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ARENA RACING COMPANY BITCHES DIV 1
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Westway Rubyb 2y 15 | J B Thompson — 18% R535 W97 P307 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | 0 | 67 (2) | 77 (3) | 79 (3) | 68 (4) | 68 (2) | 93 (1) | 86 (1) | 66 (2) | 82 (1) | 78 (1) | 52 | - | 30 | 43 | 75 | 47 | 4 | 12/1 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Droopys Tiffanyb 2y 27 | S R Parker — 30% R70 W21 P46 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 8 | 100 | 74 (3) | 63 (5) | 65 (3) | 60 (4) | 42 (4) | 68 (4) | 69 (2) | 58 (6) | 66 (4) | 81 (2) | 6 | - | 15 | - | 64 | 21 | 5 | 14/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Sams Magicb 2y 37 | N J Hunt — 18% R346 W64 P185 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 64 | 22 | 64 (1) | 82 (2) | 90 (1) | 71 (4) | 57 (5) | 59 (4) | 79 (3) | 92 (1) | 94 (1) | - | 31 | 43 | 34 | 61 | 75 | 48 | 2 | 4/5F | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Clona Crystalb 1y 31 | R Taberner — 18% R742 W134 P412 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 57 | 100 | 87 (1) | 71 (2) | 55 (4) | 68 (1) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1 | - | 6 | - | 72 | 37 | 1 | 9/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Signet Naylab 3y 33 | K R Hutton — 26% R117 W31 P65 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 43 | 0 | 46 (6) | 58 (6) | 78 (4) | 68 (3) | 78 (4) | 88 (3) | 68 (1) | 46 (2) | 94 (6) | - | 25 | 28 | 37 | 25 | 66 | 32 | 6 | 2/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Seomra Harrietb 1y 19 | C A Gilbert — 24% R50 W12 P26 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 44 | 78 | 89 (1) | 88 (1) | 81 (1) | 54 (3) | 80 (1) | 36 (5) | 83 (2) | 62 (4) | 80 (1) | 61 (3) | 42 | 42 | - | 62 | 75 | 53 | 3 | 10/1 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Sams Magic | No Dunstall Park form — recent runs at Monmore and Romford. | — | Model-backed by speed | ||||
| 4 | Clona Crystal | No Dunstall Park form — recent runs at Central Park, Romford and Towcester. | — | Model pick, worst trap | ||||
| 6 | Seomra Harriet | 28.42 | 29.09 | 28.70 | 44 | +0.28 | 3 C&D wins from 4 | |
| 1 | Westway Ruby | No Dunstall Park form — recent runs at Monmore. | — | 0 wins from 6 | ||||
| 5 | Signet Nayla | No Dunstall Park form — recent runs at Monmore and Towcester. | — | Well off best | ||||
| 2 | Droopys Tiffany | No Dunstall Park form — recent runs at Doncaster. | — | Slowest in field | ||||
Dunstall Park's 480-metre open-grade data continues to show the top-rated dog on paper is a poor guide (just 13.2% from 128 runs), with trap two the best box early on (22.7%) and trap four the weakest (9.1%). The standout story tonight is Seomra Harriet, who has already won three of her last four starts at this exact course and distance, climbing from A3 to A2 to A1 impressively along the way and now stepping up to face open company. Sams Magic is fastest on the clock and has been winning with real authority at Monmore, quick away and leading throughout in two of her last three. Clona Crystal is the model's own top-rated dog on paper but breaks from the weakest draw in the sample. Expect Sams Magic and Westway Ruby to share the early pace from the inside boxes, with Seomra Harriet's proven course form the biggest threat if she can get competitive position from the wide box she's used to winning from anyway.
Won two of her last three starts at Monmore in dominant fashion, quick away and leading throughout both times, and drops into a race here off a straightforward win last time out. She's comfortably the fastest dog in this field on the sectional clock, with the best raw time and speed rating of the six. Trap three has a decent record in Dunstall's early 480-metre sample at 17.7%, second only to trap two. The composite rating alone has been a poor guide at this exact track and grade combination, which is why the clear speed edge matters more here than where she sits on paper. Her trainer's overall win rate is modest, but the pace figures do the talking.
The story of this race — she's won three of her last four starts at this exact course and distance, climbing from A3 to A2 to A1 impressively along the way and finishing well each time even from a wide draw, which suggests trap position doesn't bother her. She carries the highest composite rating of anyone in this field, and her trainer wins better than one in four overall. Stepping up to open company for the first time is the obvious question, but a dog who keeps winning every time she's asked a harder question deserves serious respect. Not the fastest on the clock, but her course knowledge and current form make her a genuine threat to reverse the form.
Has been racing at a fair level at Doncaster without ever quite getting her nose in front, generally involved but not finishing the job. Drawn in trap two, which has actually been the best-performing box in Dunstall's early sample at 22.7% — a rare positive for her. The sectional clock marks her down as easily the slowest in this field, though, which is hard to get past regardless of the draw. The best trap doesn't count for much if the raw pace isn't competitive.
The model's own top-rated dog tonight, having won impressively last time out at Central Park over 491 metres, leading from the second bend. Only four recorded runs to judge from, but the win was a strong one and she's the second-fastest in this field on the clock. The obvious concern is trap four, which has been the weakest draw in Dunstall's early 480-metre sample at just 9.1% from twenty-two runners — a real structural knock against a fancied runner. If she overcomes the draw she has claims, but the numbers say it's an uphill task from that box.
Consistent without winning of late, placing in four of her last six starts at Monmore but unable to see her races out for a victory. Shows early pace and races on the rail, which should suit her from trap one tonight. A place chance on current form rather than a winning threat given the pace on show from elsewhere in this field.
Modest recent form, finishing sixth last time out at Monmore after being crowded early, though she has shown better earlier in the year with a couple of runs threatening the front. Trap five has a fair record in the early Dunstall data at 16.7%. The clock has her towards the back of this field on pace. Others hold considerably stronger claims tonight.
Key insight: The top-rated dog on paper has won just 13.2% of the time in this dataset, while Seomra Harriet's actual course-and-distance record — three wins from four at Dunstall Park over this exact trip — is a far stronger real-world signal than any raw rating tonight.
Trap 2 strongest at 22.7% (22 runs), trap 4 weakest at 9.1% (22 runs), trap 3 fair at 17.7%, trap 6 fair at 18.8%
128 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 480m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Westway Ruby | 0 | 100 | Closer |
2Droopys Tiffany | 100 | 0 | Fader |
3Sams Magic | 13 | 100 | Closer |
4Clona Crystal | 100 | 0 | Fader |
5Signet Nayla | 0 | 100 | Closer |
6Seomra Harriet | 87 | 0 | Fader |
Only runs at exactly 480m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (480m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 277m | 400m | 450m | 460m | 480m | 491m | 500m | 515m | 525m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Westway Ruby | — | — | — | — | 0.600 | — | — | — | — |
| 2 | Droopys Tiffany | 0.610 | — | 0.620 | — | 0.582 | — | — | — | — |
| 3 | Sams Magic | — | 0.605 | — | — | 0.594 | — | — | — | — |
| 4 | Clona Crystal | — | 0.607 | — | 0.593 | — | 0.596 | — | — | 0.549 |
| 5 | Signet Nayla | — | — | 0.590 | — | 0.599 | — | 0.585 | 0.604 | — |
| 6 | Seomra Harriet | — | — | — | — | 0.606 | — | — | — | 0.559 |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.