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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Texas Dollyb 4y 46 | A N J Morgan — 14% R1165 W168 P574 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 60 | 48 | 58 (6) | 56 (3) | 18 (4) | 75 (2) | 57 (1) | 75 (2) | 43 (1) | 27 (6) | 49 (2) | - | 37 | 33 | 51 | 38 | 57 | 48 | 3 | 4/5F | |
| 2 | ▶ Most Dapperd 4y 14 | A N J Morgan — 14% R1165 W168 P574 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 45 | 43 | 24 (5) | 33 (1) | 23 (6) | 26 (6) | 24 (3) | 21 (3) | 26 (4) | 24 (3) | 31 (3) | - | 33 | 25 | 20 | 34 | 28 | 29 | 4 | 12/1 | |
| 3 | ▶ Playdate Jasperd 2y 6 | A N J Morgan — 14% R1165 W168 P574 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 42 | - | 25 (1) | 25 (3) | 27 (1) | 20 (4) | 24 (2) | 18 (5) | 28 (2) | 20 (3) | 15 (5) | 17 (5) | 56 | 39 | - | 39 | - | 21 | 6 | 6/1 | |
| 4 | ▶ Hawkfield Hoffad 2y 5 | A N J Morgan — 14% R1165 W168 P574 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | 51 | 34 (1) | 18 (6) | 23 (5) | 25 (4) | 66 (5) | 26 (4) | 23 (6) | 33 (1) | 31 (1) | 28 (1) | 27 | 24 | 33 | 21 | 21 | 23 | 5 | 8/1 | |
| 5 | ▶ Affleck Airborneb 3y 16 | A L Jeffery — 20% R388 W77 P220 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 59 | 59 | 71 (1) | 62 (2) | 47 (2) | 61 (2) | 58 (2) | 44 (6) | 53 (4) | 67 (2) | 56 (4) | 41 (6) | 25 | 30 | 28 | 44 | 31 | 31 | 1 | 9/2 | |
| 6 | ▶ Slaneyside Zacd 2y 7 | J A Danahar — 18% R312 W55 P177 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | - | 19 (6) | 22 (3) | 31 (1) | 24 (2) | 19 (5) | 27 (2) | 21 (4) | 26 (2) | 26 (4) | 26 (3) | 47 | 32 | 40 | 28 | 24 | 31 | 2 | 9/4 | |
A Front Runner with the best early pace in the field at 59, the best bend rating at 59, and the second-best speed rating at 59 — a trio of metrics that perfectly matches what Valley 260 metres demands. His course and distance record of 7 runs with 2 wins gives a 28.6% win rate, comfortably above the 25% threshold for strong course form. One of his last 5 runs was a trial (T2) but the remaining 4 were graded, including a 1st at D5 and recent finishes at D5 and A6 grade. His performance figures of 27, 14, 21, 22, 51 show a peak of 51 which is well above the field average for the pace dogs. The Front Runner profile means he'll be first to the bend and at Valley 260 metres, first to the bend usually means first past the post.
DANGER — drawn in the dominant trap (27.04%) with extensive course and distance experience (10 runs, 1 win). The missing pace data prevents a stronger assessment, but the trap advantage alone makes him dangerous.
Enormous class advantage but the Closer profile is an absolute bar to selection at Valley 260 metres. Must be opposed regardless of ratings.
Closer with the lowest early pace in the field — can be confidently opposed at this sprint distance on this tight track.
Trial-contaminated form (4 of 4 recent runs are trials) — maximum opposition. No reliable data to assess competitive ability.
Right pace profile but drawn in the worst trap (13.47%) with 0 wins from 9 course and distance attempts. Hard to see a path to victory.
T6 dominates at 27.04% from 1,398 runs — the strongest single trap bias in this card. T4 is the dead draw at 13.47%.
T1:15.33% T2:14.09% T3:16.12% T4:13.47% T5:13.96% T6:27.04%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 260m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.