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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Grovenor Siennab 3y 25 | A G Rawlings — 20% R217 W44 P127 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 42 | 42 | 60 (2) | 69 (2) | 54 (4) | 80 (1) | 61 (3) | 50 (5) | 48 (6) | 99 (1) | 84 (2) | 43 (5) | 41 | 46 | 30 | 43 | 64 | 39 | 5 | 11/4 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Ashway Jessieb 1y 27 | A G Rawlings — 20% R217 W44 P127 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | 54 | 46 (6) | 61 (3) | 37 (6) | 85 (1) | 81 (1) | 52 (5) | 51 (4) | 80 (1) | 72 (2) | 44 (6) | 3 | 31 | 25 | 31 | 59 | 34 | 1 | 11/10F | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Marinas Victoriab 2y 14 | D S Davy — 21% R440 W91 P279 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | 50 | 57 (4) | 68 (3) | 79 (1) | 71 (2) | 58 (4) | 61 (3) | 54 (4) | 67 (2) | 31 (3) | 61 (3) | 41 | 28 | 14 | 26 | 65 | 47 | 2 | 5/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Crokers Andrewd 2y 16 | C Darch — 23% R386 W87 P214 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | 46 | 71 (2) | 70 (2) | 70 (3) | 64 (3) | 84 (1) | 60 (3) | 59 (3) | 72 (3) | 57 (4) | 70 (3) | 16 | 29 | 31 | 32 | 69 | 42 | 3 | 3/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Brave Billyd 3y 112 | J A Danahar — 19% R306 W59 P183 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 57 | 55 | 82 (1) | 77 (1) | 54 (3) | 57 (4) | 53 (4) | 66 (3) | 59 (4) | 46 (5) | 75 (1) | 49 (4) | 10 | 16 | - | 35 | 65 | 44 | 4 | 6/1 | - | |
A Fader by profile from trap 2, which wins 16.8% at A3 Valley 460m — below average. Average performance of 59 is the lowest in this five-runner field. Her best recent run was 85 at A3 — a standout figure — but that was surrounded by much more modest performances in the 37 to 61 range, suggesting inconsistency. Speed is ranked 3rd in the field. The below-average draw and lowest average performance make it hard to find a case for her in this contest.
DANGER: Best structural draw in the race and speed rank 2 very close to the selection. If she breaks cleanly she has the profile to win from trap 3 at Valley.
PICK (Strong): Speed rank 1 combined with the second-best structural draw in a five-runner field. Won last time from this same trap and carries strong 30% course-and-distance conversion rate.
Highest average performance in the field but worst draw and Closer profile at early-pace track. Course and distance record does not reflect his overall form level.
Closer with zero early pace at a track where front-runners dominate. Decent draw does not compensate for the pace-style mismatch at Valley 460m.
Speed rank 1 wins 25.9% at Valley A3 460m. Trap 5 wins 20.2% — second-best available draw in five-runner field. Won last time from trap 5. Closer-heavy field gives a Brave Billy front-runner a pace advantage.
T1:19.8% T2:16.8% T3:20.6% T4:14.6% T5:20.2% T6:18.3%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 460m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Grovenor Sienna | 0 | 100 | Closer |
2Ashway Jessie | 56 | 27 | Fader |
3Marinas Victoria | 50 | 50 | All-Rounder |
4Crokers Andrew | 41 | 58 | Closer |
5Brave Billy | 51 | 32 | All-Rounder |
Only runs at exactly 460m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (460m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 260m | 460m | 645m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Grovenor Sienna | — | 0.637 | 0.650 |
| 2 | Ashway Jessie | — | 0.634 | — |
| 3 | Marinas Victoria | 0.636 | 0.631 | — |
| 4 | Crokers Andrew | — | 0.632 | — |
| 5 | Brave Billy | — | 0.635 | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.