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JD PRINT A6 525
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Letter Of Lawd 2y 21 | - | - | - | - | 36 (5) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 2 | - | - | - | 36 | 17 | 3 | - | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Ace Princessb 2y 35 | - | - | 61 | - | 49 (5) | 81 (1) | 80 (1) | 54 (5) | 49 (5) | 57 (3) | 55 (2) | 46 (6) | 45 (3) | - | - | 39 | 14 | 29 | 60 | 37 | 4 | - | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Hi Sonnyd 1y 1 | - | - | - | - | 47 (5) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1 | - | - | - | 47 | 39 | 1 | - | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Hawkfield Riskb 2y 14 | - | - | 49 | - | 61 (2) | 75 (1) | 40 (5) | 64 (3) | 63 (2) | 29 (5) | 50 (5) | 43 (5) | 28 (6) | - | 16 | - | 26 | 29 | 54 | 41 | 2 | - | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Shes A Showgirlb 3y 35 | Jimmy Anderson (NI) — 14% R14 W2 P5 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 46 | - | 68 (1) | 39 (4) | 59 (2) | 56 (2) | 61 (2) | 41 (4) | 60 (3) | 53 (2) | 55 (3) | 68 (1) | 40 | 38 | 15 | 46 | 56 | 40 | 5 | - | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Mineolatazmaniand 3y 43 | - | - | 47 | - | 49 (4) | 69 (1) | 51 (5) | 51 (5) | 61 (2) | 44 (6) | 62 (4) | 48 (5) | 40 (6) | 59 (3) | 29 | 22 | 13 | 13 | 54 | 22 | 6 | - | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Letter Of Law | No 525m form on file - all previous racing has been over sprint distances. Times not comparable. | — | Distance step-up | ||||
| 2 | Ace Princess | 29.52 | 29.83 | 29.83 | 61 | +0.31 | Model pick | |
| 3 | Hi Sonny | No 525m form on file - previous run was a 325m novice event. Times not comparable. | — | Distance step-up | ||||
| 4 | Hawkfield Risk | 29.71 | 30.23 | 29.93 | 49 | +0.22 | Runner-up LTO | |
| 5 | Shes A Showgirl | 29.91 | 30.18 | 30.22 | 46 | +0.31 | Won LTO | |
| 6 | Mineolatazmanian | 29.78 | 30.10 | 30.18 | 47 | +0.40 | Steady | |
Lifford's 525m trip rewards early speed more than most - trap 1 has won just over one in five races at this grade (20.4% from 167 runs) while trap 2 has struggled badly, managing only 11.9%. The fastest dog in the field wins here more than a quarter of the time (26.1%), well clear of the top-rated dog on the model (20.6%), so the clock is the number to trust tonight. Ace Princess is clearly the fastest and best-performing dog in the race despite drawing the statistically weakest box, while Shes A Showgirl arrives in form having won last time out from a much better draw. Two of the six are stepping up sharply in trip having only raced over sprint distances before, which is a real unknown for both.
The fastest dog in the field by some distance and carries the best average performance rating too, with a peak of 81 among her last six runs. Five course and distance runs have produced two wins and two places, a strong record at this exact combination. The one knock is the draw - trap 2 has been the weakest box at this grade, winning under 12% of the time - but the gap in raw speed and form over the rest of this field is wide enough to look past that.
Won last time out from this same trip and arrives with the second-best course and distance record in the race - two wins and six places from ten runs here, a strong hit rate. Trainer Jimmy Anderson has a decent 20% win rate at this level. She lacks the outright speed of the market leader but the consistency and the favourable draw make her the most obvious danger if Ace Princess is troubled by her box.
Finished second last time out at this grade and trip, and his form has been solid without standing out - a peak of 75 among recent runs. Only one course and distance run on file so there is not much of a track record to lean on yet. Trap 4 is roughly average here. A place chance rather than a winning threat.
Steady rather than spectacular, with form sitting in the high-40s to high-60s range recently. Five course and distance runs have produced no wins and no places, which is a concern at this specific combination. Trap 6 is the weakest of the outside boxes here. Others have stronger claims.
Stepping up sharply in trip tonight, having only raced over 335 metres before - nearly double that distance now, with no evidence he will see out the extra ground. He does have the benefit of the best-performing trap at this grade (20.4%), which offers some compensation, but the distance jump is the dominant unknown. One to watch rather than back with confidence.
Like Letter Of Law, this is a big step up in distance - his only run on file was a 325m novice event, and 525m is a very different test of stamina. There simply is not enough evidence to know how he will handle the extra two bends. Trap 3 has performed reasonably at this grade but that is not enough to offset the distance unknown.
Key insight: The fastest dog in the field wins 26.1% of the time at this grade and trip - clearly the strongest single guide, well ahead of the top-rated dog on the model (20.6%). Trap 1 is the standout draw, trap 2 the one to be wary of.
T1:20.4% T2:11.9% T3:19.6% T4:17.2% T5:16.7% T6:15.2%
1,005 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 525m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 525m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (525m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 325m | 335m | 525m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Letter Of Law | — | 0.587 | — |
| 2 | Ace Princess | — | — | 0.569 |
| 3 | Hi Sonny | 0.556 | — | — |
| 4 | Hawkfield Risk | — | — | 0.577 |
| 5 | Shes A Showgirl | — | — | 0.575 |
| 6 | Mineolatazmanian | 0.560 | 0.559 | 0.573 |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.