Loading...
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 2 | ▶ Hawkfield Cassieb 6y 16 | A N J Morgan — 15% R1203 W177 P608 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 40 | - | 16 (5) | 30 (1) | 27 (1) | 28 (1) | 23 (2) | 14 (6) | 14 (5) | 17 (4) | 17 (6) | 11 (6) | 13 | 26 | - | 40 | 21 | 23 | 5 | 5/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Evies Choiceb 3y 5 | A N J Morgan — 15% R1203 W177 P608 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 55 | - | 24 (4) | 21 (4) | 19 (5) | 19 (5) | 22 (4) | 34 (2) | 25 (6) | 22 (3) | 34 (5) | - | 20 | 38 | - | 13 | 23 | 25 | 3 | 10/3 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Crokers Mapleb 2y 34 | C Darch — 22% R385 W85 P214 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 41 | - | 34 (4) | 31 (5) | 19 (3) | 19 (6) | 32 (1) | 30 (1) | 24 (3) | 12 (6) | 27 (1) | 27 (1) | 43 | 38 | 22 | 42 | 23 | 20 | 2 | 4/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ My Little Farmerd 2y 5 | P T Maynard — 23% R185 W42 P107 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | - | 22 (4) | 28 (2) | 26 (3) | 27 (2) | 29 (1) | 23 (3) | 25 (5) | 36 (6) | 40 (6) | 45 (5) | 29 | 31 | 21 | 29 | 27 | 29 | 1 | 5/4F | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Ferndale Tricksb 4y 34 | C Darch — 22% R385 W85 P214 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 68 | - | 30 (6) | 38 (3) | 33 (1) | 21 (1) | 25 (5) | 29 (2) | 32 (2) | 25 (1) | 37 (3) | - | 41 | 42 | 45 | 46 | 30 | 16 | 4 | 3/1 | - | |
The most dominant single-factor selection on the Valley card today. An early pace of 84 — the highest reading of any runner across all eleven races on this card — combined with a Fader profile and drawn in the statistically best trap at D4 (trap 5 wins 22.2%). At Valley's 260-metre sprint where the entire race is decided in the five seconds before the first bend, a combination of elite early pace and optimal trap position is the clearest possible analytical case. Speed rank from composite ratings places her first in the race (average performance 27 highest among sprint regulars), and as a Fader she maximises her early pace by driving into the bend with full commitment. One C&D win from six runs demonstrates she can win here. The only genuine threat comes from Crokers Maple's extraordinary 50% C&D win rate — but on the sprint predictor metrics that Valley's 260m demands, My Little Farmer's dominant early pace from the best trap makes this selection the most confident case available.
Outstanding 50% C&D win rate makes her an extremely serious danger. Early pace is below the selection but course record demands respect.
Good course form but insufficient pace to challenge the early pace leaders. Best run would come if the pace collapses ahead.
Third race of the day significantly compromises her chances regardless of ability. Zero C&D wins from ten also works against her.
Fastest dog on the clock with a good C&D record but Closer style at Valley 260m is a fundamental mismatch. Speed is there but cannot be deployed effectively.
Trap 5 best draw at D4 (22.2% from 1,247 runs). Speed rank 1 wins 31.7% at Valley 260m. Composite rank essentially random. Early pace is the dominant predictor at this sprint distance — an EP of 84 is exceptional and well above field average.
T1:16.1% T2:18.3% T3:18.9% T4:19.6% T5:22.2% T6:20.2%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 260m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 260m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (260m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 260m | 460m | 462m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Hawkfield Cassie | 0.659 | — | — |
| 3 | Evies Choice | 0.645 | — | — |
| 4 | Crokers Maple | 0.653 | 0.659 | — |
| 5 | My Little Farmer | 0.647 | — | 0.642 |
| 6 | Ferndale Tricks | 0.635 | 0.638 | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.