| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Aero Aidand 2y 18 | R Taberner — 20% R722 W142 P418 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | 68 | 38 (4) | 64 (3) | 49 (4) | 78 (1) | 77 (1) | 43 (5) | 58 (3) | 43 (6) | 77 (1) | 67 (2) | 40 | 36 | 31 | 26 | 54 | 47 | 5 | 11/4 | |
| 2 | ▶ Dapper Danicab 2y 7 | J B Thompson — 19% R518 W97 P283 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 46 | 54 | 65 (2) | 66 (2) | 57 (3) | 47 (4) | 48 (4) | 61 (3) | 49 (5) | 33 (6) | 60 (2) | 58 (4) | 30 | 45 | 31 | 41 | 56 | 50 | 3 | 8/1 | |
| 3 | ▶ Tromora Diamondd 2y 13 | J B Thompson — 19% R518 W97 P283 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | 57 | 27 (5) | 31 (5) | 45 (5) | 59 (6) | 58 (4) | 73 (3) | 56 (1) | 56 (2) | 46 (3) | - | 36 | 28 | 17 | 41 | 51 | 45 | 6 | 7/2 | |
| 4 | ▶ Deal For Twob 2y 210 | G A Griffiths — 20% R163 W32 P79 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | 45 | 75 (1) | 72 (1) | 45 (6) | 43 (6) | 42 (4) | 58 (2) | 42 (5) | 77 (1) | 57 (4) | 67 (3) | 32 | 34 | - | 33 | 61 | 51 | 1 | 9/4F | |
| 5 | ▶ Tree Top Copperd 3y 36 | A K Jenkins — 16% R192 W31 P103 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 55 | 47 | 42 (4) | 33 (6) | 46 (5) | 41 (6) | 47 (5) | 78 (1) | 66 (2) | 57 (4) | 77 (1) | 47 (5) | 58 | 37 | 44 | 34 | 60 | 54 | 2 | 9/2 | |
| 6 | ▶ Bundorand 3y 110 | C Jones — 13% R307 W39 P142 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | 63 | 29 (6) | 40 (5) | 46 (5) | 41 (5) | 52 (4) | 57 (3) | 58 (4) | 50 (5) | 51 (5) | 52 (4) | 30 | 40 | 29 | 30 | 54 | 47 | 4 | 9/2 | |
The standout pick in this race, with multiple factors aligning strongly. She has the best speed rating in the field at 55, the strongest closing speed ratio at 73, and the highest pace consistency at 90 — meaning she finishes races powerfully and does so virtually every time she runs. Her form trajectory is remarkable: overall figures rising from 60 to 48 to 57 to 68 to 78. That 78 last out is comfortably the best recent figure from any dog in this field, and the upward trend has been sustained over five runs. Her trap suitability of 58 is the best in the race, and her class suitability of 44 is also the highest, meaning she has proven form at this grade and from comparable positions. Most significantly, her trainer Jenkins has a 45.5% win rate from 11 runs in A4 conditions at Monmore — an exceptional strike rate that, even with a small sample, signals a trainer who knows exactly when to place this dog. At Monmore's fair 480m track, where closers have the room and the straights to overhaul fading leaders, her closing profile is perfectly suited. The race shape — with two confirmed Faders likely to set strong early fractions — plays directly into her strengths.
DANGER: When she fires, she has the ability to win this — her 74 last out is outstanding. But the volatility makes her unreliable as a primary pick. The ideal each-way contender.
Will lead through the first bend from the rail but has no closing speed to sustain it. Likely to be caught by the two strong Closers in the field.
Knows the track well but is clearly declining in form. A few weeks ago she would have been the pick, but the steady drop from 77 to 47 over five runs makes her hard to support with confidence.
Strong closer with the best performance average in the field, but zero class suitability and the weakest draw make him second preference behind Tree Top Copper.
Will be prominent early but the Fader profile at 480m on a fair track means the closers will catch him. Likely to set the race up for Tree Top Copper and Deal For Two rather than win it himself.
Trap 1 is the standout draw at 24.6% from 195 runs — comfortably the best in the field. The fastest dog on speed wins 20.9% from 556 runs. Trainer Jenkins has a 45.5% win rate from 11 runs at this grade, which is an exceptionally strong signal despite the small sample. Billingham-hine also runs at 30% from 20 runs.
Trap 1: 24.6% (195 runs) | Trap 2: 18.4% (218) | Trap 3: 20.7% (198) | Trap 4: 15.5% (200) | Trap 5: 18.4% (152) | Trap 6: 16.6% (163)
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 480m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Aero Aidan | 67 | 0 | Fader |
2Dapper Danica | 50 | 50 | All-Rounder |
3Tromora Diamond | 50 | 50 | All-Rounder |
4Deal For Two | 43 | 65 | Closer |
5Tree Top Copper | 45 | 73 | Closer |
6Bundoran | 59 | 2 | Fader |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.