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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Furry Neckb 4y 17 | A N J Morgan — 15% R1223 W178 P615 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | - | 23 (3) | 31 (1) | 30 (1) | 23 (3) | 21 (3) | 23 (3) | 28 (1) | 19 (4) | 28 (1) | 20 (3) | 42 | 39 | 13 | 41 | 25 | 30 | 1 | 4/1 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Hawkfield Cassieb 6y 110 | A N J Morgan — 15% R1223 W178 P615 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | - | 30 (1) | 27 (1) | 28 (1) | 23 (2) | 14 (6) | 14 (5) | 17 (4) | 17 (6) | 11 (6) | 19 (5) | 12 | 21 | 2 | 46 | 22 | 23 | 5 | 9/2 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Dees Ladd 2y 5 | A N J Morgan — 15% R1223 W178 P615 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 46 | - | 18 (5) | 25 (3) | 22 (3) | 30 (1) | 20 (5) | 22 (4) | 14 (5) | 25 (6) | 27 (2) | - | 1 | 27 | 11 | 20 | 22 | 21 | 2 | 6/4 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Coillbhui Catchyb 3y 16 | A N J Morgan — 15% R1223 W178 P615 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 43 | - | 16 (6) | 22 (4) | 19 (4) | 24 (4) | 20 (4) | 18 (5) | 21 (5) | 29 (1) | 30 (1) | 24 (1) | 37 | 36 | - | 18 | 21 | 22 | 3 | 16/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Hawkfield Magicb 2y 7 | A N J Morgan — 15% R1223 W178 P615 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | - | 28 (2) | 31 (1) | 30 (1) | 23 (2) | 16 (4) | 24 (2) | 17 (5) | 15 (6) | 19 (5) | 25 (4) | 50 | 32 | 17 | 46 | 25 | 31 | 4 | 6/5F | - | |
Has the best course-and-distance record in this race with 4 wins from 10 at Valley 260m — a 40% conversion rate that is outstanding at sprint level — and the fastest speed rating in the field. The problem is the draw: trap 1 wins just 16.0% at D4 Valley 260m — the worst structural position in this five-runner line-up. If the speed carries her clear despite the draw disadvantage she is a serious threat to the selection, and those 4 course-and-distance wins show she can do it.
PICK (Tentative): Composite lead combined with the best structural trap in the field. Improving form trajectory and course and distance experience. Modest grade — tight race throughout.
Improving runner who won last time at Valley 260m. Good course form and recent trajectory. Very close to the pick on overall merit.
Good course-and-distance record but current form is very weak. Hard to fancy while these runs continue.
Below-average draw and modest course-and-distance record. Speed toward the bottom of the field. Limited claims.
Speed rank 1 wins 26.3% from 570 runs at Valley D4 260m. Trap 5 wins 22.5% — best structural draw. Trap 6 absent today — trap 5 becomes the dominant box in today's five-runner field.
T1:16.0% T2:17.5% T3:16.2% T4:17.4% T5:22.5% T6:20.2%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 260m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 260m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.