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Doncaster 450 Puppy
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Keefill Mod 1y 26 | P Milner — 25% R36 W9 P21 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 36 | 22 | 68 (4) | 50 (5) | 66 (2) | 61 (1) | 71 (2) | 32 (3) | - | - | - | - | 31 | 37 | 23 | 36 | 63 | 28 | 6 | 3/1 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Ballymac Panzarab 1y 15 | E O Driver — 22% R301 W66 P181 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 38 | 68 | 63 (3) | 90 (1) | 87 (1) | 56 (5) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 26 | 47 | 40 | 43 | 74 | 38 | 5 | 5/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Move Over Tobyd 1y 27 | K J Cobbold — 26% R203 W53 P132 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 89 | 0 | 97 (1) | 93 (1) | 92 (1) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 34 | - | - | - | 94 | 51 | 1 | 5/2JF | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Crafty Hopscotchd 1y 25 | C Jackson — 15% R100 W15 P56 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 58 | 36 | 91 (1) | 68 (4) | 71 (6) | 71 (6) | 75 (2) | 94 (3) | 90 (3) | 56 (1) | - | - | 30 | 30 | 19 | 36 | 78 | 43 | 2 | 11/2 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Alien Glend 1y 16 | S Naylor — 17% R75 W13 P45 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | 75 | 80 (2) | 49 (2) | 59 (2) | 60 (1) | 55 (2) | 42 (4) | 31 (5) | - | - | - | 32 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 57 | 42 | 4 | 5/2JF | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Aghaburren Lunab 1y 26 | B Denby — 23% R256 W58 P140 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | 72 | 91 (1) | 48 (6) | 60 (3) | 64 (3) | 53 (5) | 66 (2) | 73 (3) | 68 (4) | 85 (1) | 62 (2) | 29 | 30 | 16 | 30 | 67 | 43 | 3 | 4/1 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Keefill Mo | 27.81 | 28.05 | 28.12 | 37 | +0.31 | fader, weakest | |
| 2 | Ballymac Panzara | 27.84 | 28.02 | 28.10 | 38 | +0.26 | 2 wins/3 C&D | |
| 3 | Move Over Toby | No prior form at this course and distance - steps up from A1 grade. | — | unbeaten, far fastest | ||||
| 4 | Crafty Hopscotch | 27.34 | 27.61 | 27.79 | 58 | +0.45 | won LTO same conditions | |
| 5 | Alien Glen | 27.76 | 27.76 | 27.76 | 49 | 0.00 | runner-up LTO | |
| 6 | Aghaburren Luna | 27.70 | 27.70 | 27.70 | 53 | 0.00 | best trap, won LTO | |
Move Over Toby brings serious untested speed into this race, unbeaten in three starts at the tougher A1 grade and comfortably the fastest recorded time in this field, though she's never raced at this course and distance and steps up in company for the first time. Aghaburren Luna counters with the best trap in this OR grade, which has produced roughly three in ten winners, and she won last time out in exactly these conditions. Crafty Hopscotch also scored last time out over this course, distance and grade from a similar closing style. Alien Glen was runner-up in the same race and Ballymac Panzara has been racing consistently well without quite getting to the frame, while Keefill Mo looks to have the most to find.
Unbeaten in three starts to date, all contested at the tougher A1 grade, and comfortably the fastest recorded time in this field by a wide margin. A genuine closer with an outstanding level of consistency, finishing strongly from off the pace every time out. She's never raced at this course and distance and this is her first test at OR level, so there's a genuine step into the unknown, but the raw speed and unbeaten record on the clock make her hard to leave out of calculations.
Draws trap 6, the standout box in this grade worth roughly three in ten winners, and she won last time out in exactly these conditions - same course, same distance, same grade. A closer who finishes strongly from off the pace, which suits the profile of a dog racing from the favoured outside draw. The obvious danger given the draw and the matching recent winning form.
Modest on the clock and a fader whose early pace tends to fade in the closing stages. Three runs over this course and distance have brought mixed results without a recent win. Others have stronger claims on the day.
Has been running consistently well without quite getting to the frame, with two wins from three course and distance runs recently. A fader whose pace pattern has been inconsistent and modest on the clock. Capable of featuring without being the most exciting on paper.
Also scored last time out over this course, distance and grade, racing in a similar closing style. Modest on the clock compared to the fastest in this field and drawn in a below-average box for the grade. Capable of following up but faces stiffer pace elsewhere.
Was runner-up in the same race that Aghaburren Luna won last time out, so the form has a solid recent line to work from. A fader who goes fast early and tends to lose ground late. Only one run at this course and distance so far, but the form looks solid.
Key insight: Trap 6 is an exceptional draw advantage in OR company over 450m here, winning 30% from 100 runs - the strongest single trap bias on the card - while trap 5 is the weak draw at just 13%.
T1:21.3% T2:20.6% T3:15.5% T4:17.7% T5:13.0% T6:30.0%
601 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 450m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Keefill Mo | 100 | 0 | Fader |
2Ballymac Panzara | 100 | 0 | Fader |
3Move Over Toby | 0 | 100 | Closer |
4Crafty Hopscotch | 0 | 100 | Closer |
5Alien Glen | 100 | 0 | Fader |
6Aghaburren Luna | 0 | 100 | Closer |
Only runs at exactly 450m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (450m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 270m | 280m | 305m | 450m | 462m | 480m | 500m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Keefill Mo | 0.606 | — | — | 0.623 | — | 0.612 | — |
| 2 | Ballymac Panzara | — | — | 0.616 | 0.623 | — | — | — |
| 3 | Move Over Toby | — | — | — | — | 0.603 | — | — |
| 4 | Crafty Hopscotch | — | — | — | 0.613 | — | 0.606 | 0.594 |
| 5 | Alien Glen | — | 0.580 | — | 0.617 | — | 0.590 | 0.586 |
| 6 | Aghaburren Luna | — | — | — | 0.616 | — | — | 0.612 |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.