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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Class | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Rating | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Pappys Jiverb 2y 19 | G A Griffiths — 19% R162 W31 P78 Trainer form — last 3 months | 48 | 47 | 80 (1) | 79 (1) | 56 (3) | 51 (4) | 60 (3) | 65 (2) | 64 (2) | 61 (2) | 44 (6) | 68 (1) | 10 | 48 | 28 | 48 | 59 | 51 | 1 | 11/8F | ||
| 2 | ▶ Swift Avidb 2y 16 | A K Jenkins — 16% R192 W31 P103 Trainer form — last 3 months | 55 | 56 | 59 (2) | 52 (5) | 73 (1) | 57 (2) | 45 (6) | 42 (4) | 46 (3) | 40 (6) | 68 (2) | 57 (2) | 42 | 50 | 28 | 45 | 52 | 50 | 3 | 7/2 | ||
| 3 | ▶ Ayle Bucksd 3y 23 | J M Walton — 20% R242 W49 P126 Trainer form — last 3 months | 49 | 51 | 37 (4) | 70 (1) | 50 (4) | 66 (2) | 69 (1) | 56 (3) | 33 (6) | 33 (2) | 32 (2) | 36 (1) | 38 | 53 | 29 | 46 | 45 | 45 | 5 | 8/1 | ||
| 4 | ▶ Eternal Spiritb 3y 18 | R Taberner — 20% R714 W143 P417 Trainer form — last 3 months | 50 | 47 | 57 (3) | 76 (3) | 46 (5) | 81 (2) | 95 (1) | 86 (2) | 77 (4) | 53 (3) | 46 (5) | 54 (3) | 18 | 27 | - | 27 | 56 | 45 | 4 | 11/4 | ||
| 5 | ▶ Aero Dulcieb 2y 14 | R Taberner — 20% R714 W143 P417 Trainer form — last 3 months | 46 | 51 | 48 (5) | 60 (3) | 34 (4) | 74 (1) | 69 (1) | 53 (3) | 52 (3) | 59 (5) | 60 (2) | 59 (2) | 29 | 30 | - | 30 | 53 | 45 | 2 | 7/2 | ||
The most compelling pick in this field, with multiple strong factors aligning. She has the best speed rating in the field at 55 and the best bend rating at 56, meaning she has both the raw pace and the cornering ability to be among the leaders from the first bend onwards. Her form trajectory is outstanding: overall figures of 68, 57, 56, 74, 70 represent five consecutive competitive performances at or above this grade level — the kind of consistency that the rest of this field simply cannot match. She profiles as an All-Rounder with balanced early pace (50) and closing speed (52), meaning she runs an honest race throughout rather than relying on getting to the front or finishing from behind. Her pace consistency of 80 is solid. Suitability scores are strong across the board: track 50 (field-best among consistent performers), distance 45, trap 42. Trainer Jenkins has a 22.7% win rate from 22 runs at A5 grade, which is reliable and based on a decent sample. Trap 2 wins 17.4% from 247 runs, which is below average, but at a fair track like Monmore the dog's ability matters more than the draw. The field has several dogs with collapsed recent form (Pappys Jiver, Aero Dulcie) and one who is inconsistent (Eternal Spirit), leaving Swift Avid as the most trustworthy option.
DANGER: When she fires, her 73-77 form is the best in the field by some distance. But the extreme inconsistency (17 to 77 to 17 to 73 to 77) makes her impossible to trust as a primary pick. The ideal each-way or speculative selection.
The best numbers on paper but form has collapsed in last two outings. Too much uncertainty about current condition to trust as a pick, despite the excellent draw and suitability.
Extensive track experience but no recent competitive form to suggest he can compete at A5 level. The five-run declining sequence and weakest draw make him easy to oppose.
Form has collapsed and even at her best, her A5-level figures were below what Swift Avid produces consistently. Hard to make a case in any scenario.
The third-ranked dog on composite actually wins more often than the first or second at A5 grade — 22.6% from 204 runs versus 17.4% for the top-ranked. This suggests form is unreliable at this level and structural advantages (suitability, draw, trainer) carry extra weight. Jenkins has a 22.7% win rate from 22 runs. Griffiths has a 33.3% from just 9 runs.
Trap 1: 21.8% (261 runs) | Trap 2: 17.4% (247) | Trap 3: 14.9% (282) | Trap 4: 18.1% (237) | Trap 5: 17% (182) | Trap 6: 21.6% (222)
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 480m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Pappys Jiver | 48 | 50 | All-Rounder |
2Swift Avid | 50 | 52 | All-Rounder |
3Ayle Bucks | 51 | 33 | All-Rounder |
4Eternal Spirit | 0 | 100 | Closer |
5Aero Dulcie | 51 | 41 | All-Rounder |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.