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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Class | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Rating | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Savana Ribenab 2y 36 | J M Ray — 16% R249 W39 P146 Trainer form — last 3 months | 53 | 50 | 65 (3) | 69 (3) | 17 (4) | 64 (2) | 58 (4) | 72 (2) | 77 (3) | 79 (3) | 65 (3) | 82 (1) | 40 | 22 | - | 14 | 73 | 53 | 3 | 6/4F | ||
| 2 | ▶ Savana Sandyb 2y 26 | E Gowler — 26% R54 W14 P39 Trainer form — last 3 months | 48 | 62 | 47 (2) | 40 (3) | 45 (4) | 14 (5) | 13 (4) | 68 (1) | 71 (3) | 95 (1) | 57 (2) | 62 (2) | 36 | 44 | 25 | 51 | 74 | 59 | 2 | 5/1 | ||
| 3 | ▶ Savana Moanab 3y 24 | J M Ray — 16% R249 W39 P146 Trainer form — last 3 months | 43 | 50 | 74 (1) | 56 (3) | 62 (2) | 69 (1) | 54 (3) | 52 (2) | 89 (1) | 61 (6) | 72 (4) | 80 (3) | 28 | 6 | - | 14 | 74 | 49 | 5 | 6/1 | ||
| 4 | ▶ Noteworthyb 3y 33 | P S Rea — 17% R506 W85 P251 Trainer form — last 3 months | 43 | 42 | 51 (3) | 49 (4) | 52 (4) | 23 (1) | 16 (4) | 16 (4) | 77 (2) | 62 (5) | 78 (2) | 71 (4) | 47 | 37 | 28 | 32 | 75 | 60 | 1 | 5/2 | ||
| 5 | ▶ Keady Wineb 2y 47 | E Gowler — 26% R54 W14 P39 Trainer form — last 3 months | 62 | 77 | 26 (4) | 60 (1) | 45 (3) | 50 (2) | 48 (3) | 60 (1) | 60 (1) | 14 (4) | 17 (2) | 76 (1) | 47 | 13 | 18 | 18 | 65 | 50 | 4 | 9/4 | ||
| 6 | ▶ Savana Memoriesd 3yN/R 43 | J M Ray — 16% R249 W39 P146 Trainer form — last 3 months | 52 | 41 | 9 (5) | 13 (5) | 54 (3) | 66 (2) | 63 (2) | 68 (4) | 58 (4) | 75 (2) | 62 (2) | 66 (3) | 26 | 29 | 30 | 43 | 67 | 50 | - | - | ||
The highest-rated dog in the field at P=75 with a pure Closer profile (CS 100, PC 52) — the ideal pace profile for a 548m staying race where Faders collapse in the closing stages. His S3 548m form is the most established in the field: 5th, 2nd, 4th, 1st, 4th at S2 — he's won at S3 and placed at S2, proving he handles the distance and grade. Best suitability in the field across the board: trap 47 (best), track 37 (best among Closers). The total suitability mean of 39 is the highest in the race. His consistency at the S3 grade is reassuring — he's competitive in nearly every start at this level. Trainer Rea at 14% is the weakest, which is a concern. Speed of 43 is low, tied with Savana Moana — he's not going to close by outpacing; he closes by sustaining when others tire. The race shape is set up perfectly for him: two EP 100 Faders will set a suicidal pace, Savana Sandy will track them, and by the time they fade through bends 3-4, Noteworthy will be closing from the rear with his CS 100 finishing kick. The question is whether CS 100 at speed 43 generates enough closing power to overhaul Savana Sandy's moderate CS 34.
DANGER: S3 548m winner + best distance suit (51) + best bend (62) + Gowler 30%. The moderate Fader profile means she won't collapse like the EP 100 dogs. Could hold on in front if the Closers are slow to engage.
Closer profile suits the trip but distance suitability of 14 says she's not a natural stayer. The 3rd at S3 and 3rd at S2 show she's competitive without winning. Mid-pack contender.
Pure Closer is right for the trip but track suit of 6 is alarming. S3 form (6th, 3rd, 5th) shows she struggles at this grade. The T3 trap stat (35.71%) is from too small a sample to override the suitability red flag.
Spectacular early pace (EP 100, bend 77, speed 62) but CS 0 at 548m means she'll set the pace and fade. The single S3 2nd is her ceiling. Pacemaker role benefits the Closers behind her.
Will share the early lead with Keady Wine but CS 0 guarantees a late-race fade. Only one 548m career start. Lower P (67) and lower speed (52) than her fellow Fader. Pacemaker, not a contender.
Only 89 runs — highly volatile sample. T3 shows 35.71% and T5 29.41% but these percentages could shift dramatically with a few more races. SR2 wins 38.1%, suggesting the second speed-ranked dog wins more often than the first — upsets are the norm at S3 548m.
T3:35.71% T5:29.41%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 548m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Savana Ribena | 42 | 66 | Closer |
2Savana Sandy | 58 | 34 | Fader |
3Savana Moana | 0 | 100 | Closer |
4Noteworthy | 0 | 100 | Closer |
5Keady Wine | 100 | 0 | Fader |
6Savana Memories | 100 | 0 | Fader |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.