| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Boglane Joed 3y 9 | D S Davy — 21% R435 W93 P274 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | - | 32 (1) | 25 (2) | 24 (2) | 45 (5) | 50 (2) | 47 (4) | 26 (2) | 23 (3) | 21 (4) | 30 (1) | 40 | 34 | 42 | 47 | 26 | 31 | 3 | 9/2 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Bale Out Lucyb 3y 15 | A L Jeffery — 19% R367 W70 P204 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 43 | - | 23 (4) | 24 (5) | 26 (2) | 24 (5) | 33 (2) | 27 (4) | 27 (4) | 31 (1) | 31 (2) | 27 (2) | 39 | 39 | 37 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 4 | 7/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Most Dapperd 4y 15 | A N J Morgan — 15% R1203 W177 P608 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 56 | - | 29 (2) | 30 (4) | 24 (5) | 33 (1) | 23 (6) | 26 (6) | 24 (3) | 21 (3) | 26 (4) | - | 19 | 27 | 20 | 22 | 27 | 27 | 2 | 13/8 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Vixons Nalab 2y 15 | A L Jeffery — 19% R367 W70 P204 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 35 | - | 22 (3) | 16 (5) | 17 (5) | 31 (1) | 22 (4) | 16 (5) | 21 (4) | 28 (1) | 17 (6) | 14 (6) | 19 | 21 | - | 20 | 21 | 19 | 6 | 25/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Hawkfield Zoomb 2y 7 | A N J Morgan — 15% R1203 W177 P608 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | - | 24 (4) | 32 (1) | 20 (5) | 47 (3) | 10 (6) | 48 (3) | 43 (6) | 32 (6) | 72 (1) | 42 (5) | 36 | 28 | 34 | 28 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 10/11F | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Kippagh Epicb 3y 5 | A N J Morgan — 15% R1203 W177 P608 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | - | 26 (3) | 22 (4) | 25 (4) | 28 (3) | 17 (6) | 21 (5) | 22 (3) | 27 (6) | 26 (2) | - | 47 | 26 | 17 | 8 | 24 | 28 | 5 | 7/1 | - | |
The model's selection and the dog who combines the best trap with the strongest early pace in the race. Trap 5 wins 22.2% at D4 from 1,247 runs — the best statistical draw in this grade — and Hawkfield Zoom has an early pace reading of 58, the highest in the field. At Valley's 260-metre sprint, where the entire race outcome is essentially determined by who leads at the first bend, this combination of best trap and best early pace is the most reliable selection framework. Classified as a Fader — which in 460m races can be a concern but at 260m simply means she attacks the bend aggressively. Average performance of 23 reflects her grade-appropriate ability. In a race where the composite model is essentially random (rank 1 wins 18.8%), the correct framework is pure pace and trap — and on both metrics, Hawkfield Zoom leads the field.
Fastest dog in the field on the clock and highest composite. Speed rank 1 wins 31.7% at this distance — this is the clearest danger to the selection.
Best course form but worst trap. The draw discount is significant at Valley's 260m where position to the bend decides the race.
Insufficient data to differentiate from the field. Below-average draw and no distinguishing form makes her hard to support.
Decent trap draw but weakest pace profile in the field. Difficult to see her winning unless the race completely falls apart for others.
Good trap draw but no distinguishing pace or form advantage. Will run his race but unlikely to beat the pace leaders.
Trap 5 wins 22.2% at D4 from 1,247 runs — clearest trap advantage. Trap 1 is weakest at 16.1%. Composite rank essentially random (R1 18.8%, R2 19.4%): picks MUST be driven by early pace and trap, never by composite rank alone at Valley 260m.
T1:16.1% T2:18.3% T3:18.9% T4:19.6% T5:22.2% T6:20.2%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 260m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 260m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (260m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 260m | 460m | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Boglane Joe | 0.644 | 0.647 |
| 2 | Bale Out Lucy | 0.642 | — |
| 3 | Most Dapper | 0.639 | — |
| 4 | Vixons Nala | 0.655 | — |
| 5 | Hawkfield Zoom | 0.642 | 0.646 |
| 6 | Kippagh Epic | 0.644 | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.