| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Belfast Bornb 2y 8 | C Darch — 23% R386 W87 P214 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | - | 24 (5) | 29 (4) | 33 (1) | 22 (4) | 22 (5) | 32 (3) | 18 (1) | 18 (6) | 24 (5) | - | - | 36 | 21 | 26 | 26 | 28 | 2 | 9/4 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Jackies Princessb 4y 15 | D S Davy — 21% R440 W91 P279 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | 44 | 26 (3) | 24 (4) | 27 (4) | 58 (4) | 30 (2) | 30 (4) | 80 (2) | 31 (3) | 29 (3) | 86 (1) | 51 | 43 | 12 | 10 | 37 | 38 | 5 | 3/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Hawkfield Zoomb 2y 10 | A N J Morgan — 15% R1223 W178 P615 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | 57 | 32 (1) | 20 (5) | 47 (3) | 10 (6) | 48 (3) | 43 (6) | 32 (6) | 72 (1) | 42 (5) | 32 (6) | 20 | 29 | 42 | 34 | 35 | 27 | 3 | 4/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Da Gruffalob 3y 4 | A L Jeffery — 20% R385 W78 P215 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | - | 24 (4) | 22 (5) | 24 (4) | 20 (5) | 26 (4) | 34 (1) | 16 (4) | 24 (4) | 24 (4) | 26 (4) | 21 | 34 | 32 | 13 | 24 | 25 | 4 | 7/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Gavins Caked 3y 25 | C Darch — 23% R386 W87 P214 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 58 | 50 | 46 (5) | 42 (5) | 71 (1) | 33 (3) | 34 (2) | 73 (1) | 62 (2) | 71 (1) | 33 (1) | 25 (2) | 65 | 32 | 22 | 30 | 49 | 36 | 1 | 6/4F | - | |
Has been competing at A5 grade over 460m and drops sharply in class to D4 at 260m today — an enormous step down that puts her average performance rating significantly above D4 standard. The fastest dog in the field on speed rating and an All-Rounder pace profile which handles the opening stages well enough for a sprint. Has hit performance ratings of 71 and 73 in the recent past, which is far above what the D4 field has managed collectively. Trap 6 wins 20.2% at Valley D4 260m — a solid structural position. The last run at A5 460m (rated 46) might look modest but that was against A5 company — against D4 sprinters this is a different proposition entirely.
DANGER: Won last time at this course and distance and has the early pace to compete at 260m. Volatile form but capable on her day.
Composite lead is irrelevant given the Closer profile. At Valley 260m a waiting-type cannot find the gap. Structural case against is very strong.
Best structural draw but weakest form. The draw advantage is significant at Valley but the gap in raw ability appears too large.
Worst trap combined with below-par recent form. Difficult to fancy in this company.
Speed rank 1 wins 26.3% at Valley D4 260m from 570 runs. Trap 5 dominates at 22.5% from 356 runs. Trap 1 is the worst structural draw at 16.0% from 399 runs.
T1:16.0% T2:17.5% T3:16.2% T4:17.4% T5:22.5% T6:20.2%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 260m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 260m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (260m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 260m | 460m | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Belfast Born | 0.647 | — |
| 2 | Jackies Princess | 0.642 | 0.625 |
| 4 | Hawkfield Zoom | 0.646 | 0.647 |
| 5 | Da Gruffalo | 0.646 | — |
| 6 | Gavins Cake | 0.638 | 0.634 |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.