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Suffolk Downs Stayers
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Lottie Blueb 2y 22 | J E Craske — 22% R89 W20 P52 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | 15 | 95 (5) | 72 (1) | 62 (2) | 100 (5) | 90 (1) | 75 (2) | 69 (4) | 100 (4) | 91 (1) | - | 65 | 30 | 23 | 30 | 83 | 67 | 2 | 5/2 | |
| 2 | ▶ Table Talkd 4y 43 | J E Craske — 22% R89 W20 P52 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | 64 | 64 (4) | 65 (5) | 58 (5) | 70 (4) | 83 (2) | 94 (1) | 81 (4) | 100 (1) | 62 (5) | 53 (5) | 21 | 28 | 24 | 47 | 74 | 53 | 5 | 20/1 | |
| 3 | ▶ Indian Floydb 3y 32 | J J Gornall — 18% R72 W13 P46 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 37 | 0 | 54 (5) | 74 (5) | 65 (2) | 78 (1) | 67 (2) | 50 (5) | 52 (4) | 79 (1) | 78 (1) | 57 (3) | 39 | 38 | 37 | 48 | 67 | 55 | 4 | 7/1 | |
| 4 | ▶ Farney Millieb 2y 28 | K P Boon — 27% R22 W6 P10 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 69 | 100 | 69 (2) | 67 (3) | 54 (6) | 48 (5) | 100 (1) | 66 (3) | 79 (2) | 54 (6) | 79 (3) | 81 (2) | 30 | 50 | 40 | 30 | 80 | 60 | 1 | 8/13F | |
| 6 | ▶ Blackheath Charmb 3y 22 | D B Whitton — 26% R313 W82 P197 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 45 | 50 | 45 (5) | 53 (4) | 77 (1) | 31 (3) | 67 (2) | 61 (2) | 51 (5) | 100 (1) | 77 (3) | 45 (5) | 53 | 31 | 22 | 37 | 74 | 60 | 3 | 7/1 | |
The highest-rated dog in the field at P=83 with the ideal pace profile for a 548m staying race: an All-Rounder (EP 50, CS 50) who sustains effort throughout. She won OR 548m in her most recent start, proving she's perfectly graded at this exact distance and grade. Prior form includes A2 wins and OR placings — she's been competitive at OR level across multiple distances. Trained by Craske at 40% — the strongest trainer signal on the entire Suffolk Downs card and one that historically elevates picks. Drawn T1 where the rail saves ground through every bend and T1 wins 26.83% from 212 runs — the best trap. Suitability (trap 65 is excellent, trk 30, dist 30 are moderate). The trap suit of 65 is by far the highest in the field, confirming she specifically suits the T1 position. The concern is speed 54 and bend 15 — the bend rating is poor for a tight track. But the All-Rounder profile means she doesn't need to navigate the bends at speed from behind; she tracks in a comfortable position and sustains while others fade. The combination of best P, best trap, Craske 40%, and an OR 548m win is about as strong as it gets.
DANGER: OR 548m winner + Boon 48% + speed 69 + bend 100 + EP 100. She creates an enormous early lead and HAS held on to win at 548m. CS 0 says the fade is coming but the lead may be big enough to survive. The most dangerous Fader on the card because she's proven she can win despite the fade.
OR 548m winner with Craske 40% and best bend rating. But P=74 is significantly below Lottie Blue and the Closer profile needs the leaders to come back. In a five-runner race where the All-Rounder (Lottie Blue) sustains, there may not be enough to close on.
Extreme Fader at 548m from a different track with no course or distance form. Worst speed and bend in the field. Will set pace early and fade badly. Can be confidently opposed.
Closer who'll pick up the pieces at 548m but P=74 is below the two leaders. OR 548m form shows 3rd and 4th — placing potential but needs others to fail. Whitton 32% is a positive but not enough to override the class gap.
T1 wins 26.83% and T4 wins 25% — both strong. SR2 wins 31.71%, meaning the second speed-ranked dog often beats the first — classic staying-race upset pattern where pace-setters tire. From 212 runs this is a moderate sample with reasonable reliability.
T1:26.83% T4:25%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 548m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Lottie Blue | 50 | 50 | All-Rounder |
2Table Talk | 0 | 100 | Closer |
3Indian Floyd | 100 | 0 | Fader |
4Farney Millie | 100 | 0 | Fader |
6Blackheath Charm | 0 | 100 | Closer |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.