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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 2 | ▶ Tiny Dancerb 4y 13 | A N J Morgan — 15% R1223 W178 P615 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | 45 | 57 (2) | 37 (5) | 72 (1) | 57 (3) | 51 (3) | 50 (3) | 49 (5) | 59 (2) | 47 (3) | 27 (2) | 40 | 28 | 14 | 30 | 54 | 44 | 3 | 7/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Nitro Novab 2y 10 | A G Rawlings — 20% R217 W44 P127 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | 53 | 66 (2) | 41 (5) | 57 (2) | 53 (3) | 46 (5) | 68 (2) | 74 (1) | 45 (5) | 59 (2) | 43 (5) | 17 | 35 | 34 | 32 | 55 | 46 | 1 | 5/2 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Sheep Dip Jimd 3y 29 | J A Danahar — 19% R306 W59 P183 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 58 | 53 | 59 (2) | 75 (1) | 61 (3) | 76 (2) | 72 (1) | 37 (6) | 42 (5) | 52 (4) | 53 (5) | 53 (4) | 14 | 39 | 63 | 43 | 61 | 44 | 2 | 8/15F | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Chesters Boyd 4yN/R 24 | P T Maynard — 21% R199 W42 P114 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | 57 | 42 (5) | 63 (3) | 62 (3) | 74 (1) | 69 (1) | 28 (2) | 32 (3) | 22 (6) | 33 (1) | - | 32 | 38 | 18 | 25 | 60 | 44 | - | - | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Beechview Baled 3y 14 | A N J Morgan — 15% R1223 W178 P615 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | 46 | 50 (4) | 58 (3) | 43 (4) | 69 (2) | 51 (2) | 53 (4) | 49 (4) | 50 (4) | 74 (1) | 45 (6) | 35 | 28 | 24 | 23 | 54 | 41 | 4 | 11/2 | - | |
Draws in a moderate structural position — trap 3 wins 18.1% at A5 Valley 460m. Average performance of 55 is mid-field and speed is ranked 2nd in the five-runner field. His composite score is the highest in the race and at A5 grade composite rank 1 wins 28.3% — a notably strong signal. Recent form in the 41 to 68 range shows inconsistency. One win from 10 at course and distance is modest. He is an All-Rounder from a moderate draw with some composite advantage but the inconsistent form makes him difficult to elevate above the selection.
PICK (Tentative): Best available draw in field, highest early pace score, and outstanding course-and-distance record (40%). Fader profile suits Valley 460m. Tentative only because Sheep Dip Jim holds the speed lead.
DANGER: Speed lead and highest average performance but worst structural draw. If speed overcomes the trap disadvantage he is the most dangerous challenger to the selection.
Worst available draw in the field and below-average speed and performance. Hard to find a case in a five-runner contest at this track.
Moderate draw and average metrics for this grade. No standout factor that makes a case against the more clearly-profiled leaders.
Trap 1 absent — trap 5 becomes dominant draw at 22.7%. Composite rank 1 wins 28.3% at A5 — very strong signal. Trap 4 worst at 13.1%. Speed rank 1 wins 22.7% from 730 runs.
T1:24.7% T2:13.9% T3:18.1% T4:13.1% T5:22.7% T6:18.0%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 460m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
2Tiny Dancer | 46 | 50 | All-Rounder |
3Nitro Nova | 51 | 50 | All-Rounder |
4Sheep Dip Jim | 50 | 54 | All-Rounder |
5Chesters Boy | 64 | 39 | Fader |
6Beechview Bale | 46 | 52 | All-Rounder |
Only runs at exactly 460m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (460m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 260m | 460m | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Tiny Dancer | 0.642 | 0.641 |
| 3 | Nitro Nova | — | 0.639 |
| 4 | Sheep Dip Jim | — | 0.637 |
| 6 | Beechview Bale | — | 0.639 |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.