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BOYLE Sports A1 525 DERBY TRIAL STAKE
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Robbies Twirld 2y 32 | - | - | 52 | - | 60 (4) | 78 (3) | 95 (1) | 97 (1) | 94 (1) | 95 (1) | 100 (1) | 73 (3) | 58 (5) | 53 (3) | 46 | 25 | 55 | 50 | 81 | 51 | 4 | - | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Hallies Cashoutb 2y 32 | Paul Duffy — 17% R6 W1 P5 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 58 | - | 84 (2) | 53 (5) | 94 (1) | 77 (2) | 82 (2) | 76 (2) | 56 (4) | 82 (1) | 78 (1) | 55 (2) | 13 | - | 6 | 65 | 75 | 44 | 6 | - | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Fridays Danceb 5y 23 | Paul Whyte — 9% R44 W4 P26 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | - | 79 (3) | 84 (2) | 94 (1) | 88 (1) | 85 (1) | 69 (2) | 72 (2) | 70 (2) | 74 (3) | 61 (4) | 31 | 58 | 6 | 52 | 81 | 53 | 5 | - | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Drumnafern Balord 1y 21 | - | - | 47 | - | 95 (1) | 65 (4) | 77 (1) | 63 (1) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 31 | 10 | - | 27 | 77 | 44 | 2 | - | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Alien Shimmerb 2y 24 | - | - | 47 | - | 49 (6) | 93 (1) | 74 (3) | 58 (5) | 73 (2) | 86 (1) | - | - | - | - | 1 | 22 | - | 34 | 71 | 41 | 3 | - | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Kuma Abdud 2y 16 | Eddie Hurson(NI) — 38% R21 W8 P14 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 41 | - | 100 (1) | 94 (1) | 67 (5) | 67 (2) | 71 (4) | 73 (1) | 61 (2) | 70 (2) | 24 (6) | 57 (2) | 24 | 35 | 30 | 61 | 75 | 47 | 1 | - | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Robbies Twirl | 29.16 | 29.22 | 29.22 | 52 | +0.06 | Weak trap | |
| 2 | Hallies Cashout | 28.96 | 29.25 | 28.76 | 58 | -0.20 | Placed LTO | |
| 3 | Fridays Dance | 29.11 | 29.43 | 29.37 | 47 | +0.26 | Model pick, best trap | |
| 4 | Drumnafern Balor | 29.31 | 29.31 | 28.90 | 47 | -0.41 | Won lower grade LTO | |
| 5 | Alien Shimmer | 28.89 | 29.34 | 29.71 | 47 | +0.82 | Faded LTO | |
| 6 | Kuma Abdu | 29.16 | 29.83 | 29.36 | 41 | +0.20 | Career-best win LTO |
The top grade of the night, a Derby trial stake with a genuinely classy six-runner field - several of these dogs have hit peak performance ratings in the 90s and even a perfect 100 in recent weeks. The sample of races at this exact grade is small, only 52 runs, so the trap and rank splits should be read as a lean rather than gospel - but trap 3 has been the standout box so far (44.4% from 9 runs) while trap 1 has drawn a blank in the same sample. Fridays Dance combines the best recent form with an outstanding course and distance record and the favoured trap. Kuma Abdu arrives full of running having posted a career-best performance to win last time out. This looks a genuinely open, high-class contest.
Holds one of the two best average performance ratings in the field at 81, with peaks in the high-80s and low-90s among recent runs, and backs it up with an outstanding course and distance record - three wins and seven places from eight runs, an 88% place rate at this exact combination. He also lines up from trap 3, the standout box in the small sample of races collected at this grade. In an elite, closely-matched field this combination of proven course form and the best draw gives him the narrow edge.
Produced a career-best performance rating of 100 to win last time out, the single best figure posted by anyone in this field recently. Trainer Eddie Hurson has the best win rate of anyone involved at 38%, and his course and distance record shows two wins from four runs. His recorded speed rating is the slowest in the field, which is the one thing holding him back from a stronger claim, but a dog producing career-best form right now cannot be ignored.
Has produced some of the best form of anyone in this field over the last six runs, with figures of 95, 97 and 94 among them, but his last two runs have dropped away to 78 and 60. That peak ability is real and he cannot be dismissed, but the recent dip combined with trap 1 - which has yet to produce a winner in the sample collected at this grade - makes him harder to trust with confidence tonight.
The fastest dog in the field on the clock and was runner-up last time out at a slightly longer trip, with solid form in the mid-70s to low-90s recently. There is no course and distance form on file yet at this exact combination, which is a slight unknown, but the raw speed and recent placing make her competitive.
Won last time out, though that was at a lower grade than tonight's Derby trial company, so the step up is the question mark. His course and distance record shows a win and a place from two runs. A capable performer who needs this level to suit.
Faded to last last time out having shown a career-best of 93 not long before that, so the ability is clearly there even if the most recent run disappointed. His course and distance record is respectable with two wins and three places from six runs. Trap 5 is one of the weaker boxes at this grade. A watching brief rather than a confident selection.
Key insight: Small sample at this elite grade (52 runs) means the numbers should be treated cautiously - trap 3 has been the strongest box by some distance, trap 1 has yet to produce a winner in the runs recorded.
T1:0% T2:22.2% T3:44.4% T4:12.5% T5:11.1% T6:12.5%
52 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 525m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 525m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (525m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 400m | 525m | 550m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Robbies Twirl | 0.533 | 0.555 | 0.559 |
| 2 | Hallies Cashout | 0.553 | 0.554 | 0.554 |
| 3 | Fridays Dance | — | 0.559 | — |
| 4 | Drumnafern Balor | 0.544 | 0.552 | — |
| 5 | Alien Shimmer | — | 0.559 | — |
| 6 | Kuma Abdu | — | 0.566 | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.