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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Class | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Rating | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Ballyroe Buckeyed 4y 27 | J A Danahar — 18% R312 W56 P179 Trainer form — last 3 months | 61 | 43 | 68 (2) | 77 (1) | 53 (4) | 54 (4) | 81 (1) | 80 (1) | 54 (5) | 62 (4) | 53 (4) | 45 (5) | 45 | 31 | 37 | 31 | 53 | 46 | 3 | 15/8 | ||
| 2 | ▶ Hawkfield Elvisd 2y 47 | A N J Morgan — 14% R1123 W160 P548 Trainer form — last 3 months | 59 | 38 | 69 (1) | 42 (5) | 63 (2) | 52 (4) | 53 (4) | 58 (4) | 82 (3) | 43 (2) | 46 (6) | - | 27 | 31 | 35 | 31 | 64 | 48 | 1 | 6/5F | ||
| 3 | ▶ Baggios Gizmod 3y 18 | A L Jeffery — 20% R381 W75 P217 Trainer form — last 3 months | 30 | 51 | 31 (2) | 28 (2) | 29 (3) | 49 (5) | 40 (5) | 29 (3) | 37 (1) | 33 (3) | 33 (1) | 36 (5) | 38 | 14 | 20 | 32 | 41 | 36 | 4 | 7/1 | ||
| 4 | ▶ Hawkfield Zoomb 2y 24 | A N J Morgan — 14% R1123 W160 P548 Trainer form — last 3 months | 35 | 50 | 10 (6) | 48 (3) | 43 (6) | 32 (6) | 72 (1) | 32 (6) | 16 (4) | 28 (2) | 54 (6) | 33 (2) | 21 | 33 | 34 | 28 | 39 | 33 | 5 | 8/1 | ||
| 5 | ▶ Cara Trixieb 2yN/R 16 | M J May — 14% R37 W5 P16 Trainer form — last 3 months | 82 | 56 | 50 (4) | 28 (3) | 25 (5) | 24 (3) | 36 (5) | 43 (6) | 26 (4) | 30 (2) | 38 (1) | 46 (5) | 4 | 35 | - | 28 | 42 | 31 | - | - | ||
| 6 | ▶ Kansas City Lifeb 4y 34 | A N J Morgan — 14% R1123 W160 P548 Trainer form — last 3 months | 52 | 56 | 60 (3) | 72 (1) | 45 (5) | 55 (3) | 71 (1) | 67 (2) | 45 (5) | 72 (1) | 44 (5) | 58 (3) | 35 | 31 | 26 | 30 | 57 | 46 | 2 | 5/2 | ||
The class of the field with an average performance of 64.1 and a remarkable peak of 90 from an open race — that's 20 points above the field average, triggering a clear class override at this level. His course and distance record of 7 runs with 2 wins gives a 28.6% win rate, comfortably above the 25% threshold that signals strong course form. Recent finishes of 5th, 2nd, 1st, 1st, 3rd show he can win at this track when things go right, with his last two wins coming at A5 and open race grade. The Closer profile at Valley's tight circuit is the main concern, but the performance gap is so large that he's likely competitive from an early stage rather than needing to close from behind. His form figures of 44, 64, 90, 76, 59 show genuine high-class ability with a floor of 44 — even his worst runs are competitive at A5 grade.
DANGER — class dog with consistent high performance (58.5 average, peaks at 65) but 10 course and distance runs without a win proves the tight track nullifies his Closer profile. Likely to place again without winning.
Best trap but cannot convert at this course — 8 runs without a win despite the draw advantage. The Closer profile at a tight track explains why.
Right pace profile but lacks the speed and class to compete with the top two. One to watch for minor placing.
Moderate pace profile but lacks the class, speed, and course form to threaten. Unlikely to feature.
Interesting speed rating but the low performance figures and weak trap draw make it hard to see a path to victory at this level.
T1 is the dominant trap at 23.48% from 695 runs but T2 is the weakest at 11.67% — a massive structural disadvantage for the pick
T1:23.48% T2:11.67% T3:17.27% T4:16.40% T5:14.82% T6:16.36%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 460m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Ballyroe Buckeye | 0 | 100 | Closer |
2Hawkfield Elvis | 0 | 100 | Closer |
3Baggios Gizmo | 53 | 18 | All-Rounder |
4Hawkfield Zoom | 50 | 43 | All-Rounder |
5Cara Trixie | 52 | 21 | All-Rounder |
6Kansas City Life | 50 | 57 | Closer |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.