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Doncaster 483 Winner of One
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Swift Jerichod 3y 26 | K J Cobbold — 26% R203 W53 P132 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 77 | 0 | 63 (4) | 94 (1) | 60 (5) | 66 (3) | 62 (5) | 94 (1) | 90 (1) | 70 (3) | 81 (2) | 70 (3) | 47 | - | - | - | 74 | 57 | 3 | 9/2 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Blackstone Tend 2y 26 | C D Marston — 17% R451 W75 P224 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 46 | 51 | 83 (2) | 61 (3) | 80 (2) | 52 (4) | 53 (4) | 69 (4) | 61 (2) | 52 (6) | 36 (6) | - | 45 | 15 | 26 | 16 | 65 | 44 | 4 | 11/4 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Senahel Scorpiond 2y 34 | D E Fradgley — 22% R106 W23 P54 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 29 | 45 | 54 (4) | 59 (3) | 46 (5) | 90 (1) | 58 (5) | 68 (2) | 71 (2) | 53 (5) | 66 (2) | 80 (1) | 2 | 17 | 17 | - | 62 | 29 | 5 | 6/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Vair Twinkletoesb 2y 15 | K A Lempard — 20% R41 W8 P25 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | 57 | 77 (2) | 88 (1) | 67 (3) | 77 (1) | 53 (5) | 68 (3) | 66 (3) | 73 (2) | 75 (1) | 53 (4) | 1 | 37 | 32 | 39 | 72 | 51 | 2 | 5/2 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Redbrick Beckhamd 2y 110 | J W Gaskin — 31% R276 W85 P205 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | 63 | 85 (1) | 79 (2) | 85 (1) | 56 (2) | 62 (1) | 55 (2) | 53 (3) | 51 (2) | 49 (3) | 61 (1) | 60 | 33 | 36 | 61 | 69 | 55 | 1 | 11/8F | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Swift Jericho | No prior form at this course and distance - steps up from A1 grade over 462m. | — | far fastest, closer | ||||
| 2 | Blackstone Ten | 29.81 | 30.14 | 29.81 | 46 | 0.00 | best trap, inconsistent | |
| 3 | Senahel Scorpion | 30.27 | 30.27 | 30.27 | 29 | 0.00 | slowest, fader | |
| 4 | Vair Twinkletoes | 29.83 | 29.91 | 29.88 | 49 | +0.05 | runner-up LTO, weak trap | |
| 6 | Redbrick Beckham | 29.73 | 29.94 | 29.73 | 52 | 0.00 | 2nd fastest, won LTO | |
This is Doncaster's benchmark distance, where the composite model has been unusually reliable, and on raw pace there's no contest here - Swift Jericho's recorded time is far ahead of the rest of this field, and as a genuine closer with a highly consistent style she looks tailor-made for the extra room to work with at this trip. She has no prior form at this course and distance, a slight concern, and she's stepping up from A1 grade rather than down. Redbrick Beckham, second-fastest of the six, arrives full of running having won last time out at A2 and gets real support from her track and distance figures, even though she too is stepping up in company. Blackstone Ten gets the best-performing trap in this grade but her recent pace has been modest and inconsistent. Vair Twinkletoes was runner-up last time out from the weakest box in the grade, while Senahel Scorpion looks held on the clock.
Her recorded time is far ahead of the rest of this field - nothing else here gets close to her on the clock. A genuine closer with a highly consistent racing style, the extra room at this trip should play to her strengths perfectly. She's stepping up from A1 grade rather than down, so there's a question over whether the pace holds up against tougher opposition, and she has no prior form at this specific course and distance. But the scale of the pace advantage on show makes her hard to oppose regardless.
Won last time out at A2 grade and now steps up to face this stronger OR company. Second-fastest of the six on the clock and her track and distance figures are strong across the board. A fader who goes fast early and can lose ground late, which matters less at this staying trip than it would over a sprint. The clear danger to the selection if the step up in grade doesn't faze her.
Gets the best-performing trap in this grade but her pace has been modest and inconsistent recently, racing in a balanced style without a clear edge either way. Was runner-up last time out at OR grade, showing she can live at this level. Others have stronger claims on the clock.
Comfortably the slowest recorded time in this field and a fader whose pace pattern has been inconsistent. Modest course and distance experience so far. Hard to make a case for her against this level of opposition.
Runner-up last time out and a genuine closer who should get first run at the pace if the leaders go too hard. Draws the weakest trap in this grade, which is a concern at a track and trip where position matters. Capable of featuring but needs things to fall right.
Key insight: Doncaster's 483m trip is one of the most reliable composite distances in the country; trap 2 leads OR company here at 21.6% while trap 4 is the weak draw at under 14%.
T1:19.3% T2:21.6% T3:20.0% T4:13.7% T5:15.4% T6:20.3%
429 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 483m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Swift Jericho | 0 | 100 | Closer |
2Blackstone Ten | 50 | 50 | All-Rounder |
3Senahel Scorpion | 100 | 0 | Fader |
4Vair Twinkletoes | 2 | 100 | Closer |
6Redbrick Beckham | 100 | 0 | Fader |
Only runs at exactly 483m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (483m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 435m | 450m | 462m | 480m | 483m | 491m | 500m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Swift Jericho | — | — | 0.609 | — | — | — | — |
| 2 | Blackstone Ten | 0.620 | — | — | 0.602 | 0.624 | 0.613 | — |
| 3 | Senahel Scorpion | — | 0.631 | 0.617 | — | 0.627 | — | — |
| 4 | Vair Twinkletoes | — | — | — | — | 0.619 | — | 0.615 |
| 6 | Redbrick Beckham | — | 0.622 | — | — | 0.620 | — | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.