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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Gwyn Rockyd 2y 17 | J L Morris — 29% R24 W7 P17 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 59 | 60 | 70 (2) | 62 (3) | 52 (2) | 22 (5) | 28 (2) | 72 (1) | 33 (1) | 25 (2) | - | - | 46 | 42 | 21 | 37 | 64 | 51 | 1 | 11/4 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Trionas Twilightb 2y 16 | P T Maynard — 23% R185 W42 P107 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 46 | 40 | 48 (5) | 72 (1) | 41 (6) | 61 (2) | 55 (4) | 58 (3) | 70 (1) | 42 (4) | 15 (4) | 61 (3) | 2 | 28 | 7 | 30 | 54 | 35 | 5 | 12/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Sudden Boltd 2y 24 | D S Davy — 21% R435 W93 P274 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 44 | 48 | 49 (4) | 48 (5) | 32 (3) | 28 (3) | 33 (6) | 32 (5) | 81 (2) | 76 (2) | 65 (3) | 69 (2) | 16 | 38 | 13 | 27 | 53 | 37 | 6 | 15/8F | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Crokers Patd 2y 25 | C Darch — 22% R385 W85 P214 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | 53 | 30 (3) | 42 (4) | 61 (4) | 26 (4) | 32 (1) | 40 (6) | 21 (5) | 74 (2) | 62 (4) | 35 (1) | 56 | 42 | 43 | 33 | 54 | 42 | 4 | 3/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Swift Kadeshab 3y 7 | D S Davy — 21% R435 W93 P274 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | 52 | 67 (2) | 57 (3) | 74 (1) | 58 (2) | 73 (1) | 43 (5) | 61 (4) | 56 (5) | 15 (5) | 61 (2) | 31 | 32 | 60 | 40 | 60 | 47 | 3 | 4/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Mendip Sallyb 3y 6 | P T Maynard — 23% R185 W42 P107 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | 44 | 75 (1) | 62 (2) | 55 (3) | 61 (3) | 60 (3) | 60 (2) | 69 (1) | 51 (4) | 42 (5) | 52 (2) | 29 | 43 | 36 | 43 | 61 | 49 | 2 | 7/2 | - | |
The model's strongest case today at the 460m distance. Gwyn Rocky combines composite rank 1, the highest speed rating in the field (59), early pace of 55, and a Fader profile — the optimal running style for Valley's two-bend layout — all from the best statistical trap at A5 (trap 1 wins 24.9% from 632 runs). Finished second last time out with a C&D placing from five runs here, demonstrating she handles Valley's course well. When the model's composite pick, the best speed reading, the best early pace among front-half runners, and the best trap all align in the same dog, it is a strong analytical case. Average performance of 64 is the second-highest in the field, only fractionally behind Mendip Sally's 61 (which would be corrected by considering the Closer style penalty). At A5, this is as clean a convergence of signals as you will find.
Arrived in winning form with the best recent performance. Closer style at Valley is the handicap but fresh form from the last run makes her a genuine danger.
Worst trap and Closer style at a two-bend track — double structural disadvantage makes a winning case very difficult.
No C&D wins from eight attempts is a red flag. Mid-field ability and no course form make it difficult to project a winning run.
Strong early pace for a Fader at Valley but below-average draw and no confirmed C&D wins limit the case.
Good draw and proven C&D form at this grade but Closer style at Valley is a structural concern. Place chance is strong.
Strong inner bias at A5: T1 wins 24.9% from 632 runs, T5 second at 22.2%. T2 is weakest at 13.5%. Composite rank 1 wins 22.4% — meaningful at 460m. Faders/AllRounders with early pace heavily favoured over Closers at Valley's two-bend layout.
T1:24.9% T2:13.5% T3:17.8% T4:16.9% T5:22.2% T6:16.8%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 460m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Gwyn Rocky | 55 | 34 | Fader |
2Trionas Twilight | 38 | 75 | Closer |
3Sudden Bolt | 49 | 43 | All-Rounder |
4Crokers Pat | 57 | 42 | Fader |
5Swift Kadesha | 51 | 57 | Closer |
6Mendip Sally | 40 | 63 | Closer |
Only runs at exactly 460m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (460m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 260m | 460m | 525m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gwyn Rocky | 0.644 | 0.632 | — |
| 2 | Trionas Twilight | — | 0.637 | — |
| 3 | Sudden Bolt | 0.636 | 0.639 | — |
| 4 | Crokers Pat | 0.634 | 0.635 | — |
| 5 | Swift Kadesha | — | 0.635 | — |
| 6 | Mendip Sally | — | 0.638 | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.