41 (5) | 57 (2) | 53 (4) | 57 (4) | 23 | 23 | 21 | 20 | 51 | 39 | 2 | 15/8 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Whitburn Jollyb 3y 4 | D Blackbird — 17% R1101 W187 P608 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | 47 | 38 (5) | 48 (2) | 46 (4) | 46 (3) | 39 (5) | 62 (1) | 51 (2) | 45 (2) | 45 (4) | 46 (4) | 12 | 24 | 26 | 27 | 46 | 38 | 4 | 16/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Easy Actb 2y 8 | S Linley — 16% R384 W63 P194 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | 61 | 47 (4) | 38 (4) | 59 (1) | 43 (3) | 47 (3) | 42 (4) | 47 (4) | 44 (4) | 37 (5) | 56 (2) | - | 15 | 11 | 15 | 46 | 40 | 1 | 7/2 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Darbyshill Kateb 3y 5 | C Mcnicholas — 15% R534 W80 P272 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 43 | 53 | 39 (5) | 64 (2) | 53 (3) | 39 (5) | 61 (1) | 32 (1) | 23 (4) | 26 (2) | 27 (2) | 21 (5) | 36 | 28 | 34 | 28 | 51 | 41 | 5 | 11/8F | - | |
Sharp from the traps and has the best first-bend rating in the field — this one will be racing hard into the first turn. However, Easy Act is a Fader: strong early pace but a closing speed that suggests significant weakening in the back half of 450 metres. The trap suitability score is zero, meaning this dog has historically struggled to convert from trap five, and the course and distance record of one win from ten starts confirms that the early energy does not translate to finishing results here. The model rates this narrowly as the top-rated runner, but the fading profile over this trip on this track makes that rating misleading. Will likely be prominent early before paying for it in the closing stages.
Main danger based on speed advantage and closing pace profile. Poor C&D record limits confidence but has the pace to pick up the pieces.
Best trap in field at A7 grade combined with a 30% course and distance win rate from 10 runs. Consistent form and a trainer in decent shape make this the pick.
Below-average draw, modest C&D record, and a trainer who has not been prolific. Hard to recommend.
Worst structural trap at this grade and distance combination. Fader profile compounds the disadvantage from the outside draw. Hard to recommend regardless of ability.
At A7 Sunderland 450m, trap six is a structural dead draw winning just 9.6% from 136 runs. Trap two leads at 21.6% from 148 runs. Speed rank one wins 23.1% versus composite rank one at 19.0% — speed is the primary signal at this grade. Composite model underperforms here.
T1:13.5% T2:21.6% T3:21.0% T4:15.0% T5:19.9% T6:9.6%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 450m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
2Sporting Party | 48 | 50 | All-Rounder |
3Tax Free | 50 | 56 | Closer |
4Whitburn Jolly | 47 | 52 | All-Rounder |
5Easy Act | 61 | 18 | Fader |
6Darbyshill Kate | 60 | 35 | Fader |
Only runs at exactly 450m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (450m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 261m | 450m | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Sporting Party | — | 0.635 |
| 3 | Tax Free | — | 0.632 |
| 4 | Whitburn Jolly | — | 0.635 |
| 5 | Easy Act | — | 0.635 |
| 6 | Darbyshill Kate | 0.629 | 0.636 |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.