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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Class | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Rating | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Afan Louied 3y 10 | A L Jeffery — 20% R381 W75 P217 Trainer form — last 3 months | 44 | - | 63 (1) | 18 (5) | 27 (2) | 22 (4) | 24 (3) | 18 (4) | 24 (3) | 25 (3) | 18 (5) | 13 (6) | 31 | 30 | 4 | 32 | 20 | 25 | 6 | 14/1 | ||
| 2 | ▶ Crokers Sund 2y 5 | A N J Morgan — 14% R1101 W156 P536 Trainer form — last 3 months | 47 | - | 27 (5) | 37 (4) | 19 (2) | 33 (6) | 29 (3) | 37 (6) | 38 (1) | 33 (1) | 30 (1) | - | 33 | 31 | 14 | 31 | 41 | 37 | 2 | 5/2 | ||
| 3 | ▶ Evies Choiceb 3y 8 | A N J Morgan — 14% R1101 W156 P536 Trainer form — last 3 months | 56 | 100 | 19 (5) | 22 (4) | 34 (2) | 25 (6) | 22 (3) | 34 (5) | 19 (2) | 24 (5) | 22 (4) | - | 40 | 51 | - | 18 | 55 | 48 | 4 | 11/8F | ||
| 4 | ▶ Waittillweseed 3y 36 | J A Danahar — 17% R301 W52 P172 Trainer form — last 3 months | 58 | 50 | 54 (2) | 43 (3) | 50 (4) | 30 (6) | 23 (5) | 28 (2) | 28 (3) | 32 (1) | 23 (2) | 56 (5) | 23 | 29 | 18 | 41 | 34 | 31 | 5 | 6/1 | ||
| 5 | ▶ Milltown Pegb 4y 35 | A N J Morgan — 14% R1101 W156 P536 Trainer form — last 3 months | 47 | 50 | 33 (1) | 20 (6) | 15 (3) | 21 (5) | 34 (1) | 26 (3) | 25 (4) | 22 (5) | 16 (6) | 30 (1) | 24 | 24 | - | 23 | 37 | 31 | 1 | 8/1 | ||
| 6 | ▶ Da Gruffalob 3y 6 | A L Jeffery — 20% R381 W75 P217 Trainer form — last 3 months | 52 | - | 20 (5) | 26 (4) | 34 (1) | 16 (4) | 24 (4) | 24 (4) | 26 (4) | 28 (3) | 23 (6) | 32 (1) | 46 | 34 | - | 35 | 20 | 29 | 3 | 7/4 | ||
An All-Rounder with early pace of 50 and bend of 50 drawn in the second-best trap at D5 grade — trap 5 wins 23.14% from 1,398 runs. The All-Rounder pace profile is the right attribute at Valley 260m where sustaining pace matters more than raw closing speed. Average performance of 39.3 is the best among non-Closers with a peak of 52 from A6 grade, confirming she has competed above today's D5 level. Recent form of 3rd, 6th, 3rd, 3rd, 5th is mixed. One trial in the last five is minimal concern. Four course and distance runs with zero wins is a small sample but the zero is concerning. Speed of 47 is mid-pack. Trainer win rate of 12% is below average.
DANGER: Best C&D record among clean-form dogs with exceptional peaks of 65 and 59 from D6. Without pace data we cannot confirm early pace, but the 30% C&D win rate proves she knows how to win at this combination.
DANGER: Best structural trap by a wide margin could carry him into the places. But zero wins from 10 C&D attempts from the best draw is damning. The trap helps but something prevents him converting.
Weakest dog in the field with 0 wins from 10 C&D attempts. Unlikely to feature.
Closer at Valley 260m — cannot be picked regardless of extraordinary numbers. A Closer with zero suitability will beat a Closer with perfect suitability at this distance, because no Closer can recover. Opposed.
Best pace metrics but the catastrophic trap 4 at 13.47% and zero C&D wins override. Structural disadvantage too large to overcome.
Trap 6 dominates at D5 (27.04%). Trap 4 is catastrophic (13.47%). The best-rated dog (Evies Choice, P:63.4) is a Closer and must be opposed at 260m. Only 3 runners have pace data.
T1:17.06% T2:21.98% T3:15.98% T4:13.47% T5:23.14% T6:27.04%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 260m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.