Celebrating 100 years of canine sporting legends
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Watermill Lucad 4y 23 | S Linley — 16% R384 W63 P194 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 20 | 47 | 41 (5) | 38 (3) | 36 (3) | 51 (3) | 41 (3) | 49 (4) | 50 (2) | 33 (6) | 41 (5) | 43 (4) | 2 | - | - | - | 42 | 15 | 4 | 8/1 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Take A Riskb 2y 17 | D Blackbird — 17% R1101 W187 P608 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 39 | 53 | 52 (3) | 37 (5) | 41 (2) | 40 (3) | 40 (4) | 56 (1) | 43 (3) | 43 (3) | 42 (5) | 41 (4) | 1 | 21 | - | 20 | 44 | 31 | 3 | 11/4 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Thunder Bridieb 2y 16 | G Strike — 20% R422 W84 P226 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | 42 | 36 (6) | 41 (5) | 39 (5) | 40 (4) | 59 (2) | 49 (5) | 46 (4) | 73 (1) | 51 (5) | 63 (3) | 15 | 17 | - | 9 | 46 | 34 | 5 | 9/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Mrs Charmb 4y 15 | P Miller — 18% R557 W101 P291 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 82 | - | 61 (2) | 66 (2) | 77 (1) | 62 (2) | 78 (1) | 57 (3) | 58 (4) | 57 (4) | 60 (2) | 63 (3) | 27 | 31 | - | 47 | 65 | 64 | 1 | 4/5F | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Four Overd 2y 44 | C Jackson — 18% R109 W20 P64 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 94 | 62 | 67 (4) | 32 (3) | 80 (3) | 77 (1) | 86 (2) | 70 (2) | 80 (2) | 70 (4) | 97 (1) | 76 (2) | 34 | 26 | - | 28 | 69 | 51 | 2 | 4/1 | - | |
The outstanding form pick in this race by a considerable margin. Averaging 65 performance points across recent runs in handicap company, with a peak of 78 and consistent scores of 61, 66, 77, 62 and 78 across the last five outings — that level of consistency at the top of the handicap grade marks her out as the class act in this field. Only one recent run has dropped below 61, making her by far the most reliable performer here. Ranked top on the composite model with a score of 64 and second fastest in the field on the clock. Trainer P Miller carries a 22 per cent win rate. The handicap weight will ensure she cannot simply bolt in unopposed, but the gap in recent form quality between her and the remainder is so significant that she remains the clear selection. Has the track and distance suitability scores to back up the form.
Potential class act returning from 3.5 months off the track. Top speed and bend ratings but fitness after an extended absence is the major concern. Danger rather than pick.
Fader who leads early but fades badly. Zero track and distance suitability. Not a winning prospect over 450 metres.
Consistent but not outstanding handicap form. Fader who may help set up the race for closers rather than winning it.
Poor recent form and limited distance suitability. Closer needing a lot to go right from trap four against the class of this field.
Handicap grade with equalising weights. No ML condition data available for HP grade at Sunderland 450m. Form quality and recent consistency are the primary factors. Mrs Charm averages 65 performance points in recent handicap racing, a significant margin over the rest of the field.
HP grade — insufficient condition data for trap breakdown
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 450m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Watermill Luca | 100 | 0 | Fader |
2Take A Risk | 55 | 32 | Fader |
4Thunder Bridie | 39 | 68 | Closer |
5Mrs Charm | — | — | No data |
6Four Over | 45 | 100 | Closer |
Only runs at exactly 450m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (450m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 435m | 450m | 480m | 640m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Watermill Luca | — | 0.648 | 0.631 | — |
| 2 | Take A Risk | — | 0.638 | — | — |
| 4 | Thunder Bridie | — | 0.637 | — | 0.635 |
| 5 | Mrs Charm | — | 0.622 | — | — |
| 6 | Four Over | 0.594 | 0.617 | — | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.