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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Cathals Rockd 4y 45 | A N J Morgan — 14% R1165 W168 P574 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | 52 | 31 (4) | 31 (2) | 30 (4) | 38 (1) | 36 (3) | 35 (3) | 61 (2) | 33 (3) | 64 (2) | - | 57 | 51 | 53 | 50 | 41 | 47 | 2 | 5/4F | |
| 2 | ▶ Inner Cityb 3y 4 | A L Jeffery — 20% R388 W77 P220 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | - | 32 (3) | 29 (3) | 30 (3) | 31 (3) | 29 (3) | 25 (4) | 35 (1) | 32 (3) | 37 (1) | 31 (2) | 69 | 54 | 45 | 54 | 37 | 48 | 1 | 10/3 | |
| 3 | ▶ Toems Hourb 4y 43 | A N J Morgan — 14% R1165 W168 P574 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | 35 | 30 (5) | 55 (3) | 25 (4) | 23 (4) | 23 (4) | 27 (5) | 26 (4) | 22 (4) | 27 (3) | 22 (5) | 27 | 27 | 20 | 36 | 36 | 33 | 5 | 12/1 | |
| 5 | ▶ Hawkfield Hugod 4y 47 | A N J Morgan — 14% R1165 W168 P574 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | 52 | 62 (3) | 42 (5) | 37 (5) | 47 (5) | 54 (4) | 59 (3) | 59 (4) | 55 (3) | 53 (4) | 52 (4) | 41 | 41 | 18 | 55 | 46 | 45 | 3 | 15/8 | |
| 6 | ▶ Rockmount Pollyb 4y 33 | A L Jeffery — 20% R388 W77 P220 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | - | 41 (6) | 55 (5) | 61 (3) | 54 (6) | 68 (3) | 60 (5) | 62 (5) | 90 (1) | 63 (4) | 65 (3) | 52 | 34 | 11 | 30 | 28 | 34 | 4 | 4/1 | |
The outstanding course and distance record in this race: 10 runs with 5 wins for a remarkable 50% win rate at Valley 260 metres. That's one of the strongest course and distance signals across today's entire card and demonstrates complete mastery of this specific track and distance combination. Recent form of 3rd, 5th, 5th, 1st, 1st shows two wins from the last three completed races, confirming current form to match the historical record. His average performance of 37.8 is moderate and no sectional data is available for pace profile assessment, which is a gap. However, at Valley 260 metres where the composite model wins only 18.1% of races, proven course and distance form is a far more reliable predictor than performance ratings. His trainer has a 16% win rate which is moderate. The speed rating of 50 is mid-field. Despite the unknowns around pace profile, 5 wins from 10 attempts at this exact combination speaks louder than any metric.
DANGER — class dropper with the best early pace (54) and bend rating (52) in the field. The combination of pace profile, proven course form, and a significant grade drop makes him a serious threat despite the weakest trap draw.
Closer with the lowest early pace in the field (37) — an absolute bar to selection at Valley 260 metres. Must be opposed.
Best performance rating in the field but 2 trials from 5 recent runs undermines the reliability of the form. The pace profile suits but proven course and distance specialists should be preferred.
Best trap draw (23.53%) but lowest performance rating in the field. The structural advantage alone isn't enough when the pick has a 50% course and distance win rate.
T6 dominates at 23.53% from 1,549 runs. T1 is the weakest draw at 16.30%.
T1:16.30% T2:17.54% T3:16.81% T4:14.56% T5:15.49% T6:23.53%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 260m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.