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Doncaster 450 Maiden
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Scooby Baronessb 2y 26 | E O Driver — 22% R301 W66 P181 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 65 | 0 | 65 (4) | 70 (3) | 45 (4) | 65 (3) | 62 (3) | 53 (4) | 69 (4) | - | - | - | 4 | - | - | - | 62 | 37 | 4 | 8/1 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Herecomescharlied 1y 1 | D E Fradgley — 22% R106 W23 P54 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1 | - | - | - | - | 38 | 5 | 11/2 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Rockmount Bobd 2y 16 | R A Draper — 27% R278 W76 P191 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | 48 | 83 (2) | 72 (3) | 52 (3) | 57 (2) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 4 | 15 | 6 | 16 | 68 | 35 | 2 | 4/5F | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Ardrahan Aldanted 2y 11 | T Bedford — 20% R111 W22 P57 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 30 | 50 | 56 (4) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 3 | - | - | - | 56 | 22 | 3 | 7/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Notawordsaidd 2y 12 | J A Spolander — 6% R31 W2 P13 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | 58 | 76 (2) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 2 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 76 | 37 | 1 | 2/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Look Smartd 3yN/R 6 | D E Fradgley — 22% R106 W23 P54 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 68 | 57 | 72 (2) | 95 (1) | 45 (6) | 70 (3) | 92 (1) | 96 (1) | 73 (2) | 68 (3) | 72 (2) | 100 (1) | 64 | 70 | 60 | 78 | 77 | 68 | - | - | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Scooby Baroness | No prior form at this course and distance. | — | fastest, no C&D form | ||||
| 2 | Herecomescharlie | First-time runner - no race form available. | — | debutant, no data | ||||
| 3 | Rockmount Bob | 27.72 | 28.00 | 27.72 | 51 | 0.00 | runner-up LTO | |
| 4 | Ardrahan Aldante | 28.27 | 28.27 | 28.27 | 30 | 0.00 | 1 run only | |
| 5 | Notawordsaid | 27.92 | 27.92 | 27.92 | 47 | 0.00 | 1 run, runner-up | |
| 6 | Look Smart | 27.20 | 27.58 | 27.72 | 68 | +0.52 | best trap+4 C&D wins | |
Trap 6 has been the standout box in this OR grade at 450m, worth close to three in ten winners, and Look Smart gets it here backed by an outstanding course and distance record - eight runs have produced four wins and frame finishes in all but one of his starts. Scooby Baroness counters with the fastest recorded time in the field but has no prior experience at this course and distance and races in an inconsistent closing style. Herecomescharlie is a first-time runner with no form to assess. Rockmount Bob, Notawordsaid and Ardrahan Aldante are all light on experience and face a stern test against the two market leaders.
Draws trap 6, the standout box in this grade worth close to three in ten winners, and backs the draw up with an outstanding course and distance record - eight runs here have brought four wins and frame finishes in all but one of his starts, an exceptional strike rate. Second-fastest of the six on the clock and comfortably the best suitability figures in the field. The combination of the best trap, proven local form and strong pace makes him the clear standout.
Clocks the fastest recorded time in this field, which can't be ignored. But she has no prior experience at this course and distance, and her closing running style has been inconsistent from race to race. If the raw pace translates into a well-timed run, she's the biggest threat to the selection, but there's more uncertainty here than with the top pick.
A first-time runner with no previous race form to assess, so this is a complete leap into the unknown. Impossible to make a confident case either way without any data. Watch the market for guidance rather than relying on figures.
A closer with modest pace figures and only two runs over this course and distance without a win. Was runner-up last time out but the form line is thin. Faces a stiff task against the two market leaders in this field.
Only one run to his name so far, finishing fourth on his sole start over this course and distance. A fader with modest pace figures. Very much unproven at this level and likely to need more experience.
Only one run so far but it was a promising one, finishing runner-up over this course and distance. A fader who goes fast early and tends to lose ground late. Worth another chance but the sample is too small to be confident.
Key insight: Trap 6 is an exceptional draw advantage in OR company over 450m here, winning 30% from 100 runs - the strongest single trap bias on the card.
T1:21.3% T2:20.6% T3:15.5% T4:17.7% T5:13.0% T6:30.0%
601 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 450m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Scooby Baroness | 0 | 100 | Closer |
2Herecomescharlie | — | — | No data |
3Rockmount Bob | 0 | 100 | Closer |
4Ardrahan Aldante | 100 | 0 | Fader |
5Notawordsaid | 100 | 0 | Fader |
6Look Smart | 50 | 50 | All-Rounder |
Only runs at exactly 450m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (450m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 450m | 483m | 500m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Scooby Baroness | — | 0.625 | 0.615 |
| 2 | Herecomescharlie | — | — | — |
| 3 | Rockmount Bob | 0.622 | — | 0.591 |
| 4 | Ardrahan Aldante | 0.628 | — | — |
| 5 | Notawordsaid | 0.620 | — | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.