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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Fourpenny Jackd 2y 8 | D J Page — 20% R90 W18 P52 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 58 | 51 | 36 (2) | 31 (1) | 38 (4) | 31 (2) | 43 (4) | 31 (2) | 18 (4) | 26 (6) | 17 (2) | - | 8 | 40 | - | 25 | 22 | 23 | 4 | 2/1 | |
| 2 | ▶ Winterfield Ninab 1y 5 | C Jones — 13% R307 W39 P142 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | 20 | 40 (2) | 37 (4) | 35 (4) | 45 (2) | 32 (6) | 42 (4) | 52 (1) | 45 (1) | 32 (1) | 19 (5) | 29 | 34 | 10 | 23 | 25 | 26 | 2 | 13/8F | |
| 3 | ▶ Yama Romeod 2y 6 | C S Fereday — 19% R454 W85 P228 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 55 | 43 | 28 (6) | 42 (5) | 56 (1) | 52 (1) | 29 (5) | 42 (3) | 48 (1) | 26 (6) | 32 (5) | 35 (2) | 65 | 51 | 15 | 37 | 30 | 37 | 3 | 3/1 | |
| 4 | ▶ Eagles Chanceb 1y 14 | P A Curtin — 17% R295 W50 P167 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 40 | 51 | 21 (6) | 21 (6) | 29 (5) | 18 (4) | 26 (5) | 21 (5) | 18 (6) | 20 (6) | - | - | 35 | 61 | - | 37 | - | 16 | 6 | 16/1 | |
| 5 | ▶ Tommys Snowmanb 2y 6 | J B Thompson — 19% R518 W97 P283 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 55 | 55 | 21 (5) | 45 (1) | 45 (1) | 35 (3) | 27 (4) | 27 (6) | 30 (4) | 22 (6) | 29 (4) | 26 (2) | 20 | 23 | 20 | 21 | 30 | 27 | 1 | 7/1 | |
| 6 | ▶ Oh No Doubtb 2y 14 | J M Walton — 20% R244 W49 P128 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 46 | 54 | 19 (5) | 20 (6) | 29 (5) | 46 (1) | 24 (5) | 46 (1) | 25 (6) | 25 (6) | 19 (6) | 36 (3) | 12 | 21 | 15 | 15 | 26 | 23 | 5 | 7/1 | |
The selection despite the unfavourable T5 draw (16.61% in A10), based purely on the class override performance gap. AvgPerf 29.3 is 6.2 points clear of the next clean runner (Winterfield Nina at 23.1), exceeding the 6+ point threshold that historically indicates a dog racing below its natural level. Performances of 29, 14, 26, 37, 19 show inconsistency but the 37 peak is the highest single-race rating among the clean runners. C&D 7r/0w is a concern — like many in this field, winning at Monmore 480m hasn't happened yet. One trial in last 5 (not contaminated). Positions of 4,3,2,3,6 include a 2nd at D4 suggesting competitive ability. Speculative confidence reflects the terrible field quality and the T5 handicap, but the performance gap is the one clear edge in this race.
Last-time winner from good draw, principal danger
Best trap but unproven at this class
Trial-contaminated — excluded from consideration
Fully trial-contaminated — no competitive form
Declining form and worst trap — no appeal
When trial contamination removes two runners from contention, the effective field shrinks and raw ability becomes the primary separator regardless of trap draw.
T1 22.52%, T2 20.91% best draws. T5 16.61%, T6 16.1% worst. Inside bias applies but field quality undermines structural patterns.
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 480m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Fourpenny Jack | 51 | 51 | All-Rounder |
2Winterfield Nina | 25 | 100 | Closer |
3Yama Romeo | 39 | 80 | Closer |
4Eagles Chance | 49 | 41 | All-Rounder |
5Tommys Snowman | 54 | 49 | All-Rounder |
6Oh No Doubt | 54 | 40 | All-Rounder |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.