ARENA RACING COMPANY MAIDEN DASH DIV 2
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Hi Carab 1y 23 | J B Thompson — 18% R535 W97 P307 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 13 | - | 33 (6) | 42 (1) | 30 (5) | 35 (2) | 37 (2) | - | - | - | - | - | 53 | - | - | - | 33 | 27 | 5 | 4/1 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ First Ambitiond 2y 28 | J Rigby — 33% R9 W3 P6 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 69 | 54 | 80 (2) | 58 (4) | 83 (1) | 77 (1) | 72 (2) | 50 (5) | 61 (4) | 72 (2) | 41 (1) | 59 (2) | 47 | 45 | - | 14 | 70 | 40 | 1 | 9/4 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Bogger Baled 3y 11 | S W Deakin — 15% R507 W78 P241 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | - | - | 36 (3) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 36 | 24 | 3 | 1/1F | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Klassical Emilyb 1y 15 | D T Smith — 15% R383 W58 P183 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | 46 | 47 (3) | 36 (2) | 30 (6) | 71 (1) | 61 (2) | 62 (1) | 56 (1) | 23 (6) | 43 (3) | 40 (2) | 60 | 48 | - | 18 | 49 | 35 | 2 | 14/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Aero Hypernovad 2y 16 | R Taberner — 18% R742 W134 P412 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | 0 | 59 (5) | 35 (4) | 31 (5) | 79 (1) | 63 (6) | 66 (2) | 62 (4) | 52 (3) | 58 (5) | 73 (4) | - | - | - | - | 59 | 32 | 6 | 7/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Arthur Itusd 3y 35 | P N Godfrey — 10% R40 W4 P17 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | 98 | 46 (4) | 49 (6) | 59 (5) | 61 (5) | 52 (6) | 35 (4) | 48 (6) | 43 (6) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 50 | 23 | 4 | 20/1 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | First Ambition | No 270m form — all previous runs over 480m at this track. Times not directly comparable. | — | Model pick | ||||
| 6 | Arthur Itus | 16.52 | 16.52 | 16.52 | 53 | 0.00 | Wide draw | |
| 5 | Aero Hypernova | 16.60 | 16.60 | 16.60 | 49 | 0.00 | Slow away last time | |
| 4 | Klassical Emily | 16.38 | 16.69 | 16.86 | 47 | +0.48 | 0 wins from 6 | |
| 3 | Bogger Bale | 16.15 | — | 16.15 | — | — | 1 run only | |
| 1 | Hi Cara | 17.33 | 17.33 | 17.33 | 13 | 0.00 | Slowest in field | |
Dunstall Park is still a young track — it opened in September 2025 replacing Perry Barr — so the sprint form book here is thin, but the early trend over the minimum trip favours trap two, which has produced three winners from eight runners (37.5%), while trap six has drawn a complete blank in nine attempts. At this distance speed decides the finish far more than trap draw or suitability scores. First Ambition, sent off from the favoured second box, looks by far the fastest thing in this field on the sectional clock and should be doing the donkey work from the front, with Arthur Itus the one whose early pace suggests he could be there challenging into the false straight before likely finding the tank empty. The others need things to go wrong up front to get involved.
Drops back to the minimum trip having spent her whole career at 480 metres around this same circuit, including two wins in as many tries. That looks a big step down in distance, but she's been racing at A2 to A4 level — miles stronger than tonight's maiden-type contest — and the sectional clock marks her out as comfortably the fastest thing in this field over the shorter trip. She's drawn in trap two, which has been the most productive box early in Dunstall's sprint history at 37.5%, and her trainer J Rigby wins close to three in ten overall. The concern is she's never actually raced 270 metres, so this is genuinely uncharted territory — but on class and pace alone she looks the one to beat.
The clock makes him the second-quickest in this field and he's shown real early pace in recent outings, including a front-running Monmore win over 480 metres back in the spring. The catch is trap six, which hasn't produced a single winner from nine runners in this early Dunstall sample — the weakest draw at this trip by some distance. His trainer's record is modest at 12%, and his pace profile suggests he can burn bright early and fade late — a real concern at a sprint where there's no time to make up lost ground. If he gets across cleanly from the wide draw he's the one with the pace to trouble the favourite, but the draw is working hard against him.
Only one recorded run to go on, and it happens to be a third-place finish over this exact course and distance last time out — promising early evidence but far too thin a sample to draw firm conclusions from. No speed rating has built up yet given the lack of starts, and there's essentially no form book to lean on beyond that single run. The market on the night will likely know more about this one's true ability than the figures currently do. A watching brief rather than a betting proposition on what's known so far.
Drops in from a Sheffield third-place run and has genuine course form at Dunstall Park over 480 metres, including a couple of wins there, but the minimum trip is a different puzzle entirely. She tends to race in the middle of the field and finish it off rather than lead, and trap four hasn't been especially productive early on here (16.7% from six runners) — a sprint isn't the ideal stage for a confirmed finisher. Respected on her overall record but up against quicker, more suitably drawn rivals tonight.
Has already had one run over this exact course and distance, finishing fifth after being slowly away and squeezed for room at halfway — the sort of experience that can help second time around. She's missed the break in more than one recent outing though, which is a real worry at a sprint where lost lengths simply can't be won back. Trap five has managed only one winner from seven runners in this sample. Needs a cleaner getaway to be involved in the finish.
Has been racing over a similar sprint trip at Monmore with one win from five starts there, but the sectional clock marks her down as easily the slowest in this field, and her recent form has been modest. Trap one does have a reasonable record early in Dunstall's sprint sample at 20% from ten runners, so the draw isn't against her, but she'll need considerably more pace than she's shown lately to get competitive. Others hold stronger claims tonight.
Key insight: Speed matters most in this small sample — the fastest dog in the field wins 37.5% of the time here, well clear of the 29.4% managed by the top-rated dog on paper.
Trap 2 strongest at 37.5% (8 runs), trap 6 dead at 0% (9 runs), trap 1 solid at 20%, trap 5 weak at 14.3%
50 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 270m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 270m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (270m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 255m | 264m | 270m | 280m | 305m | 325m | 400m | 460m | 480m | 500m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hi Cara | — | 0.606 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2 | First Ambition | — | — | 0.599 | — | — | — | — | — | 0.604 | — |
| 3 | Bogger Bale | — | — | 0.600 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 4 | Klassical Emily | — | — | 0.601 | 0.594 | — | — | — | — | 0.618 | — |
| 5 | Aero Hypernova | — | 0.597 | 0.615 | — | — | — | — | — | 0.605 | 0.598 |
| 6 | Arthur Itus | — | — | 0.612 | — | 0.611 | 0.558 | 0.623 | 0.610 | — | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.