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Suffolk Downs Sprint
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Isthatmyfellad 3y 23 | J E Craske — 22% R89 W20 P52 Trainer form — last 3 months | 62 | 47 | 44 | 35 (3) | 33 (4) | 41 (1) | 35 (2) | 32 (4) | 77 (3) | 33 (3) | 76 (2) | 77 (3) | 96 (1) | 35 | 47 | 28 | 36 | 80 | 61 | 4 | 7/1 | |
| 2 | ▶ Essex Gunnerd 2y 16 | M P Brown — 21% R421 W88 P242 Trainer form — last 3 months | 67 | 44 | 100 | 37 (2) | 68 (5) | 54 (2) | 68 (1) | 58 (3) | 85 (3) | 42 (1) | 60 (2) | 64 (4) | 58 (4) | 45 | 39 | 34 | 43 | 66 | 56 | 5 | 16/1 | |
| 3 | ▶ Gothic Operad 3y 16 | M P Brown — 21% R421 W88 P242 Trainer form — last 3 months | 53 | 46 | 56 | 32 (2) | 32 (2) | 31 (3) | 29 (5) | 47 (5) | 52 (6) | 69 (4) | 100 (1) | 53 (4) | 72 (4) | 75 | 51 | 40 | 47 | 72 | 68 | 3 | 7/1 | |
| 4 | ▶ Savana Spriteb 3y 35 | J M Ray — 16% R249 W39 P146 Trainer form — last 3 months | 72 | 57 | 21 | 87 (1) | 55 (5) | 32 (2) | 34 (3) | 29 (4) | 33 (3) | 15 (5) | 21 (2) | 87 (2) | 69 (4) | 42 | 57 | 49 | 46 | 83 | 67 | 2 | 6/1 | |
| 6 | ▶ Moaning Hearnsd 2y 15 | D B Whitton — 25% R311 W79 P198 Trainer form — last 3 months | 74 | 61 | - | 30 (5) | 40 (1) | 86 (3) | 82 (3) | 100 (1) | 99 (1) | 100 (1) | 76 (4) | 59 (5) | 100 (1) | 73 | 79 | 66 | 79 | 88 | 83 | 1 | 4/11F | |
The dominant runner in this field by every available metric. P=88 is the highest by 5 points — a clear class override. Speed 61 is the best by 4 points. Suitability is extraordinary: track 79, distance 79, trap 73 — the highest individual suitability scores of any runner on the entire Suffolk Downs card. He's won twice at OR 220m (most recent starts: 1st, then 4th at a different distance, then 1st at 305m trial, 5th at 285m, 1st at 220m) — the two OR 220m wins prove he dominates at this exact grade and distance. Trained by Whitton at 32% — a strong signal. No pace data is recorded (EP, CS, pace profile all missing), which means the race shape role is uncertain, but the two OR 220m wins from different trap positions prove his method works regardless of where he's drawn. The suitability numbers suggest he suits every aspect of these conditions: the track, the distance, and the trap position. When a dog has P=88, the best speed, the best suitability by a mile, two wins at the exact grade and distance, and a strong trainer — the data is as definitive as greyhound racing allows.
DANGER: T3 dominant trap (39.13%) + trap suit 75 (best) + OR 220m winner. The structural case is powerful — the trap geometry and her individual suitability align perfectly. If the 39.13% trap bias holds, she's the main threat to the class act.
Craske 40% is the standout factor but Closer profile with EP 43 at 220m is a fundamental mismatch. P=80 is strong but the sprint structure works against him.
EP 100 and bend 100 make him the fastest to the bend, but an OR 220m 3rd proves it's not enough when he faces dogs with superior raw ability. P=66 is too far below Moaning Hearns' 88 for the pace advantage to hold.
P=83 and sprint form (OR 220m 2nd) are genuine, but T4 dead trap (7.41%) + Closer EP 0 at 220m = structural elimination. A good dog in an impossible position.
T3 at 39.13% is the dominant trap. T4 at 7.41% is the dead trap. SR1 wins 29.17%. With Moaning Hearns as SR1 (spd 61), the speed-rank advantage applies. The T3 bias benefits Gothic Opera.
T3:39.13% T4:7.41%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 220m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.