Loading...
Doncaster 450 Standard - Division 2
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Mossrich Mossyd 2y 33 | E O Driver — 22% R301 W66 P181 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 72 | 0 | 69 (4) | 65 (2) | 88 (1) | 88 (1) | 88 (2) | 71 (2) | 36 (2) | 45 (6) | 22 (5) | 57 (5) | 5 | - | 20 | - | 70 | 39 | 2 | 15/8 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Ballymac Panzarab 1yN/R 14 | E O Driver — 22% R301 W66 P181 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 43 | 75 | 63 (3) | 90 (1) | 87 (1) | 56 (5) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 26 | 47 | 40 | 43 | 74 | 42 | - | - | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Crafty Regalod 2y 25 | C Jackson — 15% R100 W15 P56 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 46 | 25 | 48 (6) | 64 (4) | 66 (2) | 82 (2) | 33 (4) | 70 (5) | 35 (4) | 46 (1) | 43 (6) | 89 (1) | 34 | - | 14 | 27 | 64 | 34 | 5 | 5/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Swift Quaidd 1y 22 | D P Brabon — 19% R304 W59 P180 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 95 | 2 | 64 (3) | 73 (3) | 91 (1) | 68 (3) | 60 (3) | 74 (3) | 81 (3) | - | - | - | 30 | - | 26 | - | 72 | 55 | 1 | 7/2 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Gothic Joshuad 3y 19 | S J L Lapidge — 18% R311 W55 P179 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | 76 | 67 (5) | 90 (1) | 90 (1) | 57 (5) | 65 (4) | 70 (3) | 69 (3) | 64 (4) | 79 (2) | 87 (1) | 33 | 43 | 47 | 51 | 74 | 47 | 3 | 5/4F | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Kates Goldied 3y 25 | C D Marston — 17% R451 W75 P224 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 20 | 77 | 63 (3) | 57 (6) | 47 (6) | 66 (2) | 59 (3) | 74 (2) | 85 (1) | 63 (3) | 77 (1) | 47 (5) | 21 | 15 | 31 | 14 | 62 | 19 | 4 | 8/1 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mossrich Mossy | No prior form at this course and distance. | — | 2nd fastest, closer | ||||
| 2 | Ballymac Panzara | 27.84 | 28.02 | 28.10 | 43 | +0.26 | recent 67% strike rate | |
| 3 | Crafty Regalo | 27.48 | 27.89 | 28.43 | 46 | +0.95 | weakest overall | |
| 4 | Swift Quaid | No prior form at this course and distance - steps up from A1 grade. | — | far fastest | ||||
| 5 | Gothic Joshua | 27.74 | 28.00 | 27.84 | 49 | +0.10 | 6 C&D runs, 2 wins | |
| 6 | Kates Goldie | 28.08 | 28.46 | 28.84 | 20 | +0.76 | best trap, slowest | |
Trap 6 has been a huge draw advantage in this OR grade at 450m, winning 30% of the time, but the dog occupying it here, Kates Goldie, is comfortably the slowest of the six on the clock - a genuine conflict between draw and raw pace. Swift Quaid, stepping up from A1 grade, owns by far the fastest recorded time in this field and looks the one to beat on pure speed alone, even without any course and distance form to fall back on. Mossrich Mossy is next best on the clock and is a genuine closer who could pick up the pieces if the pace up front is too hot. Gothic Joshua has the deepest book of course and distance form including two recent wins, while Ballymac Panzara arrives with an eye-catching recent strike rate of her own. Crafty Regalo looks to have most to find.
Owns by far the fastest recorded time in this field, a gap that's difficult to ignore regardless of other factors. Steps up from A1 grade into this OR contest, and he's a fader who goes quickly early but can lose ground late, a pattern that plays out plenty at this trip. No prior course and distance form is the main unknown, and the trap here has been below average for this grade, but the raw pace advantage on the clock makes him hard to leave out.
Second-fastest of the six on the clock and a genuine closer who finishes strongly from off the pace - exactly the profile to benefit if the leaders go too hard early. No prior course and distance experience, and his most recent form came at the tougher OR3 grade over a longer trip. If the race sets up with genuine pace up front, he's the clear danger to the selection.
An eye-catching recent record with two wins from her last three runs at this level, though the sample is small. Modest on the clock and a fader whose pace pattern has been inconsistent. Worth including as an interest given the recent strike rate.
Finished last of six on her only run to date over this course and distance, and her pace figures are modest compared to the leaders in this field. A closer who could pick up minor pieces late but has the most to find of anyone here.
Boasts the deepest book of course and distance form here, six runs including two wins in the space of a fortnight in June. Modest on the clock compared to the pace at the head of this field, and drawn in the weakest box for this grade. The volume of winning form keeps her in play.
Draws trap 6, by some distance the best-performing box in this grade at 30%, but is comfortably the slowest of the six on the clock, which raises real questions about whether the draw advantage can be converted into a winning run. A genuine puzzle piece in this field.
Key insight: Trap 6 is an exceptional draw advantage in OR company over 450m here, winning 30% from 100 runs - the strongest single trap bias on the card - while trap 5 is the weak draw at just 13%.
T1:21.3% T2:20.6% T3:15.5% T4:17.7% T5:13.0% T6:30.0%
601 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 450m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Mossrich Mossy | 0 | 100 | Closer |
2Ballymac Panzara | 100 | 0 | Fader |
3Crafty Regalo | 0 | 100 | Closer |
4Swift Quaid | 100 | 0 | Fader |
5Gothic Joshua | 100 | 0 | Fader |
6Kates Goldie | 0 | 100 | Closer |
Only runs at exactly 450m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (450m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 261m | 264m | 305m | 435m | 450m | 480m | 483m | 491m | 500m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mossrich Mossy | — | — | 0.592 | — | — | 0.612 | — | — | 0.609 |
| 3 | Crafty Regalo | 0.613 | — | — | — | 0.620 | — | — | — | — |
| 4 | Swift Quaid | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.601 | — |
| 5 | Gothic Joshua | — | — | — | — | 0.622 | 0.598 | 0.611 | — | — |
| 6 | Kates Goldie | — | 0.606 | — | 0.615 | 0.632 | 0.608 | — | — | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.